CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Why...it’s cold and dry after the TDay system. There is something on 12/2 and then 12/5ish give or take. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 Still think gene may get something fun on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 What’s with the pessimism in here today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What’s with the pessimism in here today? It’s cloudy, dreary and basically dark before 3pm. That’s my guess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 Just now, NorEastermass128 said: It’s cloudy, dreary and basically dark before 3pm. That’s my guess. But it's Friday, so those other sins are forgiven 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 Just now, MaineJayhawk said: But it's Friday, so those other sins are forgiven This is very true. And a short week for most next week to boot! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 2 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: It’s cloudy, dreary and basically dark before 3pm. That’s my guess. People think im weird because i like it when it gets dark at like 430 and the night lasts forever and i get sad/depressed when its light until 9pm. I think i have reverse S.A.D. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: EPO into NW PNA domain improved, but the Davis Straits ridge became a trough. Almost like things sifted East a tad. But yeah I expect that. My opinion is that a true threat likely isn’t until the 7-8 of December or beyond. Maybe that system prior gets shunted, but I’m sort of setting that as my timeline. The eastward shift in ridge placement out west is a good sign. We'll want that. Esp if the NAO ridging is transient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: The eastward shift in ridge placement out west is a good sign. We'll want that. Esp if the NAO ridging is transient. Should clarify, I meant expected the volatility like you said. But yeah...the Pacific is pretty nice looking overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What’s with the pessimism in here today? Is it snowing , is snow imminent if the first two answers are no...remind yourself of these key questions the 4 months. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 22, 2019 Author Share Posted November 22, 2019 Right. The epo was just a tad too far west for my liking a few days ago but the more eastern trend should help with Atlantic deficiencies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 2 hours ago, Snowcrazed71 said: So, I see these posts of " what a waste of a storm because of no cold air " or " winter cancel ". First of all to November, and second of all, wouldn't you think with these nor'easters happening that we're setting ourselves up for this kind of pattern throughout the winter? I would think this is going to be a really good thing for us I've not seeing anyone saying it will be another 1995-96, but the run of strong storms is reminiscent. 1st one this season was the gale of 10/17 and we've had several since. In 1995 the first serious event came 10/22, and it wasn't until 4 weeks later, on about #6 that the ground turned white. We then had 5-6 more siggy snowstorms thru mid-Jan before the cutters in late month destroyed the pack, after which Feb/Mar/Apr brought several more. Far to be preferred to a 1999-00 where nothing was happening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Should clarify, I meant expected the volatility like you said. But yeah...the Pacific is pretty nice looking overall. Oh yeah....i didn't mean the eastward PAC shift will stick. Some of that Atlantic stuff is going to effect the Pacific side too. Regardless, the PAC improving (EPO ridge building as we go into December) seems to be consistent. We just don't know the exact orientation yet. Ideally, we'd get an NAO block to stick around for a couple weeks, but we know how those go...and I wouldn't expect models to have a good handle on it either. There should be plenty of cold around though....especially after the cutter in early December that causes a bunch more folks to melt down here, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: If those winds are above 60-65 at 850 I’ll take the over. Those charts suck at CAA and are too weenie in srly wind events. Week away it will change anyways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: Ya that’d be pretty close to the Bangor area. Nice if they can pick that up? BGR to Milo- nice little 12+ nugget. Lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 25 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: People think im weird because i like it when it gets dark at like 430 and the night lasts forever and i get sad/depressed when its light until 9pm. I think i have reverse S.A.D. Whats wrong with that Dracula? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 18z NAM has a couple inches Sunday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 Have squalls moving through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 You mean those awful weenie algorithms do. I’d sell those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 what's with the optimism in here today? Besides a cutter and Scooby Doo float lofting hundreds of feet above the G.W., pretty boring and dry between cutters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 9 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: what's with the optimism in here today? Besides a cutter and Scooby Doo float lofting hundreds of feet above the G.W., pretty boring and dry between cutters. I guess you are new. Have you looked at the models ? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 Chicken coop collapser on the 18z gfs. Destroys monads and Mitch too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 41 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 18z NAM has a couple inches Sunday Not for CT. We are SOL. Even elevations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Chicken coop collapser on the 18z gfs. Destroys monads and Mitch too. 3 hours of winter rapture right here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 And this is how we go into that 48-51hr period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 Close! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 Just got in and looked at the 18Z GFS. Gets heavy qpf in here. Last November we had a birch bender that did a lot of damage in my hood. Could we do it again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: EPO into NW PNA domain improved, but the Davis Straits ridge became a trough. Almost like things sifted East a tad. But yeah I expect that. My opinion is that a true threat likely isn’t until the 7-8 of December or beyond. Maybe that system prior gets shunted, but I’m sort of setting that as my timeline. Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Agree. Gfs looks good for the 1st week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2019 Share Posted November 22, 2019 26 minutes ago, dendrite said: And this is how we go into that 48-51hr period. Euro was good for you and Gene as well. At least imo. I guess it just comes down to dynamics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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