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A little pre-season thread: Can Nov. 8 pull off an early win?


moneypitmike
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2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Whoa! Nice bump south . Sorry Ginx. We snow . Even Mooseyup

Wagons North on both Op and Deterministic Kev, sloppy seconds if you like that kind of snow. If its going to snow like that I would rather be in Dendrite land. Inch or 2 is cool and a novelty but cmon you will be pissed if Hunchie scores a half a foot plus while you are looking at sloppy seconds

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6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That's definitely not a "steady as she goes" look....that's a huge bump up in probability for most zones actually with the max stripe being much higher probability and also further north

Yeah now 6”+ probs with a big increase.  These were non-existent yesterday.  

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Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Wagons North on both Op and Deterministic Kev, sloppy seconds if you like that kind of snow. If its going to snow like that I would rather be in Dendrite land. Inch or 2 is cool and a novelty but cmon you will be pissed if Hunchie scores a half a foot plus while you are looking at sloppy seconds

The probs increased for 3+ from 00z. Those are not trends to ignore . You now have decent probs down there in IJD of 3+

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13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That's definitely not a "steady as she goes" look....that's a huge bump up in probability for most zones actually with the max stripe being much higher probability and also further north

I'd go 2-4" of slop imby, at this point...but could also end up with very little.

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6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The probs increased for 3+ from 00z. Those are not trends to ignore . You now have decent probs down there in IJD of 3+

Only in your world is this a move south. You went from 26 % chance to 30% while someone like PF went from 35 to 72 %. Function of a north move but also time.

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35 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Agreed...I pick Chris' location first in Greenfield for low elevation spot in this storm as the best, but you're area is a close second.

 It’s not too often in early season storms that lat/long are as much of a factor as elevation but I’m taking tomorrow off for some yard clean-up.  

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