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December 2019 Discussion


Torch Tiger
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It honestly doesn't look like a torch right now in terms of on-ground sensible wx...we lose the arctic air, but we have a sfc high rotting almost over us (or just west of us on EPS)....that is not a torch look. We can be like +2C at 850 in that setup and have a dry high temp of upper 30s to 40F with low dewpoints and low mixing.

If we start getting a high off the carolinas with strong SW winds, then maybe we can reassess.

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4 hours ago, EastonSN+ said:

Nice 24 flip on the GEFS EPO

Yesterday first today second

 

Fwiw and future reference... The tea-leafs on that were in the stalwart WPO's positive ...  That' index tends to relay into the EPO rather effectively, such that unless that  positive/negative coupled in the first panel was preceded by the WPO's falling index - which it was not in this case - be leery of any negative EPO.  This time that tendency put up the faux omen, but has many times in the past as well.  If the WPO descends first or in tandem, that's a better indicator for an EPO crash.  

 

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19 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

This is why you shouldn't invest in and get excited about Day8 or Day 9 OP runs. 

haha, yep....he always gets obsessed with long range threats. I'm only picking on him because he should know better by now having been on the forums for over a decade.

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16 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

This is why you shouldn't invest in and get excited about Day8 or Day 9 OP runs. 

I don’t think he was investing in it per say, but more just looking at modeling and what it was showing.  In all fairness..others too got a lil excited on Saturday night when the Euro had it too.  So it may not be exactly fair to single Anthony out about that all by himself.  
 

Most in here liked where the extended looked to be headed for next week... but has since gone away from the nice idea of a wintry look. 

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