CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 15 minutes ago, powderfreak said: This was the first post I saw and I was like, wtf is he talking about. Then I read back a page or so, lol. I'm just having fun, but something a little more amped certainly is on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: I'm just having fun, but something a little more amped certainly is on the table. Now I’m in bed with the EPS mean, gonna ride that CNE swath through the N.ORH classrooms and up through the chicken coops until proven otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 In an hour the real model comes out...that should give us a decent clue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Yeah Ukie really is flat. Nice battle here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah Ukie really is flat. Nice battle here. Beats what we had 2 days ago when the good solutions were a GGEM/ICON/GEFS power trio. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 is Ray not in winter mode yet? I'm expecting a write up on this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah Ukie really is flat. Nice battle here. .7 frozen here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redbanknjandbigbasslakepa Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 48 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: PF warming up to post pics of snow covered Subaru outbacks at Stowe. With Coexist stickers? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 GGEM tickled north too. It was so suppressed even the chickens didn’t get much at 00z. GGEM though has the heart of it lined up with the EPS so seems reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: GGEM tickled north too. It was so suppressed even the chickens didn’t get much at 00z. GGEM though has the heart of it lined up with the EPS so seems reasonable. Did you see Ukie was flatter and tickled south? Do you think the Euro continues the trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: GGEM tickled north too. It was so suppressed even the chickens didn’t get much at 00z. GGEM though has the heart of it lined up with the EPS so seems reasonable. **** I said screw it to the leaves this past weekend and worked on finishing the extension to my chicken run. The past 2 years I've had to shovel 1/2 of it out since I never finished the rafters/roof. Just need to get 3 roof panels up over the next few days and we'll be good for Friday. If the leaves get trapped and frozen to the lawn for the 2nd straight year I'll have another warm season of diseased patches. Hopefully we can warm it up a bit at the end of the month so I can get them up. 6" with a cold stretch following it has me worried. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 If you factor for the GGEM's robust warm lower troposphere bias that's probably more snow than folks think in that solution... but still rain for the southern half of CT/RI .. it's a more of compressing p-type transition axis 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 1 hour ago, Cold Miser said: Some people must freak out if they are stuck in the tunnel, not moving for hours. Ha, my mother would probably be in that cohort. Her claustrophobia is so bad she would probably abandon the car. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 So psyched the ECMWF is on Pivotal now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Rain would be ok. Have to wait till leaves are down for the gutters and the oaks still have tons of shrivellies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Did you see Ukie was flatter and tickled south? Do you think the Euro continues the trend? I’d think the Euro spits the difference. Honestly the EPS has been rock solid, so see no reason to change that idea. It’s seemed to have similar probability for here and northern CT hills. Seems reasonable given the spread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 12z Euro looks like it's gonna be more amped than the pretty flat 06z solution....but def nothing like the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 That low is gonna go to pound town near ACK I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 38 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: If you factor for the GGEM's robust warm lower troposphere bias that's probably more snow than folks think in that solution... but still rain for the southern half of CT/RI .. it's a more of compressing p-type transition axis The ggem has a cold bias at the surface. Its warm bias is centered in the 850-700 layer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 That would crash snow to coast as it bombs. Whoa! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 This is going to be a good run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Congrats Dendy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: That low is gonna go to pound town near ACK I think. Yeah its gonna crash the R/S line i think....starts pretty warm in the BL...even ORH may start as a mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Here comes the EPS mean...right over me fanny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Light rain to heavy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: Here comes the EPS mean...right over me fanny. Why we even look at anything else... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 4, 2019 Author Share Posted November 4, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: That would crash snow to coast as it bombs. Whoa! Or at least to the massif before it ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Man Dendy to Dryslot mauler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Absolute crusher SNE interior. Even good amounts to coast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Oh yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now