CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: What does moderate even mean ? Pacific reshuffle. Will warm up before PNA spike. But, that is assuming PNA spike. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Mild up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Pacific reshuffle. Will warm up before PNA spike. But, that is assuming PNA spike. I'd be shocked if it didn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Other than day or two of 40’s nothing is pointing to big furnace torch . In fact there’s sneaky Ginx LL ooze cold nearby with HP up there. Beware down below especially with deep pack regionally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 I know I’m not alone on this. We don’t even know storm track or snow/ ice amounts yet.. and people already taking fun out of it talking about some big furnace. Why can’t we just enjoy the lead up to storm and the cold after it and 2nd storm threat. 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Other than day or two of 40’s nothing is pointing to big furnace torch . In fact there’s sneaky Ginx LL ooze cold nearby with HP up there. Beware down below especially with deep pack regionally better install before it's too late . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBrosForever Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 12/5 storms triggered some great Capital Weather Gang discussions among Washington Post weather devotees between '14-16. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Other than day or two of 40’s nothing is pointing to big furnace torch . In fact there’s sneaky Ginx LL ooze cold nearby with HP up there. Beware down below especially with deep pack regionally All he said was warm up....not torch or furnace.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 It’s early December. Definitely not winter. It will moderate for sure. Maybe even 50s. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 can we retire "torch" i loathe that word. yes i'm triggered 2 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I know I’m not alone on this. We don’t even know storm track or snow/ ice amounts yet.. and people already taking fun out of it talking about some big furnace. Why can’t we just enjoy the lead up to storm and the cold after it and 2nd storm threat. When I see wire to wire December posts and texts fly, it’s time to put that nonsense to rest. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It’s early December. Definitely not winter. It will moderate for sure. Maybe even 50s. 50s isn’t even that far above normal for early December. That’s more “normal” than the 0F crap we had in the first half of November. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 50s is pretty normal for early December in SNE/Tri-State. The Avg high for the first week of December is 46-47F for BDR and probably only a couple degrees colder for BDL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s early December. Definitely not winter. It will moderate for sure. Maybe even 50s. Yeah when we don't have good cross polar, it will get pretty mild in early to mid December. Climo is tough. Its possible we get some inverted airmass that keeps us cooler but if we mix out then we're prob looking at a few days in the 40-50F range. But who knows...ensembles have been pretty woeful beyond 10 days so far this season. We've seen a lot of flip flopping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: 50s is pretty normal for early December in SNE/Tri-State. The Avg high for the first week of December is 46-47F for BDR and probably only a couple degrees colder for BDL. Yeah it just seems warm because it’s been so obscenely cold this month. Up here November still looks like: BTV... -6.2 MVL... -7.1 1V4.... -7.1 MPV... -7.2 53F today was like +7...compared to a week of like -20> departures it feels like June but in reality it’s more normal than the cold we saw. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 26, 2019 Author Share Posted November 26, 2019 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s early December. Definitely not winter. It will moderate for sure. Maybe even 50s. Maybe 60's 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Other than day or two of 40’s nothing is pointing to big furnace torch . In fact there’s sneaky Ginx LL ooze cold nearby with HP up there. Beware down below especially with deep pack regionally If we see a major snowstorm from NNE to near the coast. I could see the lower ends of this verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 There are many folks traveling this weekend. Wife’s friend is flying out on Monday. Thank goodness she saw @CT Rain mention possible storm last night and adjusted accordingly. She told me to thank him personally on here. 2 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 26, 2019 Author Share Posted November 26, 2019 want 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: There are many folks traveling this weekend. Wife’s friend is flying out on Monday. Thank goodness she saw @CT Rain mention possible storm last night and adjusted accordingly. She told me to thank him personally on here. Some get it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah when we don't have good cross polar, it will get pretty mild in early to mid December. Climo is tough. Its possible we get some inverted airmass that keeps us cooler but if we mix out then we're prob looking at a few days in the 40-50F range. But who knows...ensembles have been pretty woeful beyond 10 days so far this season. We've seen a lot of flip flopping. Yeah I mean I don’t think it lasts if EPS is right, but it does look like we lose the cold and flow more zonal. So it will be mild for a time. Hopefully the ensembles are correct in reshuffle. I do know some are thinking milder second half, but everything lately has been a wild azz guess. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Some get it She would have otherwise not known and booked a flight in a nightmare scenario Monday morning. She is flying out very early on Sunday now. Smart move to be proactive thanks to a well respected Met giving the public just a little heads up. Even if no storm occurs, weather impacts are no longer adding stress to her planning. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 GFS was like Cialis for weenies . All excited. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 42 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I know I’m not alone on this. We don’t even know storm track or snow/ ice amounts yet.. and people already taking fun out of it talking about some big furnace. Why can’t we just enjoy the lead up to storm and the cold after it and 2nd storm threat. You are not alone. I’ll walk with ya. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You are not alone. I’ll walk with ya. It’s like he has to be first to get it out there . No need Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s like he has to be first to get it out there . No need Because you pollute the thread with all cold all the time and false hopes. You’re going to make people jump because of false hopes. I’m just telling you what guidance has. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Because you pollute the thread with all cold all the time and false hopes. You’re going to make people jump because of false hopes. I’m just telling you what guidance has. Guidance gave Freak 8-12. How did that work out. Let us just enjoy the storm . That’s all we’re asking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Hopefully we get a series of transient blocks to help moderate any pacific airmasses in the LR. It'll get stale pretty quickly and favor elevation, but get us on the board while we're semi fresh and then we can sacrifice one to base building up north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s like he has to be first to get it out there . No need Let’s cash in on these wintery times first...and worry about moderation in 10 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah I mean I don’t think it lasts if EPS is right, but it does look like we lose the cold and flow more zonal. So it will be mild for a time. Hopefully the ensembles are correct in reshuffle. I do know some are thinking milder second half, but everything lately has been a wild azz guess. I think late December through early January we thaw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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