ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 54 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GEFS have something too. Big change from 12 hrs ago. That model..lol. Guidance is really going to struggle with the hudson bay/Quebec blocking....they almost always do. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Guidance is really going to struggle with the hudson bay/Quebec blocking....they almost always do. Data sparse area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 That was one fugly GEFS run WRT the Pacific. Wow. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: That Xmas deal will go north of SNE. I’ve seen that look before. Congrats NNE. Can’t get invested in that one. Not yet anyway No press? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: No press? Pull Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 13 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Data sparse area? No not necessarily, it's more that those blocks are further south in the direct path of the PJ rather than the arctic blocks we see....so you end up with a lot of weird interactions with shortwaves that will change the orientation of the blocking....and since the blocking is a lot closer to us distance-wise, that orientation seems to affect our sensible wx more directly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Pull 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 I miss a good Maine Jayhawk photoshop. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 32 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Guidance is really going to struggle with the hudson bay/Quebec blocking....they almost always do. Just the jump towards the EPS it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 DSD Monday? Just a matter of mixing I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 12z euro is rather paltry with the 26th deal, but haws something. Good luck with that flow though...timing those s/w's looks awfully difficult. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 24 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: That was one fugly GEFS run WRT the Pacific. Wow. Nao doesn't look bad 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 What a screwed up pattern with all that canada blocking....don't expect model guidance to handle any of these shortwaves with consistency at all over the next few days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: DSD Monday? Just a matter of mixing I guess. 55 for Ray? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 15 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Nao doesn't look bad Maybe but that pac is atrocious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: What a screwed up pattern with all that canada blocking....don't expect model guidance to handle any of these shortwaves with consistency at all over the next few days. Sounds like something could pop seemingly out of nowhere. Exciting. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 4 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Maybe but that pac is atrocious If we maintain that Canadian blocky look we could ward off the worst of it. Split flow in a Nino with a shitty pacific happens fairly frequently 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: If we maintain that Canadian blocky look we could ward off the worst of it. Split flow in a Nino with a shitty pacific happens fairly frequently NE can remain very wintry with the rest of the country roasting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 Just now, NorEastermass128 said: NE can remain very wintry with the rest of the country roasting. Yup. I’m starting to get a 2004-05 vibe 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 19, 2019 Author Share Posted December 19, 2019 06-07 nightmares Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 I went out to North Adams for work today and I must say it is a special December when Greenfield has more snow otg than Florida Pass in Savoy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 12 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: 06-07 nightmares What? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 9 minutes ago, Snow88 said: What? Pay. no attention to him 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I miss a good Maine Jayhawk photoshop. It's been a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 Eps has a nice look Terrible Pacific but a very good atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Eps has a nice look Terrible Pacific but a very good atlantic The PAC isn't really bad in the 11-15 actually...trending better toward the end of that. It has PNA ridging with still signs of split flow....EPO is still pretty blah, but with the decent Atlantic, temps are plenty cold enough for threats. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: The PAC isn't really bad in the 11-15 actually...trending better toward the end of that. It has PNA ridging with still signs of split flow....EPO is still pretty blah, but with the decent Atlantic, temps are plenty cold enough for threats. Your area can benefit from an iffy pacific and a good NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 4 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Your area can benefit from an iffy pacific and a good NAO. So can yours...now that we getting closer to cold season peak climo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 If you want to see an example of how an ugly PAC with hudson bay and davis straight blocking can work out....the lead-in to the Dec 19-20, 1995 storm is a good example: http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/1995/us1218.php 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: If you want to see an example of how an ugly PAC with hudson bay and davis straight blocking can work out....the lead-in to the Dec 19-20, 1995 storm is a good example: http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/1995/us1218.php Great long duration storm. 11 inches even down to the CT coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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