A-L-E-K Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 still getting used to 18z euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 10, 2019 Author Share Posted November 10, 2019 still getting used to 18z euroI’ll help you, with some 18z GGEM.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Apparently DVN isn't too impressed lol. While the lift will occur in a good thermal area for dendritic growth, the forcing looks to be rather weak, progressing southward at a good clip, and interacting with limited moisture. This system is still coming together over the east Pacific and northern Canada, resulting in minor differences in critical features and QPF fields in the models. For now, it looks like a widespread dusting to 1 inch, with higher amounts setting up along the eastern reaches of the I-80 corridor in IL. Current timing has the measurable snow winding down in this area before sunrise and by mid morning across the far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Whoever has access to such detailed euro maps, any expansion to show Michigan would be much appreciated. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAWGNKITTEN Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 I would like to see Michigan, too. Thanks in advance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 4 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Whoever has access to such detailed euro maps, any expansion to show Michigan would be much appreciated. particularly 11/12z Euro and/or 11/18z Euro Kuchera snowfall (as long as we're asking, lol) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 In the meantime, RGEM thru h54 is hot over my way (and still snowing at cutoff hour) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 10, 2019 Author Share Posted November 10, 2019 NAM caving hard now.POS American guidance.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 31 minutes ago, RogueWaves said: particularly 11/12z Euro and/or 11/18z Euro Kuchera snowfall (as long as we're asking, lol) Its .4 widespread for 12z and almost/past .5 on 18z liquid equivalent. Some places pushing over 6" across southern MI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 14 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: NAM caving hard now. POS American guidance. . Extremely disappointing performance from the American guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Arctic plunge impressive for any month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Here's a 3 km NAM forecast sounding from the lake enhanced band. A ton of omega. Not the greatest colocation of that lift within the DGZ but a good amount does get into that DGZ and I suspect it will be ripping fatties at 1-2" per hour in that band at maturity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 0z 12k NAM going bonkers now with qpf over SEMI 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 5 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Here's a 3 km NAM forecast sounding from the lake enhanced band. A ton of omega. Not the greatest colocation of that lift within the DGZ but a good amount does get into that DGZ and I suspect it will be ripping fatties at 1-2" per hour in that band at maturity. Both NAMs have some wild enhancement/lake effect off of Lake Huron out this way. Don't think I have ever seen anything like that before, at least not in recent memory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 0z NAM and 3K NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 11 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: Ride the German 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toro99 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 GRR LOVES that 0Z NAM map 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 10, 2019 Author Share Posted November 10, 2019 GFS caves more as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 I see no reason not to go full Euro/RGEM at this point given the American guidance performance. Pretty prolonged period of light to briefly moderate fgen snow Sunday night into Monday morning from IA to northern IL/southern WI and southern MI, followed by a nice ana-frontal snow shield that expands/intensifies from west to east Monday into Monday night as the 500mb vort and right-entrance quadrant of the upper level jet streak swing through. Soundings don't look perfect for high ratios but they will be more than 10:1 by late Sunday night and Monday as colder air pours in. Don't see why there won't be 2-4" of snow from parts of IA east, and probably more like 3-6" for northern IL and southern MI. The NAM is still trending towards a slightly sharper shortwave with higher heights ahead of it so it will likely move the northern edge north towards the Euro and RGEM in MI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 0z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Looks like another I-70 / I-71 battleground here in Ohio until it becomes all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Shaping up to be a nice advisory type snow for a decent chunk of real estate... and the more borderline areas that haven't really had snow yet will probably get one. Still have about 50% or so leaf coverage on my block. I am figuring on the first 2-3" being of the denser/wetter variety before it gets fluffier toward the end. Lost less leaves than I would've thought on Halloween but I suspect the trees may be a little more willing to part with them this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 37 minutes ago, Toro99 said: GRR LOVES that 0Z NAM map Hey, read their pm AFD, they called "storm cancel" so I guess they got what they called for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 0z GGEM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 3 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: 0z GGEM A thing of beauty for SCMI and now in lock-step with Euro Kuchera maps. OHweather's call looking MONEY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 44 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: 0z GFS Gimme gimme gimme! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Actually, Kuchera's got me at 7", vs 6" via 10:1 so as I expected, early season events not likely to be a dry snow. Which is fine, I'm a SEMI native and prefer my concrete mixers over fluff any day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 50 minutes ago, Gino27 said: Looks like another I-70 / I-71 battleground here in Ohio until it becomes all snow. I swear some cosmic engineer laid I-70 out right along the midwest storm track because 40 was to far south lol. The American models have trended to some screw holes along the I-70 corridor but the others are colder. Experience says screw holes but with this anomalous pattern I'd lean across the pond. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Ukie qpf thru Wed early morning, so prior to follow-on clipper.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 0z Euro 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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