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December 2019 Discussion


Torch Tiger
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1 minute ago, weathafella said:

12z (what I was referring to yesterday) looked better 

I think it may be GOAK trough and maybe split flow. Kind of tough for many, but interior and NNE could always manage. It does have a cutter look at times. I’m just hoping it changes later in month because I’m all set with lousy December’s. Although it starts off well.

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I'd say on balance the operational GFS was cold actually ... It just has a two day stint of an active storm track NW of the region that everyone's focused upon like there's nothing else but the end of the world because of it - oh the humanity.  Actually, in some ways that looks like the ice storm in 1998 ... but who cares at our latitude, right -

But beyond that, a week or so from tomorrow, we cascade on a steady diet of low amplitude -EPO cold loaded air masses.  Just not a lot of specific entertainment modeled during that era... but, we used to have a saying back in my college lab days up there at UML...  'First it gets warm; then it gets cold; BOOM' ... well, the Euro too, both got the warm whip back to cold, ... maybe we just have to wait for the other ? The PNA is progged to remain elevated over at CPC, though the AO/NAO arc leaves a lot to be desired, granted... But, I haven't seen the EPO progs lately ...so the above surmise is just based upon what the operational run's general circulation vibes.  If we have +PNA under a pulsing low amp -EPO, that's still an interesting pattern. 

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