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December 2019 Discussion


Torch Tiger
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In the absence of the -NAO pulse, we are at the mercy of timing, and it is not looking good for mid month. There is still time, but right now the looks of the high over the atlantic does not engender much confidence. That high would have been pinned to our north had the SSW succeeded and excited phase 8 of MJO, but as is, no bueno.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/12/confidence-waning-for-mid-month-winter.html

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24 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

In the absence of the -NAO pulse, we are at the mercy of timing, and it is not looking good for mid month. There is still time, but right now the looks of the high over the atlantic does not engender much confidence. That high would have been pinned to our north had the SSW succeeded and excited phase 8 of MJO, but as is, no bueno.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/12/confidence-waning-for-mid-month-winter.html

Gefs has been consistent in showing a cold coastal.  Way different than the eps and euro.

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2 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Gefs has been consistent in showing a cold coastal.  Way different than the eps and euro.

GEFS were also consistent with showing a SSW. Way different than the EPS and euro.

Possible, but the timing needs to change....if the high escapes like that, coast will flip to rain.

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2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

In the absence of the -NAO pulse, we are at the mercy of timing, and it is not looking good for mid month. There is still time, but right now the looks of the high over the atlantic does not engender much confidence. That high would have been pinned to our north had the SSW succeeded and excited phase 8 of MJO, but as is, no bueno.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/12/confidence-waning-for-mid-month-winter.html

Another year, another pattern that trends in an unfavorable direction. At least you got the big storm recently, we're pretty much screwed down here for a very long time. 

A well timed SWFE may be the only thing that could save us as I highly doubt the anafrontal precip will work out.

The blocking will probably wait till the end of the season aka March though it'd be nice if the atmosphere could act like a typical Nino and give us a good February for a change. 

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Just now, SnoSki14 said:

Another year, another pattern that trends in an unfavorable direction. At least you got the big storm recently, we're pretty much screwed down here for a very long time. 

A well timed SWFE may be the only thing that could save us as I highly doubt the anafrontal precip will work out.

The blocking will probably wait till the end of the season aka March though it'd be nice if the atmosphere could act like a typical Nino and give us a good February for a change. 

Dude its the 1st week of December. You inner weenie is getting to you.

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14 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Another year, another pattern that trends in an unfavorable direction. At least you got the big storm recently, we're pretty much screwed down here for a very long time. 

A well timed SWFE may be the only thing that could save us as I highly doubt the anafrontal precip will work out.

The blocking will probably wait till the end of the season aka March though it'd be nice if the atmosphere could act like a typical Nino and give us a good February for a change. 

I don't think it will take until March. February should be fine.

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8 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

At least we have a cool day today and a chill tonight to allow us to temporarily forget the impending disaster.

1 full week of pack. Usually you can lock it in all winter , but not to be this year . Last deep winter run earlier this morning. Was so depressed thinking about all of us seeing grass by Tuesday 

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7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

1 full week of pack. Usually you can lock it in all winter , but not to be this year . Last deep winter run earlier this morning. Was so depressed thinking about all of us seeing grass by Tuesday 

Usually you can’t lock it in. Since when did we live in Goose Bay?

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