Spanks45 Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 5 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Cold pattern next week on the Euro I know it is day 10, but that is some cold air pressing south at the end of the run...Not a snowy look, but quite cold for November standards. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 yeah unfortunately, that look D8-10 can't do much. It's paralyzingly too compressed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 41 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Except in the Pioneer Valley where wind goes to die. Hit 57 mph with the last storm was a impressive 30 minutes with power flashes in the distance! Repeat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 21 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: I know it is day 10, but that is some cold air pressing south at the end of the run...Not a snowy look, but quite cold for November standards. Gefs is also on board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 29, 2019 Author Share Posted October 29, 2019 Cold shot on eps. Maybe some snow as it lifts out? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 47 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I dropped this hypothesis over the summer ... With the HC expansion stuff, early cold snaps can be intuitively fitting ... because that would tend parlay into NE Pac index responses. Heights in that region, however subtle, average higher, lends to this... Question is, does it last. The base pattern for winter may not even yet occurred - though I suspect it does in this case for other topic... This conceptually might begin to atone for the abhorrent increase in snow occurrence in October since 2000 in general. Interesting. The Octobomb blew the doors off for magnitude of October snowfall, but the frequency hasn't necessarily been that much greater. Using the local long-term co-op, 28 of 126 Octobers have recorded 1"+ snow, or 22%, but only 1 of the first 17 years tallied. Since then it's been about 25%. The co-op will have zero to trace this month, giving them 5 of 20 (plus a 0.5") for 2000 on. That's right on the average. October snow years have come in bunches throughout the record: 3-of-5 for 1922-26 and 1930-34, 4-of-6 in1950-55, 5-of-9 during 1961-69 including the 2nd/3rd/4th (tied with 2000) snowiest Octobers. (Tops is 8.0" ion 2011.) Other locations may show a different pattern - CAR has had 29 Octobers in 79 years with 1"+ but 9-of-19 for 2000 on, clearly more frequent. For the equivalent 19-year span 1958-76, it was 10-of-19 and included their 2 snowiest (62 & 63.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 First snow threat brewing on D10 OP euro? Just need that to stay on for a few more runs and then watch the meltdown when it disappears at 192 hours. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: We wind 12 Z Euro Every one of us has something taken down, big fall cleanup incoming this weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 Now there is some damage. I’m sure the usual will downplay and say models overzealous despite anomalous setup 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 It appears the first half of November will favor a storm track north of the US/Canada border into Ontario and Quebec, Canada Provinces favoring a heavy snow track through these areas. This future snow depth would allow cold air masses to reach further east and south towards the end of November and into December. This will allow a further east and south extension of the cold fronts that move in from central Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 29, 2019 Author Share Posted October 29, 2019 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: It appears the first half of November will favor a storm track north of the US/Canada border into Ontario and Quebec, Canada Provinces favoring a heavy snow track through these areas. This future snow depth would allow cold air masses to reach further east and south towards the end of November and into December. This will allow a further east and south extension of the cold fronts that move in from central Canada. Wait till that muthafukka hits the Gulf Stream! 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 1 hour ago, dryslot said: 11/8 could yield first snow for some on the Euro with a clipper if that would hold. Euro is just trying to catch up to my driveway material order for the 9th. (see page 1- 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 28 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: It appears the first half of November will favor a storm track north of the US/Canada border into Ontario and Quebec, Canada Provinces favoring a heavy snow track through these areas. This future snow depth would allow cold air masses to reach further east and south towards the end of November and into December. This will allow a further east and south extension of the cold fronts that move in from central Canada. Great post but congrats CNE NNE like last year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 45 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: It appears the first half of November will favor a storm track north of the US/Canada border into Ontario and Quebec, Canada Provinces favoring a heavy snow track through these areas. This future snow depth would allow cold air masses to reach further east and south towards the end of November and into December. This will allow a further east and south extension of the cold fronts that move in from central Canada. Sounds like climo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 17 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Great post but congrats CNE NNE like last year? Me thinks it wont be a repeat of last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 30 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Great post but congrats CNE NNE like last year? I think this is a sign that storm track will be further southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Sounds like climo? Yeah of course! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 43 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I think this is a sign that storm track will be further southeast. Last November had deep thick snow cover in NNE by late in the month. If anything there will be less SE advancement of snowpack compared to last year early season James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 37 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Last November had deep thick snow cover in NNE by late in the month. If anything there will be less SE advancement of snowpack compared to last year early season James. Yea and snowcover nor storm track advanced much further SE last season. It snows where it wants to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: First snow threat brewing on D10 OP euro? Just need that to stay on for a few more runs and then watch the meltdown when it disappears at 192 hours. Maybe first token weenie flakes but looks cold and dry to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 19 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Maybe first token weenie flakes but looks cold and dry to me. Another panel or two and it looked god for some overrunning clipper snows. But yeah...it won't be there next run, lol. The flow is definitely compressed/fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 When was that first thump last November? Quick 6" dump and epic traffic snarl, as I recall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 Just now, Hoth said: When was that first thump last November? Quick 6" dump and epic traffic snarl, as I recall. Late month 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 6 minutes ago, Hoth said: When was that first thump last November? Quick 6" dump and epic traffic snarl, as I recall. Mid month. 11/16. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 18 minutes ago, Hoth said: When was that first thump last November? Quick 6" dump and epic traffic snarl, as I recall. In southern NH, Nov. 15, 2018 was about 6.5"/ then again Nov. 20th 4",(both cement) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That was a solid early season thump. Too bad it canceled the rest of winter until March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 2 minutes ago, Hoth said: That was a solid early season thump. Too bad it canceled the rest of winter until March. We had an early Jan event that was good but other than that, yea had to wait until March. I hated last winter..a lot of precip but mostly liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 1 hour ago, Hoth said: When was that first thump last November? Quick 6" dump and epic traffic snarl, as I recall. I got 5 inches that day. I was supposed to get 1-3 inches. It usually takes 25 mins to get home from work. That night it took me over an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Late month 1 hour ago, Hoth said: That was a solid early season thump. Too bad it canceled the rest of winter until March. 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Mid month. 11/16. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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