MJO812 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: Euro should be a hugger. Gfs blows and on its own. No it isnt. Euro is the warmest and we know the models will change a million times. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Just now, Snow88 said: Yep. Possible solution but we know how these models are days out. Euro trends to be overamped at times. Which model has the confirmed cold bias again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Any benefit to being ne, closer to confluence? Think that'll depend upon how quickly the MLs can close off. That's a brisk southerly flow ahead of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Just now, Snow88 said: No it isnt. Euro is the warmest and we know the models will change a million times. It is on its own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 132-144 hours is still a long ways out....lots can change....missing snow by 50 or 100 miles at this point is nothing. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Think that'll depend upon how quickly the MLs can close off. That's a brisk southerly flow ahead of it. I know...haven't awwn anything, but just hedging based off posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Looks like it ends as bands of light snow. Hey this far out anything is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 That low occluded rather quickly this run once H5 closed off over NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like it ends as bands of light snow. Hey this far out anything is possible. Weird evolution but certainly possible it cuts off like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 8 minutes ago, Snow88 said: No it isnt. Euro is the warmest and we know the models will change a million times. ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 What I hate most is the faster occlusion rather than the slightly closer track. ...the latter is more likely to be noise at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Compromise between the 2 would be perfect..but I'm not a dreamer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 10 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Compromise between the 2 would be perfect..but I'm not a dreamer. I personally only like model compromise as a reasonable forecast option inside of 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 EPS near benchmark. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: EPS near benchmark. GFS still out to lunch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: EPS near benchmark. Bit outside Tbh..looks great 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 And with that last sent email....we done with work and we start vacaaationnn! Let the holiday storm tracking commence! 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 2 hours ago, CT Rain said: At 5 days out... lol. What a hype machine in Moosup you've become. Yea me and my million viewers think so. Glad I made a first alert map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: You’re still a kid. It starts late 30’s ish. Mark my words You understand its possible to like both . I mean everything is not either or, yin yang, come si come sa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 2 hours ago, J Paul Gordon said: I have no problem liking both now that I am in my 7th decade. I really don't like the sloppiness of the melt down after a snowy winter and spring is a non starter here until May. Summer is whatever. If I'm near the ocean I can tolerate it most of the time without the AC (we have a great cross breeze in our little contel a mile from the water in Maine). But fall, when its dry and warm in the day and just chilly at night.. who can complain about the October feel in the air and the smell of fallen leaves? If a foot of snow comes on Sunday, then Hallelujah to that, too. Some know some dont 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro is a nice cold rainstorm verbatim....though some ice in N ORH county and Berks. But that's not a terrible look at this range....it will prob transition to snow in the next few panels. Kevin wanted your analysis but immediately discounted it. Classic Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 I am proud of my rants yesterday for 2 reasons. I believe it and it took me causing Ryan @CT Rain to get butt hurt to bring him back to us. Maybe he could give analysis like he used to now. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: You’re still a kid. It starts late 30’s ish. Mark my words you are absolutely right. Now that i'm in my middle 30s I love the HHH. It just gives you a relaxing feeling like no other, especially if you're just chilling by a pool or lake, maybe taking a few casts for bucket mouth bass on a sultry summer evening. Nothing better. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Euro height RH overlays for Mansfield Ct shows the warm air issue One for Dendy too. Congrats Dendrite 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 26, 2019 Author Share Posted November 26, 2019 any D5 analogs (weenielogs) being tossed around yet? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 26, 2019 Author Share Posted November 26, 2019 Yesterdays cpc Analogs to the 5 day mean observed pattern centered 3 days ago (D-3) for the region from 20N to 70N latitude and 175E to 60W longitude include the 5 day periods centered on the following dates: 19711119 - 19671121 - 20041123 - 19921201 - 20051209 Analogs to the 7 day mean observed pattern centered 4 days ago (D-4) for the region from 20N to 70N latitude and 175E to 60W longitude include the 7 day periods centered on the following dates: 19671121 - 19711120 - 20041123 - 20071104 - 19591206 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I am proud of my rants yesterday for 2 reasons. I believe it and it took me causing Ryan @CT Rain to get butt hurt to bring him back to us. Maybe he could give analysis like he used to now. Proud of their rants lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 12/92 yo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 26, 2019 Author Share Posted November 26, 2019 Though not entirely relevant, today's cpc Analogs to the 5 day mean observed pattern centered 3 days ago (D-3) for the region from 20N to 70N latitude and 175E to 60W longitude include the 5 day periods centered on the following dates: 19611206 - 19671122 - 19661106 - 19551110 - 19511210 Analogs to the 7 day mean observed pattern centered 4 days ago (D-4) for the region from 20N to 70N latitude and 175E to 60W longitude include the 7 day periods centered on the following dates: 19611205 - 19661105 - 19551111 - 19691113 - 19671122 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 12/92 yo. We are either going to hug or suppress I’m not sure I’m buying a benchmark track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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