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November 2019 discussion


weathafella
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We gotta be careful tho .. .Will and Scott's concerns about the western ridge are certainly valid.   

It's actually the speed/isohypses counts that's [ probably ] stretching the total L/W space length so much, and just enough to do anything at all....  I think that is why the GFS isn't more consolidated with a plumb gorging out into the MS valley ...is because the wave spacing is stressed.  You end up with pearled lows and an active baroclinic axis that's missing the mid level triggers, because said triggers are stretched.  

wow, what a cluster f!

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3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

that's your K.U. event ...  

That gets ejected east, down comes the N stream... jump in the sack along the M/A and the party's on -

That feature combined with that northern stream look is bound to make something happen. If anything, there will be at least pieces of s/w energy which emit from it and eject towards the EC...then let the atmospheric magic play its role. 

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3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Knowing how amp happy this thing likes to be at d5, not a bad spot to be in at the moment.

knowing what it was showing for our FROPA today in that 4-5 day time frame, I will take its current look...It looked as though the cold was pressing further south and east around day 4, onto 0z....

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