CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Even up near PF seems like best 700RH on euro is north. Maybe upslope helps with big totals, but those maps seem a wee bit high. Will be solid warning probably anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Even up near PF seems like best 700RH on euro is north. Maybe upslope helps with big totals, but those maps seem a wee bit high. Will be solid warning probably anyways. Thats a lot of water Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hard to go against all guidance. We’ll see how things play out I wouldn't go 4" anywhere outside of far NW Mass. That said, being pretty far west you may do a bit better than areas further east even if they're further north (ORH, e.g.). I think the vast majority in SNE are going to be reporting no more than a coating to something barely measurable. We'll see. Maybe things will trend better today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Even up near PF seems like best 700RH on euro is north. Maybe upslope helps with big totals, but those maps seem a wee bit high. Will be solid warning probably anyways. Never bet against moose fart upslope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Never bet against moose fart upslope 3 moose captured in ORH this fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Doesn't look pasty at all up by PF. Low level temps are really cold. Any ptype issues that would happen up there would be like 23F sleet. You sure? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Maybe the pope will come in and give a blessing to some on here. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Is the trend towards more seasonal temps as we head into Thanksgiving? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: Maybe the pope will come in and give a blessing to some on here. “Let us proclaaaaiiiimmm the mystery of snnoooooowwwwwwww...” 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 SREF lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Never bet against moose fart upslope Nope. I just mean the synoptic part....although the more I think of it, the NW flow as the synoptic part occurs may help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Jerry needs his RPM fix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: Maybe the pope will come in and give a blessing to some on here. And impart patience to others to accept those things they can't change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Looks like some more cold rain here. Seasons in seasons Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Thankfully ... the Euro won't now be 2 for 2 on event over-selling so far this season come Tuesday.... Interesting ...the model had to speed up the timing in addition to .. pretty much completely morphing it's synopsis. The GFS wasn't much better from this Novie 4 time range, but, it's depiction of a flatter system that was succumbing to progressive fast flow "conceptually" gets the nod in my book - even though it doesn't get a win per se. I think in terms of egregiousness the Euro's error is objectively larger. Unless of course this thing turns around in the next 30 hours of modeling and carves out a NESDIS bomb of 5 along the NE coast. Then sure .. the Euro wins 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 31 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You sure? Yeah. Models always overestimate sfc temps when midlevels are warmer than low levels with a sfc low tracking SE. I suppose if the sfc low keeps ticking NW then it could be warmer at the sfc but it won't be wet snow in that scenario. If it's mainly snow there it's gonna be powdery. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah. Models always overestimate sfc temps when midlevels are warmer than low levels with a sfc low tracking SE. I suppose if the sfc low keeps ticking NW then it could be warmer at the sfc but it won't be wet snow in that scenario. If it's mainly snow there it's gonna be powdery. Regardless, the heated sidewalks will keep it from looking great. Of course, much better than most of us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 NAM is tucky into nrn ORH county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Yikes...what's the NAM doing? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Icestorm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: NAM is tucky into nrn ORH county. Yeah I was just looking at that Scott. Subtle variance lean that way in the RGEM fwiw when comparing the 00z to 06z, and I'm leery anytime these higher resolution boundary layer models show that inverted ridging in the llv pressure pattern extending down from Maine like that. Not predicting a ice storm here, but despite the appeal of the Global runs, that's not mild air up to SE VT there. Both models have the leading boundary depicted S of CT/RI - as is classically illustrated by the curvature layout of the PP. Meanwhile there is any damming structure at all N of that? Sorry, but I'm a hard liner against warmth getting into the interior when you get east of the Berks/Whites and we have a topographic drain built right in - this has 925 mb burrier jet written all over it. And even if it is weak it's blocking the llvs from warmth entirely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Good to note early season trending is from se to nw so if we want potential to actualize next month, maybe we need to start it near Bermuda. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Definitely an icy look on the coastal plain up here on the Nam. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: Definitely an icy look on the coastal plain up here on the Nam Yup, that's not a good look overnight Monday into Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Could be a 32.5er down to the Pike once that ageo kicks in ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Good disco this A.M. in here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 24 minutes ago, dryslot said: Definitely an icy look on the coastal plain up here on the Nam. Hide the chickens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Hide the chickens Probably run the gauntlet on precip types up here, Accident reports should be plentiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Colder rain is still just rain for SNE 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 10, 2019 Share Posted November 10, 2019 Asking for a friend (wife)...... She's scheduled to drive from ORH to Saratoga, NY. She's planning to leave ORH at 5:00. I'm thinking she won't have anything (rain or other) until she's essentially in Saratoga. What time would you anticipate any precipitation to wind down out there? She's leery of the drive both ways and a college campus tour they have planned out there on Tuesday. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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