moneypitmike Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Quite possible. Very, very sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 19 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Very, very sad. No way in hell we can complain. First off that’s a huge assumption for the interior. Secondly, I think ORH had like 0.2” last December. Pretty effing bad. Tough to get a big long lasting pack in SNE in December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 33 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Very, very sad. What a queen. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 Pack fetish. No desire to see brown crusty shit on the ground. Give me brown grass. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 I think the 18z GFS is going to like the system around the 22nd, More northern stream interaction, Better but still needs work, Plenty of time left though for this to go one way or the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: No way in hell we can complain. First off that’s a huge assumption for the interior. Secondly, I think ORH had like 0.2” last December. Pretty effing bad. Tough to get a big long lasting pack in SNE in December. This is true......it's also tough to get between 20-30" of snow in December and have nothing to show for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 42 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: This is true......it's also tough to get between 20-30" of snow in December and have nothing to show for it. Much easier than it is in January and February.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 38 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: This is true......it's also tough to get between 20-30" of snow in December and have nothing to show for it. But how often has SNE had 20-30" in December to compare it too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: But how often has SNE had 20-30" in December to compare it too? ORH has 20 Decembers over 20 inches. But very few of them had that much by mid-month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: ORH has 20 Decembers over 20 inches. But very few of them had that much by mid-month. Yeah, I can see getting 20" over the whole month, Chances of hanging on to snow pack increases as you get further along in Dec too if you can avoid the grinch, I avg 22" here for the month, But never had those totals in the first 10 days or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 Even if next weekend whiffs, still got the week after Christmas which looks active still. Doesn’t look dry imo. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 Just keep it active. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstoned Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: But it’s not one is the thing. Davis straight says no chance New England Confused. Heard rumors Davis is gay. (Or, he don't no how too spell) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: But it’s not one is the thing. Davis straight says no chance New England What'd I say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 3 hours ago, Albert A Clipper said: horse will be dead first... I’m trying to figure out what this means..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 15, 2019 Author Share Posted December 15, 2019 1 minute ago, weathafella said: I’m trying to figure out what this means..... from the -epo horse being beaten for months Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: from the -epo horse being beaten for months You mean the EPO we’ve had since autumn modeled to relax and come back...that one? You’re a dummy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 2 hours ago, dryslot said: Just keep it active. I, for one, did not like the active pattern of the past couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 14 hours ago, CoastalWx said: I know sometimes for convection if you're looking for something subtle to get lift going, or in the tropics when the steering currents are tough to visualize, it helps. Any good sites for that? I usually have a couple of ones that I normally look at. College of DuPage has the dynamic tropopause for the GFS, and Alicia Bentley has some good stuff on her UAlbany webpage. Pretty sure Tidbits does some now too. 14 hours ago, WinterWolf said: The strong shortwave idea maybe even makes more sense to me as an untrained/uneducated layman. So the PV(potential vorticity)perhaps can help strengthen the initial S/W even further?? Is this right? Yes The PV anomaly has a cyclonic circulation around it, which can contribute to vorticity at 500 mb (but that's just one level which is the problem if the shortwave is located higher up in the atmosphere). The circulation that develops at the surface as a result can then result in low level PV generation once WAA gets going (diabatic heat release (convection) is the most common way). This then induces enhanced circulation aloft, and so on. Kind of like constructive interference where the lower and upper levels continue to feed off one another. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 09 and 2010? two years in row neared 40 in interior SNE somewhere around them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Just based off hr102 I think the GFS will be closer for next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Just based off hr102 I think the GFS will be closer for next weekend GFS being closer meaning something good I take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said: GFS being closer meaning something good I take it Evolution at 500mb is night and day from 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 16, 2019 Author Share Posted December 16, 2019 Rough 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 1 hour ago, Dr. Dews said: Rough Actually not that warm in e Ne.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Based on morning models it appears some light snow or mix Sunday night then fropa with storm missing . But temps next week mid- upper 30’s for Eve and Day. That’ll work for a white one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 16, 2019 Author Share Posted December 16, 2019 14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Actually not that warm in e Ne.. torched source region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 2 hours ago, Dr. Dews said: Rough Wow that's horrendous. Isotherm will score big time if that's correct. SNE should be very thankful for those snow events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Any chance this can come back into the models as a storm threat? I'd hate to think once it gone, it's not coming back? We've seen this before with other systems, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 16, 2019 Author Share Posted December 16, 2019 I didn't read anything by earthlight in detail but yeah, when the dust settles, a few snow/ice events peppered around robust cutters and a torching pac should just about sum it up this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now