ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 A lot of those snow depths weren't the peak in E MA and RI either. They got like 6-10" two days later on 1/10. That little inverted trough that turned into a legit storm for eastern areas. I think like 2-4 was forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 13 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Interesting...elevation dependent. I guess we'll see how it trends. i figured some frozen on the front end due to very cold air over the weekend and snowcover, but then a change to pure rain before the next cold front....and then maybe that miller A, eh? 55-60 up there? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: A lot of those snow depths weren't the peak in E MA and RI either. They got like 6-10" two days later on 1/10. That little inverted trough that turned into a legit storm for eastern areas. I think like 2-4 was forecast. Was headed into unbelievable deep snow and then the dam broke literally a couple days later. This was another great storm that year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Pretty ugly right now on the EPS. Very ugly and the GEFS are pretty much garbage after 5 days. Much higher skill in the EPS for the LR. Cutter pattern looks likely with cold/dry to warm/wet on repeat. +AO/NAO are of no help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 Just now, SnoSki14 said: Very ugly and the GEFS are pretty much garbage after 5 days. Much higher skill in the EPS for the LR. Cutter pattern looks likely with cold/dry to warm/wet on repeat. +AO/NAO are of no help. Disagree as Kev would say violently 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Disagree as Kev would say violently He drinks early 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Disagree as Kev would say violently I like the day 10 potential. Guidance vacillating as usual, but big storm threat continues to show up across guidance. Seems the GFS and euro traded depictions but being that the majors have shown it at one time or another in the past day of runs has piqued my interest. I think this is the only one to watch for those wanting meaningful snow. But being out ~10 days, that’s about all you can say right now. Watch with interest... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 Still time to change the second one into something colder. The first one is a guarantee cutter right now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Still time to change the second one into something colder. The first one is a guarantee cutter right now. We will rip and read the GGEM at this range.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 Tomorrow trending more north. Definitely I-90 north deal I think. Maybe an inch near CT/R border? Could be nice 1-2 spot 3 for Hunchie to Ray on north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: We will rip and read the GGEM at this range.... Man high north of CAR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: 55-60 up there? I haven't looked at it - that warm? We tend to hold onto cold air here in this part of NH. Sometimes it will warm up in the Whites and west of us, but we are in the upper part of the Merrimack Valley so we dam the cold air well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: Very ugly and the GEFS are pretty much garbage after 5 days. Much higher skill in the EPS for the LR. Cutter pattern looks likely with cold/dry to warm/wet on repeat. +AO/NAO are of no help. Eps has been horrible this season. Gefs has been pretty good. You are forgetting the -epo. All I have seen from you are warm forecasts until it gets closer lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 4 hours ago, Dan76 said: WE6- 1212 NWS Hotline used to call it every hour when snow was forecasted Same here, except when my father got the phone bill he, in the tradition of the forums very capable moderators, no posted and banished me. Phone booth as my only option I had to walk to 13th Avenue or Fort Hamilton Pkwy to get in range of the nearest one. He was right, of course, but I wouldn’t admit that until now. You know, youth, age, waste and wisdom. As always..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: LOL Even the MADIS check gives it an "X" Their high was 41 yesterday. 41!!!! Nobody was close to that. Even Norwood which also caught the eye of the NWS was 39. This is an absolute joke. https://weather.gladstonefamily.net/site/search?site=KBOS;Get information=Get information;days=91#Data I was 41.4 yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 I wonder if there is some sort of database out there which records/measures the accuracy of MOS at each forecast location. I'd be curious to see where MOS does overly well and where it sucks. I have a feeling it's probably trash at Sioux Falls, SD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: We will rip and read the GGEM at this range.... LOL... I was thinking that this morning when I saw this "island" solution ... That's like 12" of snow, followed on the next panel by [ probably ] 1.6" of High-tention AC power tower bending ice accretion - real crumpling event. Then I go look at the Euro and ...egh. Thing is, though the GGEM is a dart fight at a blind people's convention ... the Euro is probably too far west, whole-scale, with that trough evolution. The D9 doesnt' have the appearance of necessary kinematics leading, that 24 hours later it could implode such a deep mid and u/a hemispheric scale R-wave juggernaut like the Euro ALWAYS fuggin does at that time range anyway. So, I'm willing to bet that's flatter - to what ultimate solution? Meh, ...who knows...but in and of its self, the Euro's annoying beyond D 6. The GFS's 6 z has it's own obnoxious rendition, which I mentioned a while ago... I think in general there's enough tele jolt going on mid month to assume ( still ) the warm up early in the week ( next ) is just a reset deal. In fact, the EPS is far less N-S amped comparing the operational run, and has strong corrective fropa already by the end of Tuesday. First it gets warm; then it gets cold; boom. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I was 41.4 yesterday Really? That’s seems rather high no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 Agree Tippy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 Yeah that seems high Ray. I forget what your station shielding looks like. Is it loaded with snow blocking the passive airflow? I think some of those passive shields can be susceptible to reflected solar radiation from the underside as well. The ASOS sites around you were all in that 37ish area. We had a lot of sun up here and even CON only reached 39F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 What the f* is this... .... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 59 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Eps has been horrible this season. Gefs has been pretty good. You are forgetting the -epo. All I have seen from you are warm forecasts until it gets closer lol Epo can dump cold air into the midsection and give a Chicago blizzard while we have sweaty southerly winds and rain. NAO/EPO combined is money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 Oh m g ... what will they come up with next. face smacking in the Olympics ? - that'd be awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: Epo can dump cold air into the midsection and give a Chicago blizzard while we have sweaty southerly winds and rain. Exactly lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 28 minutes ago, weathafella said: Epo can dump cold air into the midsection and give a Chicago blizzard while we have sweaty southerly winds and rain. NAO/EPO combined is money. EPS has been fine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 58 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Really? That’s seems rather high no? LWM had a high of 35. High of 33 at home in Methuen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 28 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Exactly lol Agree PNA/EPO please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 This is the remains of the garage next to the house in Enfield that my son rents. It collapsed under the weight of the heavy snow. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 1 minute ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: This is the remains of the garage next to the house in Enfield that my son rents. It collapsed under the weight of the heavy snow. Some good building codes there. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 1 minute ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: This is the remains of the garage next to the house in Enfield that my son rents. It collapsed under the weight of the heavy snow. I'm assuming it was an old garage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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