CIK62 Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 The next 8 days are averaging 44degs.,or about 5+degs. BN. Month to date is -1.7[50.3]. Should be near -4.5[45.4] by the 12th. 44.5* here at 5am. 46.0 by 7am. 48.0* at 8am. 49.8* at 9am. 53.0* by Noon. 55.0* by 2pm. Got to 57.0* around 3:30pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Frost on the cars here in Brooklyn. First of the season. 42 air temp. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 32° here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 39 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 42 here in Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 heavy frost here and 31. Figure that will take care of the rest of the leaves.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uniblab Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 31 here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 30 in my neighborhood. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 First freeze of the season, 31F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Looks like many of us saw our first freeze this am. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 33 imby...coldest so far this season... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 30.1 in Syosset and 29.8 in Muttontown. Nice bust by OKX on the temp forecast. Still never had a frost advisory or freeze warning issued, yet I’ve had lots of frost and a freeze. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 32.2 very very close, but not exactly freezing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 31 in armonk plenty of freezings here. Waiting for some consensus on Friday mornings storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 33 minutes ago, doncat said: Looks like many of us saw our first freeze this am. Lows in the UHI: NYC: 41, LGA: 42, JFK: 34, EWR: 35. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 30.5 here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 1st mention of snow for the area Thursday Night A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Friday A chance of rain and snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 42. Chance of precipitation is 30%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 28 last night. Coldest so far this fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 33 with heavy frost in wantagh this morning thinking inland and elevated for this weeks first snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 1 hour ago, bluewave said: The November 500 mb pattern is very close to 2018 and 2014 so far. These repeating patterns just keep coming. But two very different winter outcomes followed. That's a beautiful progression advertised on the EPS. Hoping that we avoid a 2018-esque headfake. 2014-15 was one of my all-time favorite winters! Still a bit early, but I feel a tad more confident that this year turns out better than last year's MJO fail. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Nam looks good for some at least white rain for the city Thursday night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 1 hour ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Nam looks good for some at least white rain for the city Thursday night It really would have to be about perfect for much impact near the coast, although it’s happened before pretty recently. The track may also become more amplified due to the northern stream involvement which often causes a north trend toward the end. This looks best for elevated areas in Orange/Putnam and interior CT. I’d expect some white rain and be thrilled if it’s anything more near the city and coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 I'm going with a more moderate analog like 1959-60...October ended up similar to Oct. 59 and November looks cold like 1959...the ao hit a very low -5.5 sigma in November 59...Some members of the ao forecast get close to that level... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: It really would have to be about perfect for much impact near the coast, although it’s happened before pretty recently. The track may also become more amplified due to the northern stream involvement which often causes a north trend toward the end. This looks best for elevated areas in Orange/Putnam and interior CT. I’d expect some white rain and be thrilled if it’s anything more near the city and coast. The 12z GFS is all rain now even up to central New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Just now, Brian5671 said: The 12z GFS is all rain now even up to central New England. Not much of a surprise-there isn’t much to stop this from continuing to amplify. We’re really relying on this being a fast system to keep it flatter but if the northern stream digs more or it slows down, that could be an outcome. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 3 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Not much of a surprise-there isn’t much to stop this from continuing to amplify. We’re really relying on this being a fast system to keep it flatter but if the northern stream digs more or it slows down, that could be an outcome. - epo can push this further to the south 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 Gfs has some snow for next Tuesday with a better airmass. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 3 hours ago, purduewx80 said: Lows in the UHI: NYC: 41, LGA: 42, JFK: 34, EWR: 35. Wow, big difference between NYC, LGA and JFK. I wonder what the largest difference in temps between those sites have been when JFK had a freeze and the other two didn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 1 hour ago, Eduardo said: That's a beautiful progression advertised on the EPS. Hoping that we avoid a 2018-esque headfake. 2014-15 was one of my all-time favorite winters! Still a bit early, but I feel a tad more confident that this year turns out better than last year's MJO fail. 2014-15 with a better January 2015 storm would be ideal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted November 4, 2019 Share Posted November 4, 2019 I wonder what the temperature range would have been back in 1879?...NYC 38? LGA 38? JFK 32? EWR 32? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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