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December 2019 Discussion


Torch Tiger
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1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

Still shoveling a few Euro snowstorms this season... can’t trust any of them I say!

6-7 days out is basically weenie tag territory...or used to be.

All we can say is there's a decent chance of storm system nearby, but hard to say much else beyond that.

 

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24 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

6-7 days out is basically weenie tag territory...or used to be.

All we can say is there's a decent chance of storm system nearby, but hard to say much else beyond that.

 

Yeah, this last one couldn’t even be hit accurately at 24 hours out, but fun to keep seeing at least chances show up on the models.   Better than seeing two weeks of dry/boring on the runs.

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Just now, powderfreak said:

Yeah, this last one couldn’t even be hit accurately at 24 hours out, but fun to keep seeing at least chances show up on the models.   Better than seeing two weeks of dry/boring on the runs.

Yep, it's active and looks to stay that way. After the Dec 1-2 system, it looks like a mini-relaxation and then a PNA/EPO reload as the NAO ridging goes away.

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Just now, 512high said:

I thought the relaxation long range was mid December ? or am I way off on this?

I'm talking like a few days here...not some multiple week relaxation.

The period between when the NAO ridging goes away and before the PNA/EPO rebuilds, we could have a short term relaxation. It is not clear what happens beyond 12/10-15 or so.

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42 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Depending on how this tracks, Yes, There looks to be some transient blocking from the 50/50 low that comes thru on Weds-Thurs so this may try to go ENE under that before it gets here though.

you can see the isobars from the sw side of that 50-50 on that mean.  that gives me some confidence that cold air will hold at least for CNE and NNE.  But I've noticed that every storm progged to give us some snow has ended up warmer and wetter so far.  Normal for November and I'm glad to get water into the ground before the freeze.  But lets hope we get a shift here towards snowier outcomes.

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