40/70 Benchmark Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 EPS steady as she goes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 It’s time to bang a gong .. get it on .Snow is coming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 27, 2019 Author Share Posted November 27, 2019 up and in ftw if you want anything winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Not what I wanted to wake up to........I fear this one might be slipping through our fingers--at least for most of the board with things (outside EPS) shifting warmer. Then again, it's only Wednesday. Still plenty of time. When folks speak of the EPS are they speaking of the mean? If so, can you see the individual members' tracks to also see the dispersion? I can see them on the GEFS (and they suck). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Agree 100% 0z gfs was bad the 6z is even worse I hope this isn't the beginning of a trend. The gfs now has the low developing to far north and it's weak compared to yesterdays runs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Man what a beautiful set of overnight runs. Looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Gfs barely has any snow for anyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Man what a beautiful set of overnight runs. Looking good Dude----I think you might want to forget the models you dreamt of and take a look at the reality. The overall trend is not our friend. Still lots of time though. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Man what a beautiful set of overnight runs. Looking good For who ? Have you seen the latest GfS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 I don’t know what to believe...0z GFS at H5 looked fabulous to me before I went to bed. Ray just said EPS is steady as she goes, which means it is ok too..right? I mean we have to know that the OP runs are gonna show good things, and bad things too at this point. Can’t live and die with each of the OP runs every few hours either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Some of you should know better. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Gefs is right over NYC This threat is about to be dead for the coast and it's getting close for inland areas also . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gefs is right over NYC This threat is about to be dead for the coast and it's getting close for inland areas also . Cmon Ant...?? You of all people should know better. You’re acting like a novice lately here. We’re talking 5+ days out... And what do you expect for Dec 1st...especially for the coast?? Climo is a Beotch. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Just now, WinterWolf said: Cmon Ant...?? You of all people should know better. You’re acting like a novice lately here. We’re talking 5+ days out... Of course but the models are transferring this low further to the north and weakening the blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 15 minutes ago, Snow88 said: For who ? Have you seen the latest GfS? Who even uses or looks at the FV3? We use eps and good guidance. This never was a storm for NYC. That area is on the line all winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 It looks like a snow to ice to rain/mix to snow deal . It never was an all snow storm for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Of course but the models are transferring this low further to the north and weakening the blocking. The next run will be different...so don’t get all worked up. The block always weakens when you want it. And always strengthens when you don’t..you know that lol. This like any system that we follow 6-7 days out, will run the gamut of good then bad, then back again 2 or 3 times. You know the drill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Listen guys....this could easily go back to offshore. Let's give it some time. Hearts are breaking all over the place. Some of you talk about not get to caught up in the model runs, yet, here we go... " The threat is dead ", or " only a NNE special ". Is it not just Wednesday? We do have 5-6 days, right. I'm not deterred yet at all. Nor should any of you Nay sayers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 I’d favor CNE for a more snowy solution. Right now ORH to srn NH look to be maybe a snow to mix/ice scenario with maybe some rain in there before flipping back to a little -SN? Interior eastern MA to nrn CT probably a touch of snow and/or ice to start and then a cold rain before maybe a flip back. That’s how it looks now, but of course things can and will change. While the mid level warmth floods in, I think low level cold will be stubborn imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 So many folks fully invested in a Day 5-6 storm already. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Kitchen sink storm to kick off Met winter, nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 57 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Dude----I think you might want to forget the models you dreamt of and take a look at the reality. The overall trend is not our friend. Still lots of time though. What changed overnight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: So many folks fully invested in a Day 5-6 storm already. It’s like we’ve regressed with these things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 People praying for a Pope nudge south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 11-15 reloading on all guidance. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: What changed overnight? GFS at 00 and at 06, and CMC all showing a lot of liquid for most people, ICON sn-to-rn (thought I'm not sure what it had been showing). The GEFS member tracks are mostly hideous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: It’s like we’ve regressed with these things. People are just snow starved. Winter hasn’t begun yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: GFS at 00 and at 06, and CMC all showing a lot of liquid for most people. The GEFS member tracks are mostly hideous. Concern yourself with consistency at this point. Flip flopping does no one any good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: What changed overnight? Despite all the mets and experts pleading with the weenies not to look at the FV3 and it’s ensembles they continue to not only do that, but base their thoughts and forecasts on it. It’s insane. The good guidance stayed the course of a nice wintry event for New England with a variety of precip types Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It’s like we’ve regressed with these things. Amen! Solid winter expectations are still 10 days away in SNE especially eastern sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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