ORH_wxman Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 Reggie is actually fairly suppressed and prob would be pretty snowy for at least N of pike. Yeah its clown range.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 8, 2019 Author Share Posted November 8, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Reggie is actually fairly suppressed and prob would be pretty snowy for at least N of pike. Yeah its clown range.... Love the adaptation of Kevinisms! This one should give more widespread flakes even if it doesn’t accumulate. Muthufukkas have numbers in them... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: Love the adaptation of Kevinisms! This one should give more widespread flakes even if it doesn’t accumulate. Muthufukkas have numbers in them... Still an 8 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 GFS is a bit more suppressed than 06z so far....won't be enough for SNE this run, but might be good enough for CNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 8, 2019 Author Share Posted November 8, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Still an 8 here. Even a 2 at BOS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 That's a bit colder up here on the12z GFS fwiw, Also has that ice look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 14 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Hmm can you elaborate on this? Or any good references on it? My personal reference range for this is roughly the period from a month after the autumnal equinox to a month before the vernal equinox. (Approx late October to late February) OH I'm sorry ... I don't/didn't mean to come off as "factoid" on that. That's speculation based upon some other avenues that are, however clad...so, call it synthesizing a possible explanation/and/or supposition that when the base-line R-wave lengths are smaller, the EPO tends to dump west. Moreover, since we are not statistically in the longer R-wave time of year ( yet ) .. that's why I used the term scaffolding That said, I'm not even sure that ridge being too far west in this situation is really caused by that. It may just be the rub that it's a "west-based +PNA" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: GFS is a bit more suppressed than 06z so far....won't be enough for SNE this run, but might be good enough for CNE. also seems like it's not as quick with amplifying it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 That could be close to some good icing across central NE...or maybe sleet. 20F and sleet hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 24 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: It's just odd b/c how the isobars are laid out does not match guidance at all. I don't even think a blend of guidance would yield that. Are you looking at the day 4 prog updated last hour or two for 12z Tuesday low is rather weak and situated NW of Portland Maine alone a boundary that runs SW-NE much like the last frontal low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Are you looking at the day 4 prog updated last hour or two for 12z Tuesday low is rather weak and situated NW of Portland Maine alone a boundary that runs SW-NE much like the last frontal low No I was looking at for 12z Mon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 This is a pretty wild sounding in NW PA Monday morning lol. Nearly isothermal from 700-500 lol. Moist and a bit unstable below it and about as stable as can be above it...maybe good LES out that way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 Gfs has 3 waves The 3rd wave is once again coming out of the gulf . Let's see if there is enough cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Gfs has 3 waves The 3rd wave is once again coming out of the gulf . Let's see if there is enough cold air. That one is probably going to be more highly dependent on a phase with that northern stream energy. If the phase happens in our favor plenty of cold air to tug in and lock in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 First flurries of the season in Methuen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 12 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: That one is probably going to be more highly dependent on a phase with that northern stream energy. If the phase happens in our favor plenty of cold air to tug in and lock in. Agree Need the cold air to stay in place longer. Right now that doesnt look to be the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 15 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gfs has 3 waves The 3rd wave is once again coming out of the gulf . Let's see if there is enough cold air. I see 3 of these waving at you . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 Wiz needs to update his avatar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 First flurries in Wilmington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 Hate for it to look so perfect but still 4 days out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 8, 2019 Author Share Posted November 8, 2019 Freak giving is a taste of our own medicine.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Freak giving is a taste of our own medicine.... All those years we posted the GFS and Euro crushing us,while he rocked back and forth to the ARW members. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 Gefs shifted east and ukie also 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 UKIE might be good for the interior actually. We'll see what the euro does. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: UKIE might be good for the interior actually. We'll see what the euro does. Gefs also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 Its to bad we don't have better maps for a model that is suppose to be #2 behind the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 You know its rough when a suppressed solution is a cutter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 39 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Wiz needs to update his avatar with what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 Speaking of avatar's I miss Kevin's avatar from several years ago of him making a funny face wearing an ugly UCONN sweatshirt but cute shorts. He was standing in front of some building. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 8, 2019 Share Posted November 8, 2019 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: UKIE might be good for the interior actually. We'll see what the euro does. That was a good ukie shift. And I agree that is probably a good snow event for interior SNE. I'll pay a little more attention since it led the way with the initial westward tracks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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