Typhoon Tip Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 is anyone verifying high wind warnings ? oh I see overnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 31, 2019 Author Share Posted October 31, 2019 Looks like an improving long range on eps today kind of an EPO reload 11-15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: Looks like an improving long range on eps today kind of an EPO reload 11-15. 17 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: It does look like we start to lose the EPO block toward mid-month and beyond, but we'll have to see as we get closer that it's not breaking down too quickly which happens often. mm... beware 2015 tho - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 31, 2019 Author Share Posted October 31, 2019 31 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: 17 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: It does look like we start to lose the EPO block toward mid-month and beyond, but we'll have to see as we get closer that it's not breaking down too quickly which happens often. mm... beware 2015 tho - I’m confused what this means.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 18 minutes ago, weathafella said: I’m confused what this means.... Me too...I didn’t know what he was talking about either when he said it earlier? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 Good lord at that Euro run from 12z. It has 2-M temps here at MVL of 24F at 1pm next Friday....with a couple days not sniffing freezing even at lower elevations. 850s trying to get near -20C in a week, lol. Be colder relative to normal than it is warm right now on that prog. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 It’s the extremes that create the norms after all....... Nice! Bring the below normal for all of us in NE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 Little doubt there will be a pretty stout cold air intrusion starting late next week. Question is how long it sticks around and if we can get a s/w to slide under us during that time. Models have been hinting at that over the last little bit. Next weekend timeframe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Good lord at that Euro run from 12z. It has 2-M temps here at MVL of 24F at 1pm next Friday....with a couple days not sniffing freezing even at lower elevations. 850s trying to get near -20C in a week, lol. Be colder relative to normal than it is warm right now on that prog. Check out the gfs mid month The PV pays us a visit Frigid 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Check out the gfs mid month The PV pays us a visit Frigid Normally I'd laugh at the GFS showing this but there's strong support for cold near mid month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 4 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Normally I'd laugh at the GFS showing this but there's strong support for cold near mid month. Could be some frustrated weenies watching NNJ get their first accumulating before PWM and BOX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 Pretty nice cold shot after 11/8. Still may get some first flakes if we can time things right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 A bit nipply. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 17 hours ago, weathafella said: I’m confused what this means.... 2015 had a propensity to fail the EPO neutralization out in time... Once the initial -EPO explosion took place ( circa 01/15/... ), the D10 and 15 range were consistently having to correct negative as D14 became 13, become 12 ... 8, and on and so on. While that was happening, opertational versions would emerge new blocking nodes seemingly from nowhere, playing catch-up, usually around the D7 to 10 temporal seam, within the ensemble means. I'm not meaning to say this is a redux for 2015 walking through the door Thanks Giving... Just to watch for a similar behavior. I also suspect that in an AB-phased Pacific/-EPO predominant 30 to 45 day pattern, that type of handling of the EPO domain space is probably more common. Both in verification and in modeling, the blocking over the Alaskan sector/adjacent will demonstrate some stochastic uncertainty relative to a general longer termed tendency to be in the negative phase state. Will mentioned '..breaking down too quickly..' and I was offering support for that precedence; you mentioned reload - that too has precedence. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 Symbology has it's place but .. I cannot help but "feel" as though this cold front turns a page. Whether that is step down, or an early winter remains to be scene. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 Looks snowy around the 10th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 Nice gust just now 47mph NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 Some stray flakes here 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 Roaring in CON over the last 10 mins. Lost power. 45mph at the ASOS, but I think it’s higher since then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 Relieved to read that "2015" referred to January, not November - big difference between king snow winter and king rat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 max gusts should ease the rest of the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 CON 40kt LCI 45kt Tree down at the top of my hill laying across wires. Luckily we haven’t lost power yet. Eek lost power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 45kts is good up that way. Take 'em down. Trees that is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 Wow, temperatures here on the Lower part of Cape Cod, Chatham/Harwich area could see highs next week in the upper 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 12 minutes ago, dendrite said: CON 40kt LCI 45kt Tree down at the top of my hill laying across wires. Luckily we haven’t lost power yet. Eek lost power. Why does he no longer post? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, kdxken said: Why does he no longer post? My guess is he will post in winter storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 6 minutes ago, kdxken said: Why does he no longer post? He’s just been pretty busy and got away from posting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 The GFS at hour 240 looks nice, too bad it is the GFS.....at 240..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 Yeah where's metfan with his 6hrly lalaland GFS snow and cold post? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 59 minutes ago, dendrite said: CON 40kt LCI 45kt Tree down at the top of my hill laying across wires. Luckily we haven’t lost power yet. Eek lost power. Yea gonna be awhile here too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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