weathafella Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 I think it’s going to snow this week.... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 46 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Nov 16 2018 ...but practically every snowstorm causes a commuter nightmare in CT. That event blocked up the Merritt by the tunnel. Cars couldn't get up the hill for hours. My cousin also wound up finding a hotel for the night in Westchester because the traffic was so bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: I think it’s going to snow this week.... Next week too I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 21 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said: 84 hour NAM should help clear things up in a bit. Less amplified than the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 6 minutes ago, Hoth said: That event blocked up the Merritt by the tunnel. Cars couldn't get up the hill for hours. My cousin also wound up finding a hotel for the night in Westchester because the traffic was so bad. Yes sir...my brother in law was stuck by the tunnel for hours and hours that evening on his way home. Took him 6 hours to get from Weston back home to Meriden that night in the snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 27 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said: 84 hour NAM should help confuse more folks in a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Moved the LR talk to the pattern thread 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 The >3” EPS probabilities have been pretty darn steady over the past 24 hours. Tightening up and lowering probs here to the north with each run is the main change. Heres the 6z run: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 12z NAM is def more amped than the flat 06z run....clown range for NAM, but the changes were a bit earlier....like mentioned yesterday, watch that shortwave in Canada around 66-72 hours. Note how the 12z nam is quite a bit further southwest that shortwave than the 06z run...that gives us a more amped look edit: this fooking forum still having trouble with animated gifs....so GD annoying.... here's the side by side comparison. 12z on right, 06z left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Yeah NAM would probably be rain to start. It's possible many areas start as liquid since the cold is moving in, not established. It's early to get into details, but this smells of one of those events. Probably start as a 36F rain and end as snow in the U20s, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 25 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Less amplified than the euro But more amped than its previous run...heading towards the Euro....? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: But more amped than its previous run...heading towards the Euro....? I thought it was more amped than the Euro for sure. It's the 84h NAM though....lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Hopeful but let’s see what this shows in another 30 hours (Tuesday Pm) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 The 12z run looks to slowly delay the push of colder air a bit...which obviously could impact the onset of things. It is nice to see a more amped northern stream though. Doesn't look like any significant changes with southern stream energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: The 12z run looks to slowly delay the push of colder air a bit...which obviously could impact the onset of things. It is nice to see a more amped northern stream though. Doesn't look like any significant changes with southern stream energy. But you don't want that too amped either. The cold is pressing in, not established already. If you get the low to develop sooner or stronger, that would be wagons north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: But you don't want that too amped either. The cold is pressing in, not established already. If you get the low to develop sooner or stronger, that would be wagons north. What eastern folks want to root for is for both the streak to trend stronger and then main shortwave behind it also to trend deeper....that would probably help this pop into more of a real coastal SE of ACK with cold air already well established. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: What eastern folks want to root for is for both the streak to trend stronger and then main shortwave behind it also to trend deeper....that would probably help this pop into more of a real coastal SE of ACK with cold air already well established. Can this be a paster in the hills or usual 27 powder? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: But you don't want that too amped either. The cold is pressing in, not established already. If you get the low to develop sooner or stronger, that would be wagons north. That's a good point. Hopefully that doesn't happen...sort of can't be discounted either. At 84-hours you have a near 90 knot MLJ streak just getting ready to round the base of the trough...so amplification is certainly going to be occurring...just a matter of how strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Can this be a paster in the hills or usual 27 powder? Could be either...but if it's more than 3 inches, it's probably going to turn into mid/upper 20s powder eventually. But it could start as paste or even cold rain before flipping. Still early though....we could still get nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 4, 2019 Author Share Posted November 4, 2019 1 hour ago, Hoth said: That event blocked up the Merritt by the tunnel. Cars couldn't get up the hill for hours. My cousin also wound up finding a hotel for the night in Westchester because the traffic was so bad. One doesn't need a weather event to hose up the Merritt. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 1 hour ago, Hoth said: That event blocked up the Merritt by the tunnel. Cars couldn't get up the hill for hours. My cousin also wound up finding a hotel for the night in Westchester because the traffic was so bad. Some people must freak out if they are stuck in the tunnel, not moving for hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 10 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said: Why not Weathermodels.com? That's where Maue went to and it appears to have much better maps than wxbell. Last time i logged into weatherbell late last season they were transfering over to the new graphical interface and it was absolutely horrid with many parameters completely gone. Weathermodels is the best site available. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 27 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: What eastern folks want to root for is for both the streak to trend stronger and then main shortwave behind it also to trend deeper....that would probably help this pop into more of a real coastal SE of ACK with cold air already well established. The streak is a helper for sure. Either way, I can't complain just dusting off the weenie cobwebs this early in the season. Feels good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: The streak is a helper for sure. Either way, I can't complain just dusting off the weenie cobwebs this early in the season. Feels good. And the 12z GFS barely has a streak....lol...so its congrats powderfreak. Night and day from the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: And the 12z GFS barely has a streak....lol...so its congrats powderfreak. Night and day from the Euro. Yeah develops over Killington LOL. Pretty good consistency from 6z. Oye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 84 hour NAM is blossoming a baroclinic leaf along a shallow corridor OV-NE ... ( heh, it's somethin' ) not for not, it came in noticeable more amped 72+ hours through the western Lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 I will expect nothing inside 128, until there is overwhelming guidance otherwise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 3 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: I will expect nothing inside 128, until there is overwhelming guidance otherwise Prob a good way to view an early November threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 I’m going to call an EPS FAIL on this one. 12z GFS much closer to what this is shaping up to be. Looks like a yawner for 99% of us. Thinking you’ll want to be in northern greens,, the whites and northern Maine to see snow from this one. Everyone else, enjoy the rain and Fropa. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 1 minute ago, jbenedet said: I’m going to call an EPS FAIL on this one. 12z GFS much closer to what this is shaping up to be. Looks like a yawner for 99% of us. Thinking you’ll want to be in northern greens,, the whites and northern Maine to see snow from this one. Everyone else, enjoy the rain and Fropa. The same gfs that gave the south a crusher yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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