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Pittsburgh PA Area Rest of fall and Winter 2019-2020 thread


meatwad
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14 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

That Thursday morning thing is close enough to keep an eye on, but right now GFS is really the only thing giving us mainly snow. 

Unfortunately, the Euro and everyone else have been north from the start. 

I expect the GFS to cave soon. 

Everytime we actually need the NS to  suppress a bit, it tends to fail us.  

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24 minutes ago, CoraopolisWx said:

Unfortunately, the Euro and everyone else have been north from the start. 

I expect the GFS to cave soon. 

Everytime we actually need the NS to  suppress a bit, it tends to fail us.  

Yeah in this case I dont see any way this isn't further NW. Most ensemble members have AGH county as being the cutoff. That wouldnt surprise me.

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Maybe a light front end thump Wednesday into Thursday, better odds North and West. It would be nothing more than stats padding though as another inch or so of rainfall is coming in afterwards. Maybe some landslide watches go up? lol

After that Thursday night might be favorable for some decent snow showers. It's going to be cold Friday so it would be nice to have at least an inch or so of snow on the ground.

Off Topic, but if your bored go check out the NE thread... talk about a massive meltdown of embarrassing proportions!

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43 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

Maybe a light front end thump Wednesday into Thursday, better odds North and West. It would be nothing more than stats padding though as another inch or so of rainfall is coming in afterwards. Maybe some landslide watches go up? lol

After that Thursday night might be favorable for some decent snow showers. It's going to be cold Friday so it would be nice to have at least an inch or so of snow on the ground.

Off Topic, but if your bored go check out the NE thread... talk about a massive meltdown of embarrassing proportions!

Oh please...they have had such a great run of huge storms. All those east coast subs suck. If they don’t get a 20 inch storm they melt.

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I will say this, I prefer this winter to the 30 one inch dusting we usually get that are just annoying. If we can’t get decent storms, just don’t snow. Also, this has been much better than the usual slop storm where we get killed by WAA GM then a week of temperatures hovering in the teens or less and it is dry only to repeat with the warm tongue.

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36 minutes ago, north pgh said:

I’m getting a nice surprise coating this morning. :snowwindow:

 

Yeah I wasn't expecting to see this. NWS addresses in the discussion:

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
1130am update...increased PoP to track a narrow band of precipitation
moving east through the region, evidenced by current radar imagery.
Wet bulbing plus near sfc CAA has led to most of this precip to fall
as snow, with a rain/snow mix more likely in northern WV. Warm
grounds and short duration will limit accumulation to a trace on
grassy surfaces only. This wave will exit this afternoon, and signal
the beginning of the dry period.
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5 minutes ago, KPITSnow said:

One, there should have been a special weather statement. Roads in the north hills were a mess. 
 

two, these are awful events, and of course I had plans. The conditions getting to McKnight were pretty scary. Bring on spring...this is the Pitts 

I didnt think it was possible but you complain more than me. 

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It’s coming, let’s see if that line can hold together, if it does it will be brief but intense. Saw a post on Facebook about thunder but not sure how reliable the person is.
798065EF-F07E-488E-B40D-37CB7F32F779.png.f7eefd4b3b297fbf7f7b85865f5455c6.png

Lightning showed up on RadarScope. Also, my uncle lives in Hubbard, OH. He texted me and told me he heard a rumble


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Special Weather Statement

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
900 PM EST Thu Feb 13 2020

OHZ039>041-049-050-059-PAZ009-014>016-020>023-029-073-WVZ001>003-
140300-
Jefferson-Belmont-Tuscarawas-Harrison-Columbiana-Carroll-Armstrong-
Clarion-Westmoreland-Washington-Allegheny-Indiana-Jefferson-Forest-
Butler-Beaver-Brooke-Ohio-Hancock-
900 PM EST Thu Feb 13 2020

...A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL AFFECT THE AREA...

At 856 PM EST, a band of moderate to heavy snow was located along a
line extending from 10 miles south of Marienville to 10 miles west
of Rimersburg to Beaver Falls to near Freeport. Movement was
southeast at 35 mph.

Locations impacted include...
Pittsburgh...                     Ross Township...
McCandless Township...            Cranberry...
Moon Township...                  Weirton...
Steubenville...                   Butler...
Franklin Park...                  East Liverpool...
Aliquippa...                      Beaver Falls...

This includes the following highways...
  Interstate 70 in Ohio between mile markers 213 and 221.
  Pennsylvania Turnpike between mile markers 15 and 47.
  Interstate 79 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 59 and 94.
  Interstate 80 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 59 and 96.
  Interstate 376 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 31 and 64.

Visibility near zero and a quick accumulation of snow on roads is
expected. Use caution if traveling.

LAT...LON 4120 7877 4114 7880 4105 7880 4003 8089
      4025 8141 4086 8018 4086 8016 4087 8016
      4137 7909 4134 7909 4135 7908 4136 7903
      4135 7902 4136 7900 4131 7883 4126 7874
      4123 7874 4123 7871 4120 7871
TIME...MOT...LOC 0156Z 300DEG 21KT 4132 7910 4104 7971 4075 8031 4027
8128

$$

07

looks like it strengthening a bit

Composite

itgXvEa.png

Base

rFjyF1C.png

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36 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

We are now at 19.1 inches for the season. What would the over under of 25 inches for the season be? 

Just about any other year on Feb 14th you'd take the over but not this year. 

Cause most years we'd already be over 25" on February 14th, lol.  I'd stay under though this year, and if we make it over, I'd say we stop at 26" or 27".

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