PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 On 12/24/2019 at 4:57 PM, CoastalWx said: Was it the 12z GFS 9 years ago that started disrobing some weenies? I know it was a screw job in many areas, but that was a hell of a storm. Boxing Day. Expand By Hr 264 a pacific zonal flow develops. But you can also see a small piece of energy breaking off that southern SW likely going to down a storm day 11! Makes me think the cold will be halted this run for sure. . In fact the long range part of this run 10days on looks pretty bleh. Mainly Zonal flow . Artic shortwave not digging down into Canada.nearly as much .long range wobbling. We will see. Everyone run drastically differently. Analyzing is fun but obviously taken with a grain of salt. Small storm forms day 11 which looks pretty good early on. Piece of energy gets funneled from SW across country to the easternshortwave . Crazy how weather works Gives everyone on this board some snow! Happy tracking 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 24, 2019 Author Share Posted December 24, 2019 On 12/24/2019 at 4:57 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: Do you think Wiz should fire up a May 1 thread? Expand If he has not already, certainly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 On 12/24/2019 at 4:57 PM, CoastalWx said: Was it the 12z GFS 9 years ago that started disrobing some weenies? I know it was a screw job in many areas, but that was a hell of a storm. Boxing Day. Expand That was insane. I will never forget that when the ULL captured it and brought it back. I think the 12z NAM started the trend tho. The run before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 1050 HP high north of main long range. I think it will be cold and lots of chances for snow. Agree to disagree 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 Thin snowcover remains here. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 Plowed snowbanks line most of the streets around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 Shady side of street is snow covered for me but hippy wins the retention prize! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 On 12/24/2019 at 4:57 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: Do you think Wiz should fire up a May 1 thread? Expand I'm skiing on Thursday, might be the last chance this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 3" OTG here. Looks similar to Hippy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 On 12/24/2019 at 5:48 PM, dendrite said: 3" OTG here. Looks similar to Hippy. Expand 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 On 12/24/2019 at 5:21 PM, weathafella said: Shady side of street is snow covered for me but hippy wins the retention prize! Expand My neighborhood is fantastic at snow retention, jackpots not so much. I think what really helped is that although last weeks storm was only five or so inches, it was high water content stuff so it had some good staying power, especially after yesterday’s thaw and last nights freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 St. John’s getting the goods. Congrats to them for a true white Christmas. About 90% snow cover here but it’s rough. Inch or two at best. I’ll take it. Hopefully pattern improves in the new year. Merry Christmas to all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 On 12/24/2019 at 4:28 PM, dryslot said: Some of you have had a great Dec and i probably have as much or more then some of you left.............., I would't go as far as calling it a pack though......... Expand DIT identifies anything that's less than brown as a pack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 There is honestly no reason to melt. Every winter has a $hit stretch. We are crushing climo. Enjoy the holidays and step back. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 Merry Christmas Eve to everyone celebrating it. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 We still have a thin crust hanging on for dear life in Westfield. About 60 percent coverage. We should have a small amount left tomorrow but it won't last long! Merry Christmas and happy Holidays to all of you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 On 12/24/2019 at 6:33 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: There is honestly no reason to melt. Every winter has a $hit stretch. We are crushing climo. Enjoy the holidays and step back. Expand There is nothing in the long range that screams winter cancel. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 On 12/24/2019 at 6:04 PM, Hazey said: St. John’s getting the goods. Congrats to them for a true white Christmas. About 90% snow cover here but it’s rough. Inch or two at best. I’ll take it. Hopefully pattern improves in the new year. Merry Christmas to all. Expand We had a couple inches on the ground 2-3 days ago, it has all but melted. It was 48F yesterday lol. St. John's about to get a blizzard tonight. Merry Christmas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 On 12/24/2019 at 4:57 PM, CoastalWx said: Was it the 12z GFS 9 years ago that started disrobing some weenies? I know it was a screw job in many areas, but that was a hell of a storm. Boxing Day. Expand One of my favorite storms. I think the disrobing was the on the 23rd 0z gfs. The gfs got there first and the euro came around by 12z. One local met, Janice Huff on the 23rd, called for 2 inches while nick Gregory started honking in one of the first times I recall our NY local Mets mentioning models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 On 12/24/2019 at 7:10 PM, cleetussnow said: One of my favorite storms. I think the disrobing was the on the 23rd 0z gfs. The gfs got there first and the euro came around by 12z. One local met, Janice Huff on the 23rd, called for 2 inches while nick Gregory started honking in one of the first times I recall our NY local Mets mentioning models. Expand Was that the one when NCEP said to disregard the GFS because of some glitch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 Back lurking back on the NE forum, as CO has become a December desert and boring as all hell. Anyone remember waaay back in around 1982 when we had "computer models" that predicted a last minute bomb and NWS BOX to issue short-fuse winter storm warnings about 11 PM on Christmas Eve? The Weather Channel had a scrolling red screen, and my high school self got all excited, till the next morning when we realized it was all just a computer-generated dream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 nice string of wintry potential on the gfs late next week and beyond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 On 12/24/2019 at 7:27 PM, moneypitmike said: Was that the one when NCEP said to disregard the GFS because of some glitch? Expand Yes! They said bad inits. A rare gfs coup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 On 12/24/2019 at 7:27 PM, moneypitmike said: Was that the one when NCEP said to disregard the GFS because of some glitch? Expand Yep. I remember that. But also remember that from 7 days out there were GFS and Euro solutions that were all over the storm, and then it flattened out to nothing on the models. I remember because at 6 days I was honking to all my friends about this major storm, and I sent an email to like 50 people. Then the models backed off, but I was too busy at work to cancel the storm. So when it came around again and dropped 17 inches on us, everyone thought i could see around corners. I never copped to it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 My friend thinks the models will trend colder because of the SOI. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 On 12/24/2019 at 7:10 PM, cleetussnow said: One of my favorite storms. I think the disrobing was the on the 23rd 0z gfs. The gfs got there first and the euro came around by 12z. One local met, Janice Huff on the 23rd, called for 2 inches while nick Gregory started honking in one of the first times I recall our NY local Mets mentioning models. Expand Even later than that actually, it was the 24.12z GFS that roared west. WPC (nee HPC) tossed that idea in favor of continuity of forecast because it mishandled heights, vorticity, and RH in the Dakotas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 Eps is pretty cold in the long range 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 On 12/24/2019 at 9:12 PM, weathafella said: Eps is pretty cold in the long range Expand Nice change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 On 12/24/2019 at 9:12 PM, weathafella said: Eps is pretty cold in the long range Expand Ying and yang. If there is good news is that highly anomalous SE ridging isn’t modeled yet. Just a bit AN which is good for us usually. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 On 12/24/2019 at 9:19 PM, CoastalWx said: Ying and yang. If there is good news is that highly anomalous SE ridging isn’t modeled yet. Just a bit AN which is good for us usually. Expand It’s actually yin and yang. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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