ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Euro is a mess of precip types...but it's really close to snow too for majority. Esp given the time lead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 On 11/25/2019 at 6:44 PM, ORH_wxman said: Euro is a mess of precip types...but it's really close to snow too for majority. Esp given the time lead. Expand As long as it has the same general theme as the GFS. At this point, that's all I'm looking for. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 On 11/25/2019 at 6:44 PM, ORH_wxman said: Euro is a mess of precip types...but it's really close to snow too for majority. Esp given the time lead. Expand Lol...so was yesterday. But it’s good to see both The major modeling having the storm on the coast for the upcoming wknd. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Just keep sending storms. Eventually we will get some cold air to work with. 4 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 On 11/25/2019 at 7:18 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Just keep sending storms. Eventually we will get some cold air to work with. Expand Agreed. Keep em coming . Someone will hit it big 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 -NAO vaporized. LOL poler vortex weenies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 On 11/25/2019 at 7:31 PM, CoastalWx said: -NAO vaporized. LOL poler vortex weenies. Expand Man that -nao forecast stuff is just total voo-Doo lately too. Can’t get any of it to materialize it seems. It’s there, looks Legit for a while, then poof it’s gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 On 11/25/2019 at 7:31 PM, CoastalWx said: -NAO vaporized. LOL poler vortex weenies. Expand Yeah.. until it’s happening, it’s a pipe dream. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Eps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 On 11/25/2019 at 7:33 PM, WinterWolf said: Man that -nao forecast stuff is just total voo-Doo lately too. Can’t get any of it to materialize it seems. It’s there, looks Legit for a while, then poof it’s gone. Expand Probably more transient stuff, but there is no blocking imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 On 11/25/2019 at 7:39 PM, Snow88 said: Eps? Expand Looks like the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 On 11/25/2019 at 7:38 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yeah.. until it’s happening, it’s a pipe dream. Expand Yes sir....Cheech and Chong stuff big time with that -NAO BS. I like Ginx’s ideas of the transient block stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 12z EPS, Talk about some spread, No surprise at day 7 though............ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 25, 2019 Author Share Posted November 25, 2019 On 11/25/2019 at 7:31 PM, CoastalWx said: -NAO vaporized. LOL poler vortex weenies. Expand tried to tell 'em 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 25, 2019 Author Share Posted November 25, 2019 On 11/25/2019 at 5:19 PM, ORH_wxman said: Its a good sign the GGEM doesn't show snow right now....I'd have the climate of Labrador if all the D6-7 GGEM snow threats actually verified. Expand Ggem had it yesterday, as you probably know. In fact probably a better solution than the gfs today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Still shoveling a few Euro snowstorms this season... can’t trust any of them I say! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Model guidance has not been very reliable so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 On 11/25/2019 at 8:22 PM, powderfreak said: Still shoveling a few Euro snowstorms this season... can’t trust any of them I say! Expand 6-7 days out is basically weenie tag territory...or used to be. All we can say is there's a decent chance of storm system nearby, but hard to say much else beyond that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 On 11/25/2019 at 7:55 PM, dryslot said: 12z EPS, Talk about some spread, No surprise at day 7 though............ Expand Spread is generally in a good direction for us though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 On 11/25/2019 at 8:37 PM, mahk_webstah said: Spread is generally in a good direction for us though Expand Depending on how this tracks, Yes, There looks to be some transient blocking from the 50/50 low that comes thru on Weds-Thurs so this may try to go ENE under that before it gets here though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 25, 2019 Author Share Posted November 25, 2019 I would say the odds favor a secondary development across SNE more than south of SNE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 On 11/25/2019 at 8:25 PM, ORH_wxman said: 6-7 days out is basically weenie tag territory...or used to be. All we can say is there's a decent chance of storm system nearby, but hard to say much else beyond that. Expand Yeah, this last one couldn’t even be hit accurately at 24 hours out, but fun to keep seeing at least chances show up on the models. Better than seeing two weeks of dry/boring on the runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 On 11/25/2019 at 8:51 PM, powderfreak said: Yeah, this last one couldn’t even be hit accurately at 24 hours out, but fun to keep seeing at least chances show up on the models. Better than seeing two weeks of dry/boring on the runs. Expand Yep, it's active and looks to stay that way. After the Dec 1-2 system, it looks like a mini-relaxation and then a PNA/EPO reload as the NAO ridging goes away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 On 11/25/2019 at 8:55 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yep, it's active and looks to stay that way. After the Dec 1-2 system, it looks like a mini-relaxation and then a PNA/EPO reload as the NAO ridging goes away. Expand I thought the relaxation long range was mid December ? or am I way off on this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 On 11/25/2019 at 8:58 PM, 512high said: I thought the relaxation long range was mid December ? or am I way off on this? Expand I'm talking like a few days here...not some multiple week relaxation. The period between when the NAO ridging goes away and before the PNA/EPO rebuilds, we could have a short term relaxation. It is not clear what happens beyond 12/10-15 or so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 On 11/25/2019 at 8:39 PM, dryslot said: Depending on how this tracks, Yes, There looks to be some transient blocking from the 50/50 low that comes thru on Weds-Thurs so this may try to go ENE under that before it gets here though. Expand you can see the isobars from the sw side of that 50-50 on that mean. that gives me some confidence that cold air will hold at least for CNE and NNE. But I've noticed that every storm progged to give us some snow has ended up warmer and wetter so far. Normal for November and I'm glad to get water into the ground before the freeze. But lets hope we get a shift here towards snowier outcomes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 512 got shook! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Definitely the worst weenie year I’ve seen around here...probably me included Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 Weeklies vastly improved for 2nd half of December. No pigs in sight. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 On 11/25/2019 at 9:34 PM, weathafella said: Definitely the worst weenie year I’ve seen around here...probably me included Expand It doesn’t help most sites are 3-6F BN with little or no snow to show for it. We’re tricked into thinking we’re a month ahead in climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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