powderfreak Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 MVL hasn’t gotten out of the teens today, that’s insane. BTV’s record low max of 28F (over 100 years ago in 1916) is getting crushed with 22F being the high so far. Somewhere down the line, somebody will wonder about the November 2019 cold of yore.... “holy shit did that hot desert of BTV really only see a max of 22F on Nov 13th!?” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 28.4° for the high, 15.3° for the low..Surprised we didn't hit 30 under clear skies, already down to 25.6° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 14 here for a high. Made for a chilly opening day 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 10 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: 28.4° for the high, 15.3° for the low..Surprised we didn't hit 30 under clear skies, already down to 25.6° I would imagine Springfield hit 30F today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 Check out the gfs for next Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Check out the gfs for next Wednesday Congrats NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 Rangely ripper.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 13, 2019 Author Share Posted November 13, 2019 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Check out the gfs for next Wednesday One heckuva rainstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Got quite a bit colder this run. Looked like PNA ridge area got higher heights. -NAO look too. Following closely, coming up for Holiday week next Friday and need to figure out how much cold weather gear to bring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: One heckuva rainstorm Maine gets crushed like always Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: One heckuva rainstorm 975 low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 13, 2019 Author Share Posted November 13, 2019 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: 975 low Only one problem-it’s the gfs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Only one problem-it’s the gfs. Every model has the low. This should be fun to track even if its rain for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Only one problem-it’s the gfs. Tippy blue bomb for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 Euro was close too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Tippy blue bomb for sure. That’s pretty warm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That’s pretty warm. Prob fake news below 900-925 though over elevated interior. Esp given the model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Prob fake news below 900-925 though over elevated interior. Esp given the model. Doesn’t it have a big cool bias now? At least that’s word on the streets here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Prob fake news below 900-925 though over elevated interior. Esp given the model. 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Doesn’t it have a big cool bias now? At least that’s word on the streets here. It does a bit higher up. But imo low levels are still a little too warm due to marine influence. It doesn’t handle CAD well at all. In this case we lose a lot of the cold anyways, but it still may have low level issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 13, 2019 Author Share Posted November 13, 2019 I take the approach that for most of sne, this is not the storm that brings November snows. A few weeks later sure but pre 11/25 it’s a lot to ask for. Our November snows often come via clippers and sometimes overrunning SWFEs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 Why does he still insist on looking at the FV3. Please stop looking at it and posting about it. It’s garbage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It does a bit higher up. But imo low levels are still a little too warm due to marine influence. It doesn’t handle CAD well at all. In this case we lose a lot of the cold anyways, but it still may have low level issues. Yea noticed that as well. Another tool in the tool box, some know how to use tools others hire others to do it for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 So that's a whopper Noreaster there on the 18z GFS ... It's probably close enough at this point to figure much of the QPF is slush and blue urinal cake. It's clearly cold enough at 850 mb and given those parametric layouts there's no way that's just rain on the west arc/limb of that sucker's circulation... You're probably talking the blue bomb proper on that run. There's just one small caveat tho - it's the GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 I love me some urinal cake #dontlickthefrosting Weheeeeeeeee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: So that's a whopper Noreaster there on the 18z GFS ... It's probably close enough at this point to figure much of the QPF is slush and blue urinal cake. It's clearly cold enough at 850 mb and given those parametric layouts there's no way that's just rain on the west arc/limb of the sucker circulation... You're probably talking the blue bomb proper on that run. There's just one small caveat tho - it's the GFS... Why are you even looking at the FV3? Worthless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 Looks like a icestorm on the ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 The euro was not far off from the gfs solution. So it's plausible. I would still hedge toward something less exciting at d7 but it's something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Why are you even looking at the FV3? Worthless It just schooled the Euro two events in a row while you were apparently in a coma - from this range, too... Plus, the Euro isn't all that far from this solution, which if you bother to ever actually read anything, I expanded on that twice earlier in the day. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Why does he still insist on looking at the FV3. Please stop looking at it and posting about it. It’s garbage And what's going to happen if it does get an event correct ? You do know the euro busts at times, right ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: It just schooled the Euro two events in a row while you were apparently in a coma - from this range, too... Plus, the Euro isn't all that far from this solution, which if you bother to ever actually read anything, I expanded on that twice earlier in the day. Lol . It did nothing of the sort. You will not find one met here that will agree with you on that. It had no storm on the one last week and had this one yesterday Ots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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