PrinceFrederickWx Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 It's time for the 5th annual Mid-Atlantic snowfall contest! Everyone is encouraged to play- including lurkers, new members and people outside the region! You are forecasting the total snowfall for the entire season (NOT just Dec/Jan/Feb) for the four major airports: BWI, DCA, IAD and RIC. For the tiebreaker, you will choose one of the following two airports: Salisbury (SBY) or Lynchburg (LYH). Please choose only one- in the event of the tiebreaker, the difference at the airport you chose will be compared with the difference at the airport your opponent(s) chose. The winner will be the person who has the lowest combined absolute value departure for all four airports (this link explains the calculation in more detail, for anyone who needs clarification: https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/50428-mid-atlantic-winter-2017-18-snowfall-contest/?do=findComment&comment=4656575 ). Please use the following format when posting your forecast: BWI: DCA: IAD: RIC: Tiebreaker (SBY or LYH): The deadline for entries is Saturday, November 30 at 11:59pm. You are welcome to edit your forecast as many times as you want until the deadline. If there's any accumulating snow before the deadline, please include that in your forecast as well. The winner gets an E-trophy made of snow and an induction into the Hall of Fame with the previous winners: 2015-16: @Shadowzone 2016-17: @Stormpc 2017-18: @olafminesaw 2018-19: @olafminesaw (tiebreaker win against @Stormpc) Good luck everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 Can we lock this in Feb 29? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted October 29, 2019 Author Share Posted October 29, 2019 I won't be around over the weekend so I figured I'd get this up a few days before I normally start. I'll open with this forecast- baby's first winter at my house is always a dumpster fire: BWI: 8.6" DCA: 5.3" IAD: 9.9” RIC: 5.6" Tiebreaker SBY: 4.4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 BWI: 6.8" DCA: 4.9" IAD: 8.1" RIC: 3.9" Tiebreaker (SBY): 3.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 BWI: 18" DCA: 10" IAD: 18" RIC: 10" Tiebreaker SBY: 8" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 I'll give you a winter prediction: It's gonna be cold, it's gonna be dark and it's gonna last you for the rest of your life. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 BWI: 23.2" DCA: 13.7" IAD: 25.1" RIC: 10.8" Tiebreaker SBY: 10.3" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 BWI: 23.1 DCA: 11.1 IAD: 20.1 RIC: 4.2 Tiebreaker (SBY): 4.9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 Tiebreaker SBY: 20.2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 Looks like I’ll just wait for Olaf and stormpic to post and take the avg. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 7 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: BWI: 2.7” DCA: -231.6” IAD: 21.1” RIC: 23.2” Tiebreaker SBY: 78.3” So DCA is gonna sink below sea level over the winter??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 BWI 7.1" DCA 2.4" IAD 8.2" RIC 1.5" SBY 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted October 30, 2019 Author Share Posted October 30, 2019 16 hours ago, psuhoffman said: I'll give you a winter prediction: It's gonna be cold, it's gonna be grey and it's gonna last you for the rest of your life. Any guess on when spring will begin? My guess is March 19. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 BWI 28.0" DCA 19.5" IAD 34.5" RIC 11.5" SBY 9" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 2 hours ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: Any guess on when spring will begin? My guess is March 19. What if there is no tomorrow? There wasn’t one today! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 BWI 21.1" DCA 12.4" IAD 20.2" RIC 12.5" SBY 10.7" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 BWI 43.6'' DCA 38.7'' IAD 39.2'' RIC 17.1'' SBY 24.5'' 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 BWI _ 27.5" DCA _ 22.1" IAD _ 34.3" RIC _ 15.5" SBY _ 14.5" (could be adjusting this, at the moment I think the sweet spot for northeast US snowfall will be a bit north of your region but cold air will be available at least to mid-Jan and there is probably some chance of a big snowstorm before the pattern shifts to a milder second half of winter) _ some similarity to 95-96 so can't rule out that sort of outcome yet. A very good analogue seems to be 1971-72, how did you fare that winter? (edited my original numbers slightly upward on Nov 7th no real change in thinking just feeling a bit more confident of the one big storm during the good setup before the warmer second half). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 BWI 14" DCA 9" IAD 16" RIC 21" SBY 16" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 BWI: 28.2 DCA: 20.6 IAD: 32.2 RIC: 14.8 SBY: 14.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 BWI : 19.7 DCA: 14.9 IAD: 24.3 RIC : 11.1 Tie Breaker SBY : 12.8 MBY : 29.7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 BWI: 25.2 DCA: 18.7 IAD: 32.8 RIC: 12.6 Tiebreaker SBY 12.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 BWI: 26.5" DCA: 17.8" IAD: 27.2" RIC: 11.8" Tiebreaker (SBY): 13.1" *Guesses subject to change based on future outlooks, model delusions, and a night with a bottle of Crown Vanilla 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tplbge Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 BWI: 36.4" DCA: 27.3" IAD: 38.9" RIC: 12.9" Tiebreaker (SBY): 7.8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 BWI: 22.1" DCA: 16.6" IAD: 23.2" RIC: 11.6" Tiebreaker (SBY): 8" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted November 5, 2019 Author Share Posted November 5, 2019 1 hour ago, tplbge said: BWI: 36.4" DCA: 27.3" IAD: 38.9" RIC: 12.9" Tiebreaker (SBY): 7.8" Our summer contest winner is hoping to extend his hot streak (pardon the pun). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 BWI : 27.4 DCA: 21.1 IAD: 29.9 RIC : 17.5 Tie Breaker SBY : 9.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 Since we're getting 8-12" next week, we're going to see a lot of revisions in here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 Channeling my Price Is Right skills: BWI: 30.3 DCA: 25.5 IAD: 35.7 RIC: 28.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 BWI: 22.8 DCA: 17.6 IAD: 26.4 RIC:12.7 Tiebreaker (SBY): 9.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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