RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 1 minute ago, NYCweatherNOW said: What does uk show as far as snow accumulations with the anafrontal? 6 to 10.... ’s. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 Total weenie comment, but if this breaks right for most, then I think we know what this winter’s personality will be like. Starting to feel pretty good. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 Just now, NorEastermass128 said: If this breaks right for most, then I think we know what this winter’s personality will be like. Starting to feel pretty good. Because of 1 CMC run? I admire your optimism 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Because of 1 CMC run? I admire your optimism Just saying that each winter has a unique personality. Some winters nothing breaks right. Others throw a bone here and there. Then the real good ones break just right in every pattern/with every storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 Euro snows a snowy Wednesday am 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Because of 1 CMC run? I admire your optimism What I think he means is, the last one broke right and most of us did ok-and some did fabulous. If this happens to work out with accumulating snow, then what he’s saying is perhaps this winter is showing it’s hand somewhat, in what would be a positive for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Euro snows a snowy Wednesday am It’s much weaker than 0z though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Euro snows a snowy Wednesday am Still pretty meh though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s much weaker than 0z though. Its not far at all. The storm still formed but it never came up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 13 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s much weaker than 0z though. True...I finally looked. Fraud 5 being fraud 5.... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 It wouldn’t take much to change things for the better. Tomorrow’s runs should be important 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 Just terribly confusing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Just terribly confusing It’s up in the air still...things could break for the better, or just be not much of anything. Need another day or two to see what May transpire. That’s about all anybody can say currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 7, 2019 Author Share Posted December 7, 2019 can't believe the backside analfrontal lasted as many runs as it did 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 I don’t get the ridiculous expectations this winter. Pattern looks fine..plenty of cold.....it’s really early still. normal highs for today: CAR: 29 BGR: 37 AUG: 37 PWM: 40 CON: 39 MHT: 41 BTV: 36 BOS: 44 ORH: 39 BDL: 43 PVD: 45 3 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 45 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: 29 minutes ago, weathafella said: True...I finally looked. Fraud 5 being fraud 5.... 15 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: can't believe the backside analfrontal lasted as many runs as it did Do people read? I mean one of the smartest Mets on the board and all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 55 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: It's probably too broad a term around here, because you're right there is a difference between cold air trying to undercut the exiting precip and a follow-up wave trying to expand precip back to the NW along a stalled baroclinic zone. The latter is much more likely to produce something you need to shovel than the former. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 I feel like there are February-esque expectations here for this month lol. Just wait until the end of January and February...CFSv2 introduces -NAO and -EPO you'll get your snow if it verifies. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 Just now, It's Always Sunny said: I feel like there are February-esque expectations here for this month lol. Just wait until the end of January and February...CFSv2 introduces -NAO and -EPO you'll get your snow if it verifies. This month has been better than many Februaries for me. And it’s only Dec 7 We on hiatus for a bit though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 1 minute ago, It's Always Sunny said: I feel like there are February-esque expectations here for this month lol. Just wait until the end of January and February...CFSv2 introduces -NAO and -EPO you'll get your snow if it verifies. Climo gets 'em every time. Even a "snowy" place like ORH in December averages nearly double the snow after 12/15 than during the front half of the month (9.0" vs. 5.6"). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 New Weather Order Toss climo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 7, 2019 Author Share Posted December 7, 2019 Not much track besides the anafrontal and cold shots behind cutters 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 3 hours ago, Dr. Dews said: can't believe the backside analfrontal lasted as many runs as it did Mm... tacitly observing the posting content the last three days since I lost interest in this week... I can only say that I think it's been over assessed by interpretation. So, it may be persistent, but there's a collective over clocking of what it may mean. > 50 % of the QPF mass in most ANA deals ends up being virga, particularly on the western/northern peripheries of smear. The models overdo these things, and surface realization in the cold air side is often evaporating - the previous model runs looked like moderate rain --> light mix ending as flurries based upon experience. It doesn't seem like the average poster is really aware of that sort of nuance. That said, this GGEM run decides to go prodigious enough to overcome that ... heh, we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Mm... tacitly observing the posting content the last three days since I lost interest in this week... I can only say that I think it's been over assessed by interpretation. So, it may be persistent, but there's a collective over clocking of what it may mean. > 50 % of the QPF mass in most ANA deals ends up being virga, particularly on the western/northern peripheries of smear. The models overdo these things, and surface realization in the cold air side is often evaporating - the previous model runs looked like moderate rain --> light mix ending as flurries based upon experience. It doesn't seem like the average poster is really aware of that sort of nuance. That said, this GGEM run decides to go prodigious enough to overcome that ... heh, we'll see. I think we are very much aware. Expectations are generally low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 41 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Do people read? I mean one of the smartest Mets on the board and all. Technicality....still from that family and will likely fade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 3 hours ago, Go Kart Mozart said: I think we are very much aware. Expectations are generally low. Who is 'we' ? I said the average poster... Mean, some do, some don't - I know what I'm seeing from y'all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 kissing cousins related? TIPPY is like the Elf on the shelf he sees and hears and knows all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 Slowly but surely losing the raging cutter next weekend. Propagating East and weaker 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Slowly but surely losing the raging cutter next weekend. Propagating East and weaker Still time, just needs to trend quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 4 hours ago, moneypitmike said: Only 10 days out.....what could possibly go wrong? Your right looks bad now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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