BrianW Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 It is a little past the middle of November. Here is a summary of the month so far in terms of average temperature departures from normal and the daily high temperatures for Central Park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 17 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Judah? Meh. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 39 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: See my Dec 1970 reply to Scott. Having lower heights than normal across the entire N US has produced some good Dec snow storms.. That neg PNA coupled with a neg nao works. We always need help. I am not getting into specifics and I do understand that a -pna -nao isnt a death sentence, especially moving onward. Again I'm cautious with that upstream look, that's all. Esp. for early winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 Justt saw the 18z euro. That was pretty weenie-ish as far as weak IVTs go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 26 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Yeah. This is what I mentioned earlier. Im skeptical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 Great, cancel winter if Judah is on the PV gets disturbed in Dec train. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Justt saw the 18z euro. That was pretty weenie-ish as far as weak IVTs go. More of a NH Hubb Dave dealio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Justt saw the 18z euro. That was pretty weenie-ish as far as weak IVTs go. Maybe a weenie trip to blue hill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: More of a NH Hubb Dave dealio Def the most favored area. Esp elevations. But this could pop a little further SE as we go through the afternoon....gotta watch for a little surprise. It gets pretty chilly aloft...I don't hate the soundings and we get the classic almost-calm look in the midlevels. Hopefully there's enough LL convergence. Keep expectations low but keep an eye on the radar tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Maybe a weenie trip to blue hill. Gonna be in Quincy until 3pm. Maybe I'll weenie through Chickatawbut Rd on the way back. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 These are always a nowcast deal, Never end up where you think they will if at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 Anyone have access to that high res Swiss model for tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Anyone have access to that high res Swiss model for tomorrow? Weather.us doesn’t have it anymore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Def the most favored area. Esp elevations. But this could pop a little further SE as we go through the afternoon....gotta watch for a little surprise. It gets pretty chilly aloft...I don't hate the soundings and we get the classic almost-calm look in the midlevels. Hopefully there's enough LL convergence. Keep expectations low but keep an eye on the radar tomorrow. 2-3" above 1k? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Gonna be in Quincy until 3pm. Maybe I'll weenie through Chickatawbut Rd on the way back. Lol I’ve done that a few times. It’s crazy what a few hundred feet can do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 A little invof deal would definitely boost morale Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 I think Swiss is not free anymore? That model had 2-3 great calls back in 17-18. Including Christmas miracle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 Just now, Dr. Dews said: A little invof deal would definitely boost morale They are so fickle though. Someone in a very narrow swath might get something but good luck pinning those down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: I think Swiss is not free anymore? That model had 2-3 great calls back in 17-18. Including Christmas miracle. She gone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 6 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: 2-3" above 1k? It's possible. I prob wouldnt forecast that but it wouldn't be shocking if that occurred. I'd like to see a little more defined sfc IVT than shown right now to be confident in more than snow showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: They are so fickle though. Someone in a very narrow swath might get something but good luck pinning those down Yeah true, big winners and mostly losers. But we watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 NAM has been juicing up each run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: It's possible. I prob wouldnt forecast that but it wouldn't be shocking if that occurred. I'd like to see a little more defined sfc IVT than shown right now to be confident in more than snow showers. Thanks. Hopefully a steady snow for a few lucky folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: NAM has been juicing up each run. Yep. Pretty good agreement with 18z euro on starting this from A Mitch-ORH axis and then beware of the little blowup in coastal E MA late tomorrow PM and early evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yep. Pretty good agreement with 18z euro on starting this from A Mitch-ORH axis and then beware of the little blowup in coastal E MA late tomorrow PM and early evening. It does get some respectable cold at 925 and winds are NW at the surface. Decent rates could easily get it 32-33 I think even near coast. But, flakes in the air would be just fine too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 11 minutes ago, White Rain said: What is the timing for this event? Is this mostly a late morning into the afternoon type deal? “Event“ might be a stretch. But yeah. Early afternoon if it happens at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 So, this is the most dead morning in a November discussion thread in the history of the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 35F -RADZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 5 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: So, this is the most dead morning in a November discussion thread in the history of the board. No kidding, I though the forums were down. 31F with some type of snizzle----drizzle/snow grains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 5 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: So, this is the most dead morning in a November discussion thread in the history of the board. The forum was down for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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