Torch Tiger Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 Locked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 Heavy heavy ice to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 Nam looks great. Anyway this low scoots even more south dragging the precip and cold air south? Experts opinion only? It seems like there’s a trend here for the south NE coast of getting 2-4 inches possibly 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Most of the snow is in Central/Northern New England. We get flakes down here but nothing to write home about. 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Heavy heavy ice to snow Heavy heavy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 Don't do it to yourselves. It's the NAM. Don't lock it in...lock it up. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: Don't do it to yourselves. It's the NAM. Don't lock it in...lock it up. And the FV3 and ICON. What could possibly go wrong with that trifecta? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 Well we've got a battle between a 60+ hour NAM against the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 11 minutes ago, dendrite said: Don't do it to yourselves. It's the NAM. Don't lock it in...lock it up. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 Sometimes the NAM sniffs out a trend...but let’s not get too excited..if at all just yet. Most likely just a mirage from the NAM. Other guidance definitely needs to get on board with what the NAM is showing before there’s any type of believability or good vibes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: And the FV3 and ICON. What could possibly go wrong with that trifecta? Scratch the ICON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 9, 2019 Author Share Posted November 9, 2019 8 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Scratch the ICON. If I’m lucky, the scratching will erase it.,,. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 17 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Scratch the ICON. lol yeah that 18z run almost mixes here...definitely mixed at Montpelier, VT. That’s worse than the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 9, 2019 Author Share Posted November 9, 2019 So the vibe for eastern SNE is a whitening to an inch now. Even the euro hints that. Interior eastern SNE could 1-3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 In SNE we probbably want to root for slower like Tip mentioned. Flatter isn't gonna happen this close in where we stay all snow wire to wire...it just is too much ground to make up too close in....but we could catch some action at the end if we can slow everything down and redevelop a wave further south on the frontal boundary. 18z gfs def got warmer toward the euro. But it still has some post-frontal snows as it is digging the trough more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 Just let me stay here in Stowe thanks -from jacuzzi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 18z GFS amped back up again. It tried to steal my snow at 12z but looks like it put it back for now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Don't do it to yourselves. It's the NAM. Don't lock it in...lock it up. Lock it out. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 9, 2019 Author Share Posted November 9, 2019 16 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Just let me stay here in Stowe thanks -from jacuzzi Air bnb? Who’s the lucky lady? I’m sure I’ve told everyone the story of a lady I was with in the old south end piano factory which had some cool apartments of which I had one. One Saturday night in January 1975 had her over and when I opened my eyes Sunday I noted snow. So naturally I jumped out of bed and she beckoned me back. I think I said “but it’s snowing..”. When she asked “what’s more important.....snow or me”..I felt I could only say “please don’t make me answer that question..”. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: It's beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 Of course the 18z nam is right...just look at that jack (squat) for eastern Fairfield County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 The subtle slowing in the NAM I mentioned a while ago could really just be 'giga' perturbation and not really be indicative of trend. Just thought I'd clarify that. It could.. but the the only reason I brought it up was because it was endemic to the one model/interesting... 'Fact that I have not seen an 18z cycle from any other source that backs that noise, in fact... the opposite is more true, doesn't help the NAM's case. That said, the only thing the NAM may have going for it is that it's resolution in the boundary layer may have a better idea on where the front lies down. It's slightly south axis could certainly be atoned for seeing that resistance in the lower thickness intervals. But, perhaps comparing to other meso models might help there ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 36 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Just let me stay here in Stowe thanks -from jacuzzi How many Dilfs in the tub with you?! 6.... 10... tell us how many !!!!???! Ya- hoo 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 28 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Just let me stay here in Stowe thanks -from jacuzzi First call map... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 This whole 10 day period of time is a lesson in too much of a good thing... Particularly packing all those cold heights on top of a still resistant S/height crest. That flow is sped up in between dry cold shots. I think I even mentioned this, tho in sarcasm, back then, that this could end up being a dry cold blustering uninspired result. We'll see what Tuesday at last delivers - best bet is obviously the Capital District of eastern NY up through central NE for now. Otherwise, another cold shot ... then - Hate to say, but the operational Euro's dismantling the -EPO construct out near D's 8-10 has support in the American tele's. It may be transient prior to reload ...I don't know, or even oversold in both, but as it stands right now, there is at least a pattern lull set to take place out there around 20th. The other aspect to keep in mind is the the EPO is almost as fickle as the NAO...with somewhat stochastic onset behavior, at other times ..models tending to 'lose' it only to rebuild the blocking regime up that way. So, vigil either way... I'll stand by my ideas though, that without the -EPO, we flop above normal because the rest state is threshold(ing) into an all or nothing type of alternation. Hybrid PHL already... Until I see a static average atmosphere that is average without it coming from a cold source in order to do so, I'm pretty confident that's the new deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 27 minutes ago, weathafella said: Air bnb? Who’s the lucky lady? I’m sure I’ve told everyone the story of a lady I was with in the old south end piano factory which had some cool apartments of which I had one. One Saturday night in January 1975 had her over and when I opened my eyes Sunday I noted snow. So naturally I jumped out of bed and she beckoned me back. I think I said “but it’s snowing..”. When she asked “what’s more important.....snow or me”..I felt I could only say “please don’t make me answer that question..”. There’s a good chance pickles is with the same woman. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: There’s a good chance pickles is with the same woman. Dilfs man .. not milfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 You know it's early in the season when everyone's riveted to see if the models are going to show us 0" versus 1 or 2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 8 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: You know it's early in the season when everyone's riveted to see if the models are going to show us 0" versus 1 or 2. November Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 34 minutes ago, powderfreak said: First call map... Same here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 9, 2019 Share Posted November 9, 2019 23 minutes ago, dryslot said: November I still can’t believe my average high temp is 47F. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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