Spanks45 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Euro was relatively bad in Jan16 for the north of Balt crowd. It had nothing north of Philly even at D2. gfs was also south. Nam had the north idea although it was too bullish. Yeah I remember the big changes with the northern edge of precip, especially when you are being fringed 24 hrs to gametime. I was thinking more on the lines of picking up on a long duration snowstorm, well in advanced.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 1 minute ago, Spanks45 said: Yeah I remember the big changes with the northern edge of precip, especially when you are being fringed 24 hrs to gametime. I was thinking more on the lines of picking up on a long duration snowstorm, well in advanced.... Oh the long duration was well modeled across the board iirc, yea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Euro was relatively bad in Jan16 for the north of Balt crowd. It had nothing north of Philly even at D2. gfs was also south. Nam had the north idea although it was too bullish. It wasn’t bullish for us. Regardless euro is still king but nam has been a bit better lately. I don’t mind the gfs but it does get things wrong a lot. For the upcoming event though models start picking it up and kinda sticking to it because of the longevity of the event. It seems more difficult for models to pick up fast and strong systems. I just want a 36 inch snow event this year and I’ll be contend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Run to run consistency on GFS is impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 1 minute ago, NYCweatherNOW said: It wasn’t bullish for us. Regardless euro is still king but nam has been a bit better lately. I don’t mind the gfs but it does get things wrong a lot. For the upcoming event though models start picking it up and kinda sticking to it because of the longevity of the event. It seems more difficult for models to pick up fast and strong systems. I just want a 36 inch snow event this year and I’ll be contend Just 3 feet at once huh, not a problem 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Suppression city on the new GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Just 3 feet at once huh, not a problem I think he was just kidding around...being sarcastic?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 GFS pressing more this run trending se which is where we want it at this time frame. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Block stronger this run, should lead to a colder solution. Regardless, we have a shot at something. Hopefully Euro can keep improving so Ryan’s first alert can be upgraded to final alerts and warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Verbatim that H5/7/8 track would bring more fun than depicted I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Verbatim that H5 track would bring more fun than depicted I think. I would have to disagree. With the heights crashing like that and the baroclonic zone pushed off to the SE. also it never goes negative. Until it’s off the coast at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 If correct, the GFS has some snow as early as Sunday morning. The whole thing might just end up as a SWFE. Few inches of snow to sleet/ freezing rain to drizzle before ending and the secondary developing a hair too late, just offshore.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Let’s not sweat gfs details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 3 hours ago, moneypitmike said: I have as much confidence in the King as I would having Prince Andrew as a babysitter. It's a shadow of its old self. BINGO. But prince Andrew wouldn’t be “SWEATING” the details at this point...lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 9 minutes ago, weathafella said: GFS pressing more this run trending se which is where we want it at this time frame. I loled at the snow map though. AEMATT crew would not be thrilled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Block stronger this run, should lead to a colder solution. Regardless, we have a shot at something. Hopefully Euro can keep improving so Ryan’s first alert can be upgraded to final alerts and warnings. Lol better hope its not so strong its a Scooter streak and then its FA cancel 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 South trend continues, not surprised at all. Euro should be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Clearly the sarcasm went way over your head. Some of your guys are playing games. Your sarcasm is someone else's dig. Just be more mindful man. Thats all I am saying. Now lets talk Weather, shall we? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 26, 2019 Author Share Posted November 26, 2019 gfs being south is somewhat promising Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 An early Dec whiff south would be eerily reminiscent of last year, but still don't see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 CMC came south, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Euro more robust and a tick se: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Biggest change was the 50/50 low has trended a bit more potent and NW....watch that. Seems to be most uncertainty with that, as Greenland ridging seems destined to cede ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 5 hours ago, Spanks45 said: Yeah I remember the big changes with the northern edge of precip, especially when you are being fringed 24 hrs to gametime. I was thinking more on the lines of picking up on a long duration snowstorm, well in advanced.... and the storm lasted an extra 6 hours even beyond what close-in models predicted, which is how we got 30"+ right at the coast. My favorite storm of all time for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 5 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Euro was relatively bad in Jan16 for the north of Balt crowd. It had nothing north of Philly even at D2. gfs was also south. Nam had the north idea although it was too bullish. My favorite storm of all time, the bulls eye was Allentown to Morris Plains to JFK all with over 30" of snow and 3" LE! We had 6+ hours of true blizzard conditions with it. I have 64 GB of photos and videos from that storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 6 hours ago, WinterWolf said: BINGO. But prince Andrew wouldn’t be “SWEATING” the details at this point...lol That's the second PA joke of the night. He laughs in the face of DIT's Charmin posts. Congrats MVY on the 06z gfs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Seems like it’s coming despite yesterday’s angry posts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Ukie and Euro look similar through hr 144. Ukie only goes to hr 144. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Euro ticking, weenie’s percolating. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 32 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: That's the second PA joke of the night. He laughs in the face of DIT's Charmin posts. Congrats MVY on the 06z gfs. 70/30 Euro/GFS blend = crush job. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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