CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah the NAO is trying to push 12/2 south. But I agree the best look for winter threats is probably the following week when the cold is more established. At least that's the way it looks now. Back when we were all more level-headed years ago, we used to talk about how guidance tried to rush the changes...probably same deal here. Yeah probably good to repeat saying....regarding the pattern rush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Your genny will humming for several days it appears. Get the gas Ginxy lighting up cigarette and then car exploding from gas fumes like that CT driver? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Your genny will humming for several days it appears. Get the gas Meh, NW winds and late Nov with dry frozen ground with gust to 45. Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Ginxy lighting up cigarette and then car exploding from gas fumes like that CT driver? That was crazy. What did he have that sparked like that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: That was crazy. What did he have that sparked like that Cigarette apparently. That was incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 To chase or not to chase . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah probably good to repeat saying....regarding the pattern rush. Climo is a bitch. Some know some like Kevin think Nov is a winter month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Cigarette apparently. That was incredible. No, what ignited? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: To chase or not to chase . I have an affinity to a good paste bomb. I bet Franconia Notch may be a good spot. Easily accessible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: To chase or not to chase . Spend the night on Dianes kitchen floor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: No, what ignited? Gas canisters spilled in his car. Was bring gas back to his genny. It was after the Halloween gale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Spend the night on Diane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Well Saturday sillies aside, I don't see any big red flags with the overall look. Could it not work out? Sure, but I'll take what guidance is showing anyways. A decent Pacific and hopefully some blocking to at least start December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I may nudge that a tad NW..at least the jack zone there. Maybe more of a stretch...not necessarily nudge whole thing. Yea Miller A, Nov, lack of blocking. Always a good bet to favor climo areas. Will set up NNE winter enthusiasts Tday holiday pretty nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I have an affinity to a good paste bomb. I bet Franconia Notch may be a good spot. Easily accessible. No overthinking it...go to the Stowe hottubs at the hotel. They're gonna get destroyed unless we get the messenger shuffle. If we do get it, then go park up near wildcat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 wagons NW can stop now with this system just glad it went somewhere (NW) that can actually produce snow instead of 34 deform rains over pike area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 7 hours ago, mreaves said: Well we know that’s not right with the 14.3 jackpot right over my ass. Enjoy my man , kid will tear up your lawn some more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: No overthinking it...go to the Stowe hottubs at the hotel. They're gonna get destroyed unless we get the messenger shuffle. If we do get it, then go park up near wildcat. Yeah they’ll get smoked. I Guess it depends on travel and budget. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: No overthinking it...go to the Stowe hottubs at the hotel. They're gonna get destroyed unless we get the messenger shuffle. If we do get it, then go park up near wildcat. Not often SR has south ridge open before Tday. Another one of those long ski seasons . Friends spending the weekend up there are pumped, jelly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 20 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Meh, NW winds and late Nov with dry frozen ground with gust to 45. Meh You mean gusts to 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Not often SR has south ridge open before Tday. Another one of those long ski seasons . Friends spending the weekend up there are pumped, jelly Well not surprising with Sunday River's superior snow making operation and the cold we've had. They've also had some natural snow to help out and hopefully they'll get hit with another 6"+ on the back end of this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I may nudge that a tad NW..at least the jack zone there. Maybe more of a stretch...not necessarily nudge whole thing. I like when you whisper “mid levels”... my weenie is telling me that the last several events up here have busted a bit because everything ended up further NW than expected (mixed precip and QPF). I’ll have whatever the 3km models are having... the NAM and Canadian version here are apeshit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: I like when you whisper “mid levels”... my weenie is telling me that the last several events up here have busted a bit because everything ended up further NW than expected (mixed precip and QPF). I’ll have whatever the 3km models are having... the NAM and Canadian version here are apeshit. I thought mid levels looked great. I would toss QPF and utilize those features. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Classic canal track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 It is incredibly marginal temps...the 850mb maps look like Swiss cheese with the 0C isotherm. Any mid level band going nuts though will be pumping paste. I could see pockets of mixed north and south of the best mid-level lift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: It is incredibly marginal temps...the 850mb maps look like Swiss cheese with the 0C isotherm. Any mid level band going nuts though will be pumping paste. I could see pockets of mixed north and south of the best mid-level lift. Pretty pasty for a while I would imagine. Should make some good base building 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 I’m sure Will would know, but roughly how often does ORH receive less than 1” of snow in November? I’m guessing 50%-75% of years? This cold and cool stretch has been fascinating and surprising with just a few traces Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 ORH At -6.3F MTF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 Yeah, it's a bit disappointing we couldn't get more out of it, but I'm not losing sleep over it. As cool as last November snow was, it didn't last long and December had just about nothing to show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 23, 2019 Share Posted November 23, 2019 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I’m sure Will would know, but roughly how often does ORH receive less than 1” of snow in November? I’m guessing 50%-75% of years? This cold and cool stretch has been fascinating and surprising with just a few traces At the current airport location since 1948...it has been 36 out of 71 Novembers with less than 1". 24 of those failed to get measurable. (Most of them a trace...only 5 failed to produce even a trace) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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