SnoSki14 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Noyes has 38 Eve and Day. We white EPS supports CONUS wide torch, Pacific jet howling as MJO approaches warmer phases. But sure whatever you say. Colder air will hold off until after the New Year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 15 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: EPS supports CONUS wide torch, Pacific jet howling as MJO approaches warmer phases. But sure whatever you say. Colder air will hold off until after the New Year. Couldn’t be more incorrect with EPS. Glad we don’t live wherever you’re referring to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 It honestly doesn't look like a torch right now in terms of on-ground sensible wx...we lose the arctic air, but we have a sfc high rotting almost over us (or just west of us on EPS)....that is not a torch look. We can be like +2C at 850 in that setup and have a dry high temp of upper 30s to 40F with low dewpoints and low mixing. If we start getting a high off the carolinas with strong SW winds, then maybe we can reassess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Yeah EPS isn't torchy with HP nosing in and probably one of those shallow mixing scenarios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 2 hours ago, dryslot said: The meandering bowling ball down south. That is such a late March look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 Nice 24 flip on the GEFS EPO Yesterday first today second Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 The CFS and GEFS isn't seeing this super torch that the EPS is on. Thanks largely to the polar vortex blocking and muting a lot of this pacific puke from entering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 4 hours ago, EastonSN+ said: Nice 24 flip on the GEFS EPO Yesterday first today second Fwiw and future reference... The tea-leafs on that were in the stalwart WPO's positive ... That' index tends to relay into the EPO rather effectively, such that unless that positive/negative coupled in the first panel was preceded by the WPO's falling index - which it was not in this case - be leery of any negative EPO. This time that tendency put up the faux omen, but has many times in the past as well. If the WPO descends first or in tandem, that's a better indicator for an EPO crash. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Ginxy doing backflips about Wednesday evening yet? Hi-res guidance looking very WINDEXy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 57 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Ginxy doing backflips about Wednesday evening yet? Hi-res guidance looking very WINDEXy. I can't even bow to you never mind back flip. Windsexy though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 2 hours ago, OceanStWx said: Ginxy doing backflips about Wednesday evening yet? Hi-res guidance looking very WINDEXy. It’ll change....give a head fake just like they did with this one for us here in SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 17, 2019 Author Share Posted December 17, 2019 windnext 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 It's sad to see the blizzard the GFS showed for this weekend in that one weenie run now can't get north of Daytona Beach. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: It's sad to see the blizzard the GFS showed for this weekend in that one weenie run now can't get north of Daytona Beach. Don’t forget, the Euro had it too! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 1 hour ago, moneypitmike said: It's sad to see the blizzard the GFS showed for this weekend in that one weenie run now can't get north of Daytona Beach. Brown Christmas for many, even with the great start to the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 The big storm looked so good and alot of people were honking because of the blocking. **** the models. They are awful. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: The big storm looked so good and alot of people were honking because of the blocking. **** the models. They are awful. This is why you shouldn't invest in and get excited about Day8 or Day 9 OP runs. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 19 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: This is why you shouldn't invest in and get excited about Day8 or Day 9 OP runs. haha, yep....he always gets obsessed with long range threats. I'm only picking on him because he should know better by now having been on the forums for over a decade. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 16 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: This is why you shouldn't invest in and get excited about Day8 or Day 9 OP runs. I don’t think he was investing in it per say, but more just looking at modeling and what it was showing. In all fairness..others too got a lil excited on Saturday night when the Euro had it too. So it may not be exactly fair to single Anthony out about that all by himself. Most in here liked where the extended looked to be headed for next week... but has since gone away from the nice idea of a wintry look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: haha, yep....he always gets obsessed with long range threats. I'm only picking on him because he should know better by now having been on the forums for over a decade. There were others who honked too Will...others who have lots of experience too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: There were others who honked too Will...others who have lots of experience too. Then they're just as ignorant as Ant. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 I was contemplating a blog on that potential over the weekend, but I glad that I never bothered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Then they're just as ignorant as Ant. He should know better, but then again, we should know better than to expect him to. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 41 minutes ago, Snow88 said: The big storm looked so good and alot of people were honking because of the blocking. **** the models. They are awful. I think it was on one or two runs.. then gone.. I never really got too excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 It looked interesting anyway, but the PV streamer and capture was tenuous at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: haha, yep....he always gets obsessed with long range threats. I'm only picking on him because he should know better by now having been on the forums for over a decade. Weenies gon ween. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 9 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Then they're just as ignorant as Ant. Noneed to say that about someone on here who’s a nice guy. We’re all a little ignorant at times, including me and including you 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Just now, mahk_webstah said: I need to say that about someone on here who’s a nice guy. We’re all a little ignorant at times, including me and including you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 19 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: There were others who honked too Will...others who have lots of experience too. Plenty of people were honking especially Earthlight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Caught me before the edit! I so hate when I prove the point I’m makingCaught me before the edit! I so hate when I prove the point I’m making Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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