Holston_River_Rambler Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 MRX updated their snow map. I like that 2 - 3 over Frozen Head. I'm at 1300' and just southwest of it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 I think what we're waiting on is a little shortwave to race up from the southwest and give us those last few hours of enhancement. I really think some eastern valley areas with any trapped moisture and that extra bit of lift could do better than me here on the southern edge of the plateau. Blue Ridge don't kill me but I wonder if a Greeneville to JC to Abingdon line might do the best? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 1 minute ago, Holston_River_Rambler said: I think what we're waiting on is a little shortwave to race up from the southwest and give us those last few hours of enhancement. I really think some eastern valley areas with any trapped moisture and that extra bit of lift could do better than me here on the southern edge of the plateau. Blue Ridge don't kill me but I wonder if a Greeneville to JC to Abingdon line might do the best? I think that's a probable outcome. Some of our best surprises have been the result of a strong cold front popping a small S/W. That seems to really enhance the lift and results in the front using the mountains like a squeegee. I feel strangely confident that we outperform MRX's most recent forecast in the Tri-Cities area. Side note: I'm no longer in the miserable snow bubble of Greeneville and instead in a somewhat more favorable spot just north of Jonesborough. I think I'm slightly southwest of Nut. Looking back at recent history, I feel like I'm in a much better spot for southern stream systems but far enough north to perhaps benefit in setups where Sullivan Co. winds up Ground Zero. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 10 minutes ago, Blue Ridge said: I think that's a probable outcome. Some of our best surprises have been the result of a strong cold front popping a small S/W. That seems to really enhance the lift and results in the front using the mountains like a squeegee. I feel strangely confident that we outperform MRX's most recent forecast in the Tri-Cities area. Side note: I'm no longer in the miserable snow bubble of Greeneville and instead in a somewhat more favorable spot just north of Jonesborough. I think I'm slightly southwest of Nut. Looking back at recent history, I feel like I'm in a much better spot for southern stream systems but far enough north to perhaps benefit in setups where Sullivan Co. winds up Ground Zero. That'll help quite a bit. We used to live off Sunset just near State of Franklin several years ago while my wife was finishing up med school. We used to rack the heck up on northwest flow events over there. Lived right on top of a hill. Plus, if you just need to see snow...you can always drive to Boone and see it while they are blowing snow. LOL. JC is a great location. I miss seeing the mountains over there every day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kentucky Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 The National Weather Service are testing a new experimental "Winter Storm Severity Index." lets see how it does for this event https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/wssi/wssi.php 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Lots of sleet reports across northern AR with some snow reports mixed in. Bridges are icing up quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Has began raining in Roane County, Kingston to be more specific. Find that interesting since MRX mentioned it would take time to saturate due to dry air.Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 22z HRRR doubling totals over NW TN 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted November 11, 2019 Share Posted November 11, 2019 Freezing rain, sleet, snow beginning to stick to elevated surfaces in NW TN 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 Was thinking about the system last Jan and found the radar loop that looks towards the end anyway, like what the meso models have been doing for E TN tomorrow AM. Jan 29, 2019: Obviously this one is different with more precip. initially, but will be interesting to see how it compares when all is said and done. Now: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 Showers started here about an hour ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 Storm spotter video out of Lake Co in NW TN showing moderate snow and roadways beginning to turn white. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 Storm spotter video out of Lake Co in NW TN showing moderate snow and roadways beginning to turn white.Twitter?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 Nws Memphis issuing a WWA for all middle TN until midnight 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 Parts of west/middle Tennessee was just issued a winter weather advisory. My buddy NE of Jackson is saying the changeover is happening faster than expected . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: Twitter? . Yeah Tom Meiners with WBBJ shared 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 Yeah Tom Meiners with WBBJ sharedMaybe we’ll squeeze something out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: Parts of west/middle Tennessee was just issued a winter weather advisory. My buddy NE of Jackson is saying the changeover is happening faster than expected . They pulled the trigger cause, like MRX, they were counting on the warmth ahead of the front to keep roadways clear..not happening, areas they have fell below 32 are already freezing up. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McMinnWx Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 HRRR still showing 1.5" for my area. I'm hoping that holds true. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 They pulled the trigger cause, like MRX, they were counting on the warmth ahead of the front to keep roadways clear..not happening, areas they have fell below 32 are already freezing up. . 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 5 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: Parts of west/middle Tennessee was just issued a winter weather advisory. My buddy NE of Jackson is saying the changeover is happening faster than expected . Yup, calling for up to an inch at my place in Hardeman County. Hasn’t changed over to snow at my place (25 miles south of Jackson) yet but, I will keep y’all posted. Under a winter weather advisory now, winds are gonna be howling tonight too!! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 Yup, calling for up to an inch at my place in Hardeman County. Hasn’t changed over to snow at my place (25 miles south of Jackson) yet but, I will keep y’all posted. Good luck . 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 You can see the front on radar in northern Scott and Campbell counties: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 10 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: Good luck . Same to you, and everyone around the forum. Glad to see everyone again after the dog days of summer. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 23 minutes ago, AMZ8990 said: Yup, calling for up to an inch at my place in Hardeman County. Hasn’t changed over to snow at my place (25 miles south of Jackson) yet but, I will keep y’all posted. Under a winter weather advisory now, winds are gonna be howling tonight too!! What is your temp, how fast is it falling? Cold has an easier time spilling in west of the Plateau. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 18 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said: You can see the front on radar in northern Scott and Campbell counties: Temp has fallen from 56 to 51 in the last 15 minutes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 5 minutes ago, John1122 said: What is your temp, how fast is it falling? Cold has an easier time spilling in west of the Plateau. Sitting at 37 right now, been falling quickly over the past 3 hours. edit- 36 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, John1122 said: Temp has fallen from 56 to 51 in the last 15 minutes. Front still not quite to my location yet. Just walked out and still mild. It has to be close though. I bet I'm currently getting downsloped by Frozen Head area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted November 12, 2019 Share Posted November 12, 2019 8 minutes ago, John1122 said: What is your temp, how fast is it falling? Cold has an easier time spilling in west of the Plateau. Here's a PWS graph from near Paris, TN..looks like a fairly steady few deg drop per hour. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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