backedgeapproaching Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 42 minutes ago, redbanknjandbigbasslakepa said: I think at your elevation you’ll do much better. I’d expect a good 8-12” at Searsburg Pass. That's aggressive with modeled warm nose and being that far south and east near the VT/MA line. It would really have to rip once all levels cooled. Definitely a tricky forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: GFS showing the possibility for early Dec. No blockbusters needed at this point, can we please just get a nice 4-8 inch storm with some cold around. Is that really too much to ask for? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 6 minutes ago, backedgeapproaching said: That's aggressive with modeled warm nose and being that far south and east near the VT/MA line. It would really have to rip once all levels cooled. Definitely a tricky forecast. Yeah I don’t like all the Swiss cheese looking thermal layers... it’s so marginal that just about any p-type seems possible if the models are off in an area by 0.5C even. Its very similar to that event we thought we were slam dunk for 8-12” and got the QPF but only had 4-6” on 1.0” water... just a frozen dense white substance of very small flake snow and sleet with some ZR for good measure. I could see something similar where there’s a good frozen QPF bomb but ratios are total garbage. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I’ve found it to be pretty decent in this early season mayhem. But anyway, definite SE tick in precip across the 12z suite so far. Very narrow area of heavy snows most likely. I’ve just seen it bounce around and also very mild, but then again I haven’t been using it for snow. Some SE ticks so far which perhaps means you are more on the line. It’s close. Kind of a tight little bugger, but mid levels are decent. You probably can’t afford another tick SE however. HREF looks decent for Mitch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 12/2 should cause a few posts. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 1 hour ago, snowgeek said: RGEM went south. . We toss. If that map were to play out, DIT, INS, and I would go apeshit in disgust. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 12/2 should cause a few posts. She's a beaut, Clark. Flying out of BOS the next day for a job interview. Perfect timing--in town for a good storm and no flight interuption. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 12/2 should cause a few posts. Hope we score before the projected AO flip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: We toss. If that map were to play out, DIT, INS, and I would go apeshit in disgust. I've seen a different RGEM snow map where most of that heavy snow in the lower elevations of the HV and CV is not there. That map seems to fail to understand how tough that would be at those low elevations. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Epo looks nice in extended. I guess the negative PNA means west coast Dump 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 You gotta wonder (for CNE/NNE) if this is potpourri falling from the sky in most areas or aggregates giving crap airmass and no high pressure within 2000 miles seems like whatever models do next 24 hours we will be looking at a nice nowcast event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 12/2 should cause a few posts. great, heavy rain to dryslot to a wrap around 1-2". Marking my calendar 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Ukie is a tick east from its super amped 0z run but still is only snow for like Breton woods NH to Sugarbush VT at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 46 minutes ago, Logan11 said: I've seen a different RGEM snow map where most of that heavy snow in the lower elevations of the HV and CV is not there. That map seems to fail to understand how tough that would be at those low elevations. Yeah, that other map is not happening, this one is more realistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 If this is amped like BTVWRF shows...then NW of Albany a little may jack/pivot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: If this is amped like BTVWRF shows...then NW of Albany a little may jack/pivot Euro 30 hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Hr 36 skimpy even for PF like .4 qpf 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Wildcat to Sugarloaf big winners this run. Mid levels not a intense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Yeah a bit east with mid levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 1 hour ago, moneypitmike said: She's a beaut, Clark. Flying out of BOS the next day for a job interview. Perfect timing--in town for a good storm and no flight interuption. For what? Good luck with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 It's up above that counts, but staying nice and chilly here today. 34/23 at 1:00 PM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Looking forward to the cold rn with some cat paws mixed in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Wed storm all the way in Wisconsin now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Stemwinder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Storm heads due east, thats a prolific snow storm on the Canadian border with that - 850 inflow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 1 hour ago, moneypitmike said: We toss. If that map were to play out, DIT, INS, and I would go apeshit in disgust. I would lose it!! Toaster bath for sure on that one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Stemwinder Not on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Wow is this a hard storm to predict for my hood for tomorrow. So marginal and every run and every model is slightly different. Almost impossible to predict sensible hourly weather for my elevation for this storm. Below freezing to start probably snow. Then going over to a mix. Perhaps moderate rain with catpaws and parachutes falling but not sticking. Honestly I have no idea other than its going to be a cold stormy day. Glad I have a sunroom with a 180 glass view over my property. Good day to be sit back on the laptop in the easy chair with the laptop and watch. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Not on the Euro Scooter knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 27 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Hr 36 skimpy even for PF like .4 qpf Yeah I’m going with even less than that. Maybe 1-3”/2-4”. I do think the precip shield tightens up a bit. Wouldnt complain about 2-3” refresh though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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