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A little pre-season thread: Can Nov. 8 pull off an early win?


moneypitmike
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18 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

EPS is rather meh. But it is measurable  3 inch probability 

 

Potential and probabilities is where we should be at this point rather than locking things in.  Trends are favorable but southern/ coastal/ low elevation areas could  still get the rug pulled out from under them. 

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In comparing 12z euro with 00z euro, The nrn stream seemed more progressive to me vs 12z. There also was a kicker. However, there may be some subtle signs of the srn energy helping cyclogenesis near ACK. In any case, I didn't see any big changes either way....just some subtle things that really matter since the profile is borderline in SNE for a time. All about the deets, baby. Still need to iron it out. At the very least, some rain to snow is likely inland even if not all snow. You can't ask much more than that prior to mid November. 

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6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Would this be a wet snow or to early.. still got leaves on maybe half the trees

I’m sure it’ll be a wet snow at this early stage in the season...if it even happens at all.  And four days from now you’ll trees will drop more of their leaves by then.  I wouldn’t be worrying about that stuff yet though. 

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