dryslot Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 On 11/27/2019 at 6:48 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: As Scott alluded, it looked better N of the Pike area over towards Ray. Expand That it was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 That Euro run looked pretty decent for you guys down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 On 11/27/2019 at 6:39 PM, dryslot said: Good luck............. Expand Classic “north of the pike” appeal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 On 11/27/2019 at 6:26 PM, moneypitmike said: I typically think central Mass really starting 1.5 miles west of here (at the airport) and up through Hubb. A close-but no cigar cutoff. Expand Rutland is the geographic center of the state my son Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Does seem like if we can open up the ULL sooner, to tap into the stout high...we could stay all frozen for many. No? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Yay sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 On 11/27/2019 at 6:38 PM, radarman said: Sneaky warm layer? Expand Looked a little mild 850ish and just above verbatim. But a tick south and faster mid level development and it would be gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Any chance we get a full blown blizzard even here in nyc? What’s the percentage? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 On 11/27/2019 at 7:10 PM, NYCweatherNOW said: Any chance we get a full blown blizzard even here in nyc? What’s the percentage? Expand The same as Blutarsky's GPA...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Feeling good up here given all the guidance. Flirting with warm air can be good especially with a strong secondary taking over. At least I’d think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 EPS was nice. Thermals looked similar to the op. To me, the track looks more like a classic interior SNE to CNE deal. A little early for the coast without a better airmass, but a tick SE and faster development and it's pasty there too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 On 11/27/2019 at 7:19 PM, CoastalWx said: EPS was nice. Thermals looked similar to the op. To me, the track looks more like a classic interior SNE to CNE deal. A little early for the coast without a better airmass, but a tick SE and faster development and it's pasty there too. Expand Deep interior in SNE . Like NW of ORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 On 11/27/2019 at 6:27 PM, moneypitmike said: When you live in GC, anything east of the river is EMA. Expand Anything west of 495 is the plains and rocky mountains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 On 11/27/2019 at 7:10 PM, NYCweatherNOW said: Any chance we get a full blown blizzard even here in nyc? What’s the percentage? Expand This is a silly post lol, a beginners post is what it sounds like....but to answer you honestly, the chance is next to zero. Early December climo is questionable for SNE, and just plain bad for NYC...just too early in most cases. And this will be no exception. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 On 11/27/2019 at 7:28 PM, WinterWolf said: This is a silly post lol, a beginners post is what it sounds like....but to answer you honestly, the chance is next to zero. Early December climo is questionable for SNE, and just plain bad for NYC...just too early in most cases. And this will be no exception. Expand You’re the best. Show people reality 24/7 365. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Many huge hits on the eps for the coast Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 On 11/27/2019 at 7:28 PM, WinterWolf said: This is a silly post lol, a beginners post is what it sounds like....but to answer you honestly, the chance is next to zero. Early December climo is questionable for SNE, and just plain bad for NYC...just too early in most cases. And this will be no exception. Expand According to my calculations from the EPS look, the chances are higher than 0.01% and that’s a win for me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 On 11/27/2019 at 7:21 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Deep interior in SNE . Like NW of ORH Expand No not necessarily. I think interior for now covers it. It's not worth getting to specific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 On 11/27/2019 at 7:33 PM, NYCweatherNOW said: According to my calculations from the EPS look, the chances are higher than 0.01% and that’s a win for me! Expand Ok. Was just trying to explain how hard it is, especially along the coast, and down in NYC on top of it, this time of year to get a blizzard. But have at it pal. Don’t get too hopeful though...? I do like the enthusiasm however. Here’s Hoping we all are pleasantly surprised come Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 4-8" can always go up from there if needed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 27, 2019 Author Share Posted November 27, 2019 In and up, AWS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 On 11/27/2019 at 7:28 PM, WinterWolf said: This is a silly post lol, a beginners post is what it sounds like....but to answer you honestly, the chance is next to zero. Early December climo is questionable for SNE, and just plain bad for NYC...just too early in most cases. And this will be no exception. Expand While this is true, this isn't the main reason why this storm won't produce for NYC. We've seen a few November storms that have hit hard even down to NYC, however this is not a pure coastal, it's a bad setup for the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 On 11/27/2019 at 7:29 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You’re the best. Show people reality 24/7 365. Expand Lol...just being honest. But The chances of a blizzard in NYC from this are extremely low. But I hope it happens for him/them and us too if we’re gonna be dreamers now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 On 11/27/2019 at 7:32 PM, White Rain said: Most people in the state consider us western MA and I am a few miles east of you. At least that's how it was growing up on the coast. Its all the same west of Woburn when you live on the north shore. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 On 11/27/2019 at 6:49 PM, dendrite said: This has a torchy H75-H8 layer written all over it too. Expand I will post the thermals soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 I'm feeling an early season WWA event here, north of pike and interior WSW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 As alluded to earlier, more cooling at levels incrementally is continuing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 On 11/27/2019 at 7:33 PM, CoastalWx said: No not necessarily. I think interior for now covers it. It's not worth getting to specific. Expand Yeah that look is fine for 495 belt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 On 11/27/2019 at 8:00 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Expand That’s good. I prefer this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 The map is gold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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