OutnOakmont Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 I had come across this "what city will my town be like in the future with climate change" map awhile ago. It's a neat map to play around with, though I'm not sure how rigorous the science behind it is. But it's bleak for us if it comes true. According to the makers, we should expect future Pittsburgh to be like current Jonesboro, Arkansas, which receives a whopping 5" of snow annually. Given this run of sad winters as of late, though, it feels like we could be in the South. Here's the link to the article I read with the map: https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.wired.com/story/this-scary-map-shows-how-climate-change-will-transform-your-city/amp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Don't give up hope yet. Long range is finally looking good for some winter fun. Whether or not it comes to fruition is one thing. Atleast there are signs that we get a period of winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 The GEFS looks great. Just need the Euro to hop on board. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 As usual we will be in the battle zone for precip type but from next Saturday on, there will at least be some interest and things to track. I am looking forward to it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 28 minutes ago, north pgh said: As usual we will be in the battle zone for precip type but from next Saturday on, there will at least be some interest and things to track. I am looking forward to it. Hoping no more mid 60’s til late April!! I’m ready for a few days with lows in the single digits already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 My girlfriend lives just north of Dallas, TX. It's snowing there and they're under a winter weather advisory. I guess I'll be moving to Texas. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 We need the primary to die off fast and transfer or this is gonna be a quick changeover. Still a week out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 1 hour ago, Rd9108 said: We need the primary to die off fast and transfer or this is gonna be a quick changeover. Still a week out Unfortunately it has that classic CAD look, where longitude is our enemy. However like you said, it’s still a week away. Possibly the 850’s end up a few degrees colder, and the precip rates are heavier at the start. We’ll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted January 11, 2020 Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 Severe Thunderstorm Warning Severe Thunderstorm Warning PAC003-125-112245- /O.NEW.KPBZ.SV.W.0001.200111T2220Z-200111T2245Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 520 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020 The National Weather Service in Pittsburgh has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northern Washington County in southwestern Pennsylvania... Allegheny County in southwestern Pennsylvania... * Until 545 PM EST. * At 519 PM EST, a severe thunderstorm was located near McDonald, or 9 miles northeast of Avella, moving east at 45 mph. HAZARD...Wind gusts to 60 mph. SOURCE...Radar. IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines, resulting in some power outages. * Locations impacted include... Pittsburgh... Penn Hills... Mount Lebanon... Bethel Park... Ross Township... McCandless Township... Monroeville... Moon Township... McMurray... McKeesport... Franklin Park... Canonsburg... This includes the following highways... Pennsylvania Turnpike between mile markers 38 and 58. Interstate 79 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 42 and 70. Interstate 376 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 51 and 84. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Please report severe weather by calling 412-262-1988, posting to the NWS Pittsburgh Facebook page, or using Twitter @NWSPITTSBURGH. && LAT...LON 4063 7970 4058 7977 4055 7976 4053 7970 4046 7970 4042 7971 4037 7977 4029 7978 4028 7980 4026 7979 4024 7981 4022 7979 4020 7987 4019 7986 4023 8043 4047 8042 4048 8036 4050 8033 4067 7979 4067 7969 TIME...MOT...LOC 2219Z 248DEG 38KT 4037 8032 HAIL...<.75IN WIND...60MPH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Record day today. Also, the 12th january day on record to make it over the 70° mark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 5 hours ago, CoraopolisWx said: Unfortunately it has that classic CAD look, where longitude is our enemy. However like you said, it’s still a week away. Possibly the 850’s end up a few degrees colder, and the precip rates are heavier at the start. We’ll see. No matter the outcome of next weekend it appears some legitimate winter weather may be on tap. Odds probably favor the slop storm outcome next weekend that we have all come to know and love but it beats 70s right? Plenty of time though for things to change, if it was a modeled SW PA blizzard we all know it would change, question is does it change enough to affect sensible weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Next weekend is looking like the usual CAD where its 20 degrees out east and its 45 here. I don't expect much from that system. Hopefully we can cash in with the pattern change but I have my doubts. I'm at the point if we ever get a big storm again I'll stop tracking because it will be another 15 before we get anything noteworthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Euro showing a pretty decent thump on saturday. This if of course before a change over to some mix and then all rain. Not sure it pans out, but its something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 The trend is looking good for a quick thump and maybe it trends better but with that warm tongue I never get my Hope's up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 55 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: The trend is looking good for a quick thump and maybe it trends better but with that warm tongue I never get my Hope's up. I agree 100%. The front end thump hardly ever verifies. (Maybe in the 70's and 90's but not recently.) This mid week rain storm is looking stronger so this may impact the weekend storm one way or another. Things are looking better however so we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 1 hour ago, MikeB_01 said: Euro showing a pretty decent thump on saturday. This if of course before a change over to some mix and then all rain. Not sure it pans out, but its something to watch. 57 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: The trend is looking good for a quick thump and maybe it trends better but with that warm tongue I never get my Hope's up. There seems like a consensus is forming among the big three of at least 1-3" on the front end. Nothing great, but outside of a few rogue snow squalls, this would be the biggest event so far. Smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 In case anyone is curious... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 It's not gonna snow this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 i'd take it... Until it changes, Im singing O Canada. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Well, the Ukie could have been better lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 While all the attention is on the Saturday storm, as it should be, some models are showing some decent snow showers on the back-end Wed night and Thursday am. Not anything big but don't be surprised if some areas pick up an inch or less. We'll see how it pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 9 hours ago, MikeB_01 said: Well, the Ukie could have been better lol Euro and the Ukie look almost identical. Anyone have access to the EPS? Would like to see the variability between the members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 13 hours ago, MikeB_01 said: Well, the Ukie could have been better lol You could basically copy and paste this map for 90% of our storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 It just doesn't want to snow this year. We can't even get a clipper that drops 1-3. Everytime a pattern or storm looks promising in the future it goes to shit fast. We usually have bad luck but it's on a whole other level this year. The storm after this looks like a coastal so I don't see any light at the end of the tunnel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Gfs is faster and colder FWIW. That's what we need if we want a decent thump before the changeover. Let's see if we get some good trends here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Since we all know we are getting our usual dose of mix to rain on Saturday ...... I am still looking at Tomorrow, Thursday. NWS Pittsburgh is showing a 20% chance of slight snow showers tomorrow and tomorrow night. I still think we are going to get some decent snow showers tomorrow and some areas may pick up an inch if they get under a nice band. Who knows, it might actually be more snow than we get this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 yeah with a high of 43 Saturday, I doubt anything sticks around by Sunday. maybe just piles of sleet. Then we get a week of colder, drier weather of course. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Yes that’s so annoying-it warms up and we get slop followed by bone chilling dry cold air.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Hi everybody, I'm new here. From Pittsburgh, all my life, and love weather. I like my seasons to be what they are supposed to be, winter to be cold and snowy, spring, mild turning warm, and sunny, summer sunny and hot, and fall cool and sunny with snow chances towards the end. I was on a different board, and grew very tired of the way they ran it and how they handled the way people felt about patterns. I read through a few pages here and feel like the Pittsburghers have a place to vent. There wasn't one over there, we were pretty much dismissed. I'm not an expert by any means, so I try to learn, but I'm just glad that I will have a place to commiserate or celebrate with a larger group of people. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 I honestly just don't think its gonna snow. We either get a crap pacific or a crap atlantic. Even now the MJO goes into phase 7 which isn't terrible but still warmish for January. We need this in phase 8,1,2. The storm after this one looks pretty identical to the saturday slop. Maybe we get lucky in February as the wavelengths start shortening. Idk every time the long range looks good it goes to shit as we get closer to the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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