IrishRob17 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 58 minutes ago, dryslot said: He still lives in Caribou but he's a tugboat cpt in NY i think. He was years ago for sure, he and I would chat about conditions on the Hudson around Newburgh. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Just now, IrishRob17 said: He was years ago for sure, he and I would chat about conditions on the Hudson around Newburgh. I haven't chatted with him in a few years, He was on one of the snowmobile sites i am on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: I haven't chatted with him in a few years, He was on one of the snowmobile sites i am on. Same here, it’s been a long time since he and I have been in contact. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 I don't see any discrete threat to hitch your wagon to, so to speak.....thus an interval to allocate time and energy elsewhere for me. The reprieve second half of December was expected, but hopefully we get going again earlier in January that I had feared/anticipated. There seems to be some support for that, but I haven't looked that far ahead much since the outlook. I'd like to get going again in order to redeem what has been a pretty futile medium range forecasting effort from me this season, after the hot start with the early season big fish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Close the shades on the rest of Dec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Close the shades on the rest of Dec I feel like this month has already been a big win for those of us among the cold/snowy December contingent....pretty risky call in a warm ENSO year, but it was the right call and it was ballsy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Close the shades on the rest of DecOvah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I feel like this month has already been a big win for those of us among the cold/snowy December contingent....pretty risky call in a warm ENSO year, but it was the right call and it was ballsy. Some of us were not as fortunate, The cutters and misses will dominate the headlines so it will go down as subpar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: Some of us was as fortunate so it will go down as subpar. Your account belies reality on a grander scale. I'm willing to bet that have suceeded in registering a negative monthly snowfall anomaly in the face of a surplus of precipitation coupled with a negative temperature departure. Saddle up and enjoy straddling the same cosmic dildo that I did for four months last year. I think I had you at like -2 to -3 departure for the month, which I would wager to say will work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Anyway, lets wait to see what you end up with by April 1... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 If we were to get shut out through NY, it definitely will sour the fun we had though. 2nd half of the month quiet pattern with a pre Christmas melt (I know some will have snow) definitely isn't ideal. That said, I enjoyed the first half. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm willing to bet that have suceeded in registering a negative monthly snowfall anomaly in the face of a surplus of precipitation coupled with a negative temperature departure. Saddle up and enjoy straddling the same cosmic dildo that I did for four months last year. I think I had you at like -2 to -3 departure for the month, which I would wager to say will work out. Not sure we will be much better then -1 for December., If it wasn't for a great march last year, The season here would have finished below normal so its not like we set any records last season either, Some have this perception that when they see NNE having a great winter, That down this way is as well which in many instances is not the case, Kind of a tweener between NNE/CNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: If we were to get shut out through NY, it definitely will sour the fun we had though. 2nd half of the month quiet pattern with a pre Christmas melt (I know some will have snow) definitely isn't ideal. That said, I enjoyed the first half. I don't think anyone will ever endeavor to forecast the aggregate sentiment of the snow weenie, nor should they. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: Not sure we will be much better then -1 for December., If it wasn't for a great march last year, The season here would have finished below normal so its not like we set any records last season either, Some have this perception that when they see NNE having a great winter, That down this way is as well which in many instances is not the case, Kind of a tweener between NNE/CNE. I'll check at month's end...may have been -1 to -2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll check at month's end...may have been -1 to -2. Using GYX right now -1.3, Even AUG is -0.2 and will take a hit the next few days so i'm thinking closer to normal or slightly above which in many seasons is good enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 26 minutes ago, dryslot said: Close the shades on the rest of Dec Agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Not a fan of the GEFS teleconnections today. No idea what EPS has. At least PNA looks ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 I'm not sure what all of you are saying, but, I'm in Central Connecticut and we've already received about 18"-20" in here in Plainville. That is definitely not a bad start for December. So it's not just NNE or CNE, it's also Southern New England 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 33 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Not a fan of the GEFS teleconnections today. No idea what EPS has. At least PNA looks ok. These change daily People have told me to take these with a grain of salt 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redbanknjandbigbasslakepa Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Lots of people including my family heading up to the mountains between Christmas and NY for skiing. Will or anyone else care to shed some light on what you think of the chances of rain/snow for the resorts, Stratton, Kmart, NH resorts etc. Any washout days? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Lots of melts today. Ugliness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 I think a snow threat or 2 shows up more definitively in the next couple of days for the remainder of December. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Pacific Poo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Wish we could leaf blow it out of here, like Steve does with his doggie doo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Pacific Poo. Rest of this month is done 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 54 minutes ago, weathafella said: I think a snow threat or 2 shows up more definitively in the next couple of days for the remainder of December. 12/27 is looking pretty ugly right now though can't be ruled out yet. We'll see if we can pop something 12/31-1/1 which may have a more favorable ridge out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 21, 2019 Author Share Posted December 21, 2019 MicaVimtoot? aka AtomicVomit sure had an interesting life, if anyone remembers him Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 1 hour ago, redbanknjandbigbasslakepa said: Lots of people including my family heading up to the mountains between Christmas and NY for skiing. Will or anyone else care to shed some light on what you think of the chances of rain/snow for the resorts, Stratton, Kmart, NH resorts etc. Any washout days? Thanks! I don’t see any big rainers ahead, although the GFS has one around the 29th) But that far out (NY) anything can happen. I also don’t see any big snow chances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Just now, Dr. Dews said: MicaVimtoot? aka AtomicVomit sure had an interesting life, if anyone remembers him Lol Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wish we could leaf blow it out of here, like Steve does with his doggie doo. When Anthony packs it in, its time to flip the calendar. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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