Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s not a juicy icer. Save money on genny gas and donate it to toys for tots. Over an inch qpf. These always amp up too as we get closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Models are super heavy with rain tonight and tomorrow. Heavy heavy basement flooding. I still have water in my basement from the last one. There’s no pack this time around, but the ground got a nice freezing the past couple nights. I wish we could torch into the 50s up here to thaw the ground out and let it soak in, but it’ll probably run off to my foundation and soak in there. At least I’m running 100ft of drainage pipe from my back gutters to the side of the yard so that half of my old problems now become my neighbor’s. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 2 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: I noticed that yesterday over there finishing a generator installation. I was surprised to see that much still otg by the airport. Close to the same up here in Westfield, about 9 inches left. Do you know how warm BDL got Tuesday? I know it took a while for the warmer air to move up into that area. I think they finally pushed well into the 40's? But when I was getting home like 7:00ish there was some pretty damn dense fog. Then again...when you got like 15'' or whatever from a storm it takes a bit to melt...especially considering the fact that all the snow gets piled up further with snow removal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Over an inch qpf. These always amp up too as we get closer So then it will be a cold rain with that logic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: I still have water in my basement from the last one. There’s no pack this time around, but the ground got a nice freezing the past couple nights. I wish we could torch into the 50s up here to thaw the ground out and let it soak in, but it’ll probably run off to my foundation and soak in there. At least I’m running 100ft of drainage pipe from my back gutters to the side of the yard so that half of my old problems now become my neighbor’s. French drain maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: So then it will be a cold rain with that logic. Colder press from the high and more juice from the gulf = more frozen qpf. Wild times ahead this month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 19 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I still have a decent snow depth in Windsor Locks...probably a good at least a good 6-8'' on the ground. Take a picture--that's all you'll have to remember it by tomorrow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 BDL doesn’t get out of the 30’s tomorrow with 40’s elsewhere ... BDL will keep snow. Hi res NAM keeps CT valley cold till fropa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: BDL doesn’t get out of the 30’s tomorrow with 40’s elsewhere ... BDL will keri snow. Hi res NAM keeps CT valley cold till fropa 2-3” of rain will take care of a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Get the sandbags ready, Ginx! * Heavy rain late tonight through Saturday morning will result in widespread 1.50 to 2.50 inches of rain. Localized higher amounts of 3 to 3.50 inches are possible. This will bring the potential for flooding, which will continue through the weekend on some rivers as a result of runoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Sunday mild too. 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Remember the Pawcatuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Colder press from the high and more juice from the gulf = more frozen qpf. Wild times ahead this month It could juice up. But if it does, it might be on front end for snow. Ice may happen more when it gets slotty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: French drain maybe? Yea I would invest if I had those problems. Having mold grow below creeps me out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Colder press from the high and more juice from the gulf = more frozen qpf. Wild times ahead this month I'd be surprised if anyone got more than a quarter inch of accretion. Maybe a third if everything goes right. System is moving too fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 I still have frozen puddles in my yard from the last system. Sump has been running occasionally, I’m guessing that will turn more frequent tonight and tomorrow. Hopefully flying to near 60 will help thaw the ground so the water can soak in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I still have frozen puddles in my yard from the last system. Sump has been running occasionally, I’m guessing that will turn more frequent tonight and tomorrow. Hopefully flying to near 60 will help thaw the ground so the water can soak in See you tonite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 I'm not sure how deep the frozen ground is at this point. Aside from the diaster earlier in the week, I imagine the cold of the month has it pretty deep. I suspect that could make for a lot of lawn puddles and more 'street streams' than in a typical heavy rain event. Meanwhile, no mention in the BOX AFD about icing potential, simply to a 'mixed-bag' of precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Euro did at least show a southern vort for the pre santa miracle. It just dug into the GOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: I'm not sure how deep the frozen ground is at this point. Aside from the diaster earlier in the week, I imagine the cold of the month has it pretty deep. I suspect that could make for a lot of lawn puddles and more 'street streams' than in a typical heavy rain event. Meanwhile, no mention in the BOX AFD about icing potential, simply to a 'mixed-bag' of precipitation. Too early to really get that specific about next week. Could be a classic SWFE where we get advisory snows followed by some sleet and ice but accretion isn't a big deal....or maybe it ends up a bit icier. I don't think it would be a big time ice event with the speed of the system. It's mostly in and out in about 12-18 hours. The shortwave gets sheared apart which tells me this will not be that big of a deal. Maybe that changes on future runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Euro (only goes to 90 hours 6/18z) looks flatter to me vs 0Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 13, 2019 Author Share Posted December 13, 2019 hopefully we can get at least 1/4" ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Euro (only goes to 90 hours 6/18z) looks flatter to me vs 0Z Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Euro (only goes to 90 hours 6/18z) looks flatter to me vs 0Z It does, but I find the off hour runs bounce around on the euro. Just something I’ve noticed anecdotally. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 I was hoping that although this is a weak system, that elongated warm front extending to the northeast would provide extended precip. You can see that on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It does, but I find the off hour runs bounce around on the euro. Just something I’ve noticed anecdotally. And your right, Wanted to mention this a while ago, But the 06z and 18z runs are not always lock step with the 0z and 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 I thought this had overrunning potential a few days back but it hasn’t quiet showed up yet as I envisioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Which model nailed this prolific rainer 7 days ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: And your right, Wanted to mention this a while ago, But the 06z and 18z runs are not always lock step with the 0z and 12z run. So it begs the old question...less up to date upper air data? I thought that was no longer true? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Just now, Lava Rock said: Which model nailed this prolific rainer 7 days ago? all of them lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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