ORH_wxman Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 On 11/28/2019 at 1:16 AM, CoastalWx said: I am so happy everyone appreciates high pressure. Expand Nosing into northern Maine that run. Zero percent chance the interior would sniff freezing on that setup. A little more and the coast can start partying too...they get into it somewhat there but would need a little more to stay all frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 On 11/28/2019 at 1:22 AM, ORH_wxman said: Nosing into northern Maine that run. Zero percent chance the interior would sniff freezing on that setup. A little more and the coast can start partying too...they get into it somewhat there but would need a little more to stay all frozen. Expand Party starts if it still shows it at 0z tomorrow night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 On 11/28/2019 at 1:22 AM, ORH_wxman said: Nosing into northern Maine that run. Zero percent chance the interior would sniff freezing on that setup. A little more and the coast can start partying too...they get into it somewhat there but would need a little more to stay all frozen. Expand Wasn't Colucci "high pressure's are sexy too"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 On 11/28/2019 at 1:16 AM, CoastalWx said: I am so happy everyone appreciates high pressure. Expand Zeus loves a good Banana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 On 11/28/2019 at 1:27 AM, ineedsnow said: Party starts if it still shows it at 0z tomorrow night Expand If it trends better between now and 00z tomorrow night then yeah, I think it's about time to party. That would be like 72 hours out from start time...but if we hold steady, it might be a bit premature...that's pucker time in the next few runs after that. This run looks good for interior but it's still cutting it close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 On 11/28/2019 at 1:29 AM, OceanStWx said: Wasn't Colucci "high pressure's are sexy too"? Expand Ha yes. You get multiple Colucci hits when looking up literature on anticyclones. (Colucci '87 et al, Colucci '80 et al, etc...lol) My other favorite is "I'm fond of saying that it doesn't snow in Ithaca on a southeast wind" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 On 11/28/2019 at 12:59 AM, mostman said: You get a nasty letter and a small fine in my town. Most people’s “woods” are marked conservation here. Expand You could bury nuclear waste in my town and no one would care Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 On 11/28/2019 at 1:30 AM, ORH_wxman said: If it trends better between now and 00z tomorrow night then yeah, I think it's about time to party. That would be like 72 hours out from start time...but if we hold steady, it might be a bit premature...that's pucker time in the next few runs after that. This run looks good for interior but it's still cutting it close. Expand Some of the individual members are beast.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 28, 2019 Author Share Posted November 28, 2019 Will we see three systems in a row with thunder? That is better than some summers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 On 11/28/2019 at 1:17 AM, Snow88 said: Euro ensembles are impressive even down here Expand How impressive wish I can afford the membership for this thing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 On 11/28/2019 at 2:06 AM, NYCweatherNOW said: How impressive wish I can afford the membership for this thing! Expand gofundmyweenie.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Regarding cleanup-most have been 5 sessions this year. Cost me a fortune. Will be taking a larger role this next autumn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Gfs has rain up to green bay. Nam has a snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 On 11/28/2019 at 3:08 AM, Snow88 said: Gfs has rain up to green bay. Nam has a snowstorm. Expand Surprisingly looks very much like the 18z EPS. I was expecting the NAM to show something ridiculous at 84h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 On 11/28/2019 at 3:12 AM, ORH_wxman said: Surprisingly looks very much like the 18z EPS. I was expecting the NAM to show something ridiculous at 84h Expand Everything is already on the west coast and there's no tricky phases to worry about. Maybe that helps the accuracy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 On 11/28/2019 at 3:15 AM, dendrite said: Everything is already on the west coast and there's no tricky phases to worry about. Maybe that helps the accuracy? Expand Yeah that probably helps for sure. There's still a bunch of stuff downstream in the arctic and subarctic that I thought it might treat differently, but i guess not enough to cause a drastically different solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 On 11/28/2019 at 3:19 AM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah that probably helps for sure. There's still a bunch of stuff downstream in the arctic and subarctic that I thought it might treat differently, but i guess not enough to cause a drastically different solution. Expand I remember how terrible it was back in 09-10 with the raging -NAO that was on the edge of its domain. At least now its domain is expanded out a bit more out to W Europe and Scandinavia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 On 11/28/2019 at 3:19 AM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah that probably helps for sure. There's still a bunch of stuff downstream in the arctic and subarctic that I thought it might treat differently, but i guess not enough to cause a drastically different solution. Expand ICON not buying what the Euro and Nam have.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 On 11/28/2019 at 3:28 AM, ineedsnow said: ICON not buying what the Euro and Nam have.. Expand Luckily icon is by far the worst model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 On 11/28/2019 at 3:39 AM, NYCweatherNOW said: Luckily icon is by far the worst model Expand Wait...I thought FV3 was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 On 11/28/2019 at 3:40 AM, NorEastermass128 said: Wait...I thought FV3 was. Expand They both are lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Gfs is slowly getting better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Canadian at 00z is definitely south and colder. Looks like a good hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Yeah gfs did trend colder but still not as good looking as the 18z EPS. 00z GGEM is coming in significantly colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 On 11/28/2019 at 4:25 AM, CoastalWx said: Canadian at 00z is definitely south and colder. Looks like a good hit. Expand File that run away in the "how many inches of GGEM snow do I have this year" folder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 On 11/28/2019 at 4:27 AM, ORH_wxman said: File that run away in the "how many inches of GGEM snow do I have this year" folder Expand Looks like it got back from the bar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 A burial on cmc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 We save a horse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Kinda has the look of the 12z Euro, just colder. Just 90+ hours to go.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Ukie!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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