weatherwiz Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 8 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I wish he was still posting in here Me too He's done incredible for himself...he is the definition of genius. His programming skills alone...I would kill to learn programming like that...or even to know how to come up with algorithms and indices...like he developed the MQI and used EOF's...zero clue how to even begin with that. If so I could probably do that construction of bi-weekly NAO/AO/PNA data from the daily numbers lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 Back to a more +NAO look on EPS. Ridge went poof last few days. The Pacific still a little questionable too with a split flow SW US trough possible. Would probably be stormy anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 14, 2019 Author Share Posted November 14, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Back to a more +NAO look on EPS. Ridge went poof last few days. The Pacific still a little questionable too with a split flow SW US trough possible. Would probably be stormy anyways. Yeah a big step back today but not awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 Buy day 3/4 storm sell everything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Buy day 3/4 storm sell everything else. Ya that's definitely northwest of the op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Back to a more +NAO look on EPS. Ridge went poof last few days. The Pacific still a little questionable too with a split flow SW US trough possible. Would probably be stormy anyways. Different than the gefs which looks great 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 14, 2019 Author Share Posted November 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Different than the gefs which looks great Who would you bet on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Who would you bet on? Neither until we get closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 16 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Ya that's definitely northwest of the op Maybe we can wiggle our way to 34f rain day 3.5/4. The low on day 6 would at least have a marginal airmass up and in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Back to a more +NAO look on EPS. Ridge went poof last few days. The Pacific still a little questionable too with a split flow SW US trough possible. Would probably be stormy anyways. Figures 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 Looks like a smoothed out version of the OP to me. What’s so +nao about it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Looks like a smoothed out version of the OP to me. What’s so +nao about it? The 11-15 day is more of a trough in Davis Straits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 It’s not horrible, but not as good as a few days ago. At least as currently depicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: The 11-15 day is more of a trough in Davis Straits. Oh you guys going past d10, ok then. I’m not touching that, too volatile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Oh you guys going past d10, ok then. I’m not touching that, too volatile. Yeah not making a call, just a subtle shift in things last few days. It goes along with December thoughts by some as starting out not great. Still looks like interior could time something right if we kept it as is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 20 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Neither until we get closer Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It’s not horrible, but not as good as a few days ago. At least as currently depicted. I feel like when you take a step back at d10, it’s not like d11-15 will magically turn great. So, I see it as a continuation of mediocrity if that’s what d9-10 shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 The good news is that split flow, means usually lots of storms. If you time it right, you can get a blue bomb in the interior. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 Also, I agree with the day four wave. That’s probably a better storm compared to the follow up event that loses the baroclinic zone. However, for many it’s likely just a cold rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 Snow on off all afternoon in Bridgton with light accum. Nice wintry appeal with a few inches on the ground and roofs. Shawnee peak started blowing snow yesterday, earliest start for them ever. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 52 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Neither until we get closer favor the coldest/snowiest 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The good news is that split flow, means usually lots of storms. If you time it right, you can get a blue bomb in the interior. Those are my thoughts for December...very active with cold around, but it won't be frigid with no blocking, so there will be precip type issues. Well timed NAO could rely produce bigtime, though.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Those are my thoughts for December...very active with cold around, but it won't be frigid with no blocking, so there will be precip type issues. Well timed NAO could rely produce bigtime, though.. We just can’t afford a more hostile look otherwise it won’t be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 oh no the weeklies look bad 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 4 hours ago, weatherwiz said: well if I get skunked so do you hahahahaha Not true, Eastern NE >WNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We just can’t afford a more hostile look otherwise it won’t be fun. Bad December? Well, no worries then. That never happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 seems as though this winter will certainly require a panic/concern thread to handle the increased negative post traffic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 Just now, Dr. Dews said: seems as though this winter will certainly require a panic/concern thread to handle the increased negative post traffic Nah, skin will be thicker, expectations tempered, after last year's fiasco. That said, if I have more inches of rain than snow again this year come March, there will be melts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 14, 2019 Author Share Posted November 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: seems as though this winter will certainly require a panic/concern thread to handle the increased negative post traffic That’s an annual event-do we start now or wait for more negative guidance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Not true, Eastern NE >WNE Let's all just agree all NE > Middle Atlantic One team one dream. Agree that recent years favor Eastern NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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