Spanks45 Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That was a very wintry gfs op run. If only... everyone complaining about this month, I actually still have snow on the ground, 7 days in a row to be exact....not bad for the first week of December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 Euro is a couple of inches maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Euro is a couple of inches maybe. Looked pretty similar to me at the surface as 12Z, maybe a little drier not much change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 18 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: everyone complaining about this month, I actually still have snow on the ground, 7 days in a row to be exact....not bad for the first week of December. 7 Days here, too. Most will be gone in a couple of days, only to be rejuvenated again. We take. Already have about the December snowfall average, so all is gravy from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 28 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That was a very wintry gfs op run. If only... If only you ignore the 2 massive cutters? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro is a couple of inches maybe. Struggler model 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 Just saw the UKMET 12Z, thats the wettest model by far, damn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Just saying. Although it looks more doubtful. What is more doubtful? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 17 minutes ago, alex said: If only you ignore the 2 massive cutters? Meh, those happen. Give me action for the first month and I’ll take my chances. No shortage of energy in the SJet I’ll say that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: What is more doubtful? Given the temps to start the month, I think it would have to be a prolonged warm spell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 9, 2019 Author Share Posted December 9, 2019 long-range beyond the upcoming slicing cutters, the gfs and gefs look possibly okay for NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 The thing Wednesday is pressing SE as it tries to generate precip. That’s usually not good for bigger amounts. It tends to indicate CAA and drier air issues may occur. Something to keep in mind. It could come back juicier, but I’d still a little conservative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 Good luck on the backside snow with that modeled flow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The thing Wednesday is pressing SE as it tries to generate precip. That’s usually not good for bigger amounts. It tends to indicate CAA and drier air issues may occur. Something to keep in mind. It could come back juicier, but I’d still a little conservative. CAA dominates moving into Tuesday and well into Wednesday. You can see the resultant subsidence Here is the 850 RH. Plenty of dry air around. Sure dynamics are pretty damn solid and that will help with lift...but you can have all the lift you want...if there's nothing to lift...well I do agree with BOX there may be some narrow bands of snow, but this is going to be NBD in terms of accumulating snow. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 Surgeon General Warning: SREFs cause brain cancer, diluted thoughts, false hopes, euphoria and will decrease your forecast accuracy. Quitting SREFs greatly increases your weather forecasting ability in as little as 5 minutes. Pregnant Women, Women, Men and all human beings should not take SREFs daily. SREFs contain horribly outdated formulas and algorithims. Use SREFs responsibly. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 The Latest from the icon model is most likely going to be correct 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: The Latest from the icon model is most likely going to be correct It definitely has the least amount of snow. What's your reasoning for this? Just curious, not saying you're wrong... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: It definitely has the least amount of snow. What's your reasoning for this? Because nobody’s considering it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: It definitely has the least amount of snow. What's your reasoning for this? Just curious, not saying you're wrong... There's your reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 Tip frequently comments on the icon. It’s a secret favorite of his. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 Just now, 78Blizzard said: There's your reason. Tips not a hater, i feel he's pretty damn objective and provides sound reasoning for his posts/forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 There will be a narrow ribbon of good fronto. Whether that is progressive or hangs around for 6+ hours remains to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 And i would favor eastern areas if it verifies, Everyone else may see flakes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Tips not a hater, i feel he's pretty damn objective and provides sound reasoning for his posts/forecasts. I didn't say he was a hater, jeez. No sense of humor here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 Just now, 78Blizzard said: I didn't say he was a hater, jeez. No sense of humor here. ha, ha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: No change tonight in my thoughts. Sticking to widespread 3-6"? Good luck...hope it works out. General inch or two ar best, with maybe a narrow band of more imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: 6-10? No said majority of SNE 3 to 6 for now. Plenty of time to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 6 hours slower and way more robust on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 NAM looks very good for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 Temps going up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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