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Pittsburgh PA Area Rest of fall and Winter 2019-2020 thread


meatwad
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Sharing this with you guys.. saw NWS Pittsburgh post this not too long ago. Something to keep an eye on when that main precip arrives. That's their 12z weather balloon launch so that's the actual assessment of the column and not the modeled one. Definitely plenty of room to wet bulb that warm nose back below freezing with the arrival of the heavier precip. Hopefully you guys can sneak some more snow out of this. 

1815032760_ScreenShot2020-01-18at7_28_49AM.png.6467ac91aba5611d415bffb6a8eee028.png

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1 hour ago, MAG5035 said:

Sharing this with you guys.. saw NWS Pittsburgh post this not too long ago. Something to keep an eye on when that main precip arrives. That's their 12z weather balloon launch so that's the actual assessment of the column and not the modeled one. Definitely plenty of room to wet bulb that warm nose back below freezing with the arrival of the heavier precip. Hopefully you guys can sneak some more snow out of this. 

1815032760_ScreenShot2020-01-18at7_28_49AM.png.6467ac91aba5611d415bffb6a8eee028.png

Thanks for posting here Mike! Always appreciate your knowledge and feedback! Good luck to you all out in central-we’ve been dryslotted in the laurels for a bit this morning-looks like a bit of snow coming in before the change 

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2 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

About a quarter inch from the first wave. The main area of precip is on our doorstep now with some pretty decent returns on radar. My gut tells me it’s probably sleet but will find out shortly.

Same thing, grass isn’t even covered. Hoping for a nice thump for an hour or two if we’re lucky before the slop.

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Just now, CoraopolisWx said:

Regarding the NWS post about a possible switch back to snow, the GFS did show that possibly happening.

It may happen for a brief time but looking at the high res radar the mix line has surged all the way into Butler county. 

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Flipped to all liquid here.. Somewhere between ZR and plain rain now. 
 

With the upside of this only being 2 inches it is a bit disappointing but it’s not like we busted on a 6-8 inch forecast to this outcome. Barring an arctic antecedent airmass and a high to the north locked in by a block storms cutting through Chicago will rarely have a better result. Our best chance with a west track to bust high is with a miller B that jumps faster than modeled in my experience.

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2 hours ago, CoraopolisWx said:

We actually had a half way decent setup for an advisory level snow. 
Had this been more of a SWFE, we could have avoided that long break in the precip. 

Yep. We lost about 5 hours of precipitation between say 3 or 4 and 9. Could have probably worked out a good 3-5 inches 

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