J.Spin Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: I count you as mountains since you enjoy the advantage of the upslope components. I was more speaking for areas like central NH over to the lakes region in Maine eastward to midcoast. Those areas usually require something a bit more than moist CAA flow to generate measurable snow. Ahh, understood. Indeed that’s true, a lot of those early accumulations seem to come from some sort of terrain assist where all it takes is a bit of moisture in the flow accompanied by marginal temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 2 hours ago, Snow88 said: Get your shovel ready =) It’s been a great coc summer and fall overall, I thoroughly enjoyed the comfy weather...but it’s time to drop the hammer and turn this muthafuka @weathafella out. I want the public crying about the non stop cold and snow until April. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s been a great coc summer and fall overall, I thoroughly enjoyed the comfy weather...but it’s time to drop the hammer and turn this muthafuka @weathafella out. I want the public crying about the non stop cold and snow until April. AMEN 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 42 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s been a great coc summer and fall overall, I thoroughly enjoyed the comfy weather...but it’s time to drop the hammer and turn this muthafuka @weathafella out. I want the public crying about the non stop cold and snow until April. Yes please! Since I moved up here in December of 2014 there has not been much in the way of "extended" cold and snow outside of February 2015...It is about time, it has been more like the northern Mid Atlantic than SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 48 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s been a great coc summer and fall overall, I thoroughly enjoyed the comfy weather...but it’s time to drop the hammer and turn this muthafuka @weathafella out. I want the public crying about the non stop cold and snow until April. According to Don S. the 2nd half of Nov could torch. Hard to disagree he's been spot on so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 Gfs is really cold for this time of the year in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 1 hour ago, Spanks45 said: Yes please! Since I moved up here in December of 2014 there has not been much in the way of "extended" cold and snow outside of February 2015...It is about time, it has been more like the northern Mid Atlantic than SNE. SW CT was living large for many years ...but they've missed the meat of some of the recent snow blitzes like March 2018 (2nd big one that month was mostly east), Dec 2017 (missed most of the Xmas storm), Feb 2017 (round two was mostly north of HFD-PVD), and even the best of Feb '15 was east though everyone got in on it. They were jackpotting a bunch in 2010-2013 time frame. I'm sure they'll be some storms soon where they cash in more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: According to Don S. the 2nd half of Nov could torch. Hard to disagree he's been spot on so far. Models have hinted at that after the cold dump. I think most people would be fine with a warm-up if we could squeeze in a small snow event before hand. Even if it was just a 1-3” interior event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 31 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gfs is really cold for this time of the year in the long range. Of course it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Of course it is. Just saying what other mets are saying......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 Get use to it, It has a cold bias so its going to show a lot of cold going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 GFS has a cold bias? Since when? It has a strong bias to be progressive in non-progressive patterns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: GFS has a cold bias? Since when? It has a strong bias to be progressive in non-progressive patterns. Since FV3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: Get use to it, It has a cold bias so its going to show a lot of cold going forward. I cut off the bottom scale, but it’s 0-240hr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: I was comparing the GFS to the FV3 when it was running in parallel last winter and it raised quite a few eyebrows with some of the precip outputs and what form they could take......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 23 minutes ago, dendrite said: Of course it is. AO and EPO are favorable for the foreseeable future. Gefs and Eps also agree so idk why you and others are denying it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 20 minutes ago, Dan76 said: Just saying what other mets are saying......... Troll Are you even looking at the big picture ? Ensembles ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 37 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: SW CT was living large for many years ...but they've missed the meat of some of the recent snow blitzes like March 2018 (2nd big one that month was mostly east), Dec 2017 (missed most of the Xmas storm), Feb 2017 (round two was mostly north of HFD-PVD), and even the best of Feb '15 was east though everyone got in on it. They were jackpotting a bunch in 2010-2013 time frame. I'm sure they'll be some storms soon where they cash in more. Coming from Delaware, even last year's 35ish inches doubled what I would normally see down there. So I guess I can't complain. It definitely seems like everything has been missing to the east recently.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 8 minutes ago, Snow88 said: AO and EPO are favorable for the foreseeable future. Gefs and Eps also agree so idk why you and others are denying it. Favorable for a step-down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 34 minutes ago, dryslot said: I was comparing the GFS to the FV3 when it was running in parallel last winter and it raised quite a few eyebrows with some of the precip outputs and what form they could take......... I paid attention to it as well last winter and it loved to draw up apocalyptic blizzards straight from Jimmy’s novels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 28 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Coming from Delaware, even last year's 35ish inches doubled what I would normally see down there. So I guess I can't complain. It definitely seems like everything has been missing to the east recently.... It’s been an east and/or north winter lately plus we missed Jan 15 & 16 blizzards by 30 miles maybe which stung...so we’re due, it’s coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I paid attention to it as well last winter and it loved to draw up apocalyptic blizzards straight from Jimmy’s novels. I still have some leftover piles of FV3 snow in the yard from last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 25 minutes ago, dryslot said: I still have some leftover piles of FV3 snow in the yard from last winter. CMC snow totals for my locale are my fantasy favorites! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: AO and EPO are favorable for the foreseeable future. Gefs and Eps also agree so idk why you and others are denying it. Arctic push, which hopefully brings our first flakes around 11/8 period and then maybe trough bumps W again? I don't look at every model run like many here but yesterday, I had time to look at a bunch of LR and felt that models were subtly flattening the flow again towards mid-month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 1 hour ago, dendrite said: I cut off the bottom scale, but it’s 0-240hr Where do you get that product? Pretty cool visual on the biases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Arctic push, which hopefully brings our first flakes around 11/8 period and then maybe trough bumps W again? I don't look at every model run like many here but yesterday, I had time to look at a bunch of LR and felt that models were subtly flattening the flow again towards mid-month. Despite my horrible model interpretation skills, still looked like lots of Canadian cold lurking, which is always a good sign! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Despite my horrible model interpretation skills, still looked like lots of Canadian cold lurking, which is always a good sign! It does look like we start to lose the EPO block toward mid-month and beyond, but we'll have to see as we get closer that it's not breaking down too quickly which happens often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 Safe to say Mansfield won’t have a 46” depth at end of November like last year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Safe to say Mansfield won’t see 100” by Turkey day This year. I believe the picnic tables did last year They may not hit 10% of that. Still time to buy your timeshare condo but Stowe is using up all it’s QOF quota in the offseason! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Safe to say Mansfield won’t see 100” by Turkey day This year. I believe the picnic tables did last year Last November was literally all-time when you put it all together. Brutal cold, tons of snow, huge snowpack. Only November since records began in 1954 with a 40” or higher snow depth. Not surprising we won’t see that again. But yeah skiers on social are acting like last Oct/Nov was normal and should be expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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