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November 2019 discussion


weathafella

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  On 11/15/2019 at 5:08 PM, Snow88 said:

Its only mid Novenber lol.

SNE will likely have snow before the year is up.

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We have had snow already..what I said was, a snowstorm. We are all hungry for at least a 6-10" type event pre-Christmas. If we go mostly bare ground and starving into January there's gonna be some strong concerns, maybe a few panic/melts/cancellations too. 

 

 

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  On 11/15/2019 at 8:52 PM, ineedsnow said:

18Z NAM with a 983mb low wheres the cold ugh

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Fleeting and nowhere to be found. Shame with such a big moist system.

This will end up your typical cold, rainy windy November nor'easter with rains to the mountains.

Hopefully the result will be different in 2-3 more weeks

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  On 11/15/2019 at 9:09 PM, BombsAway1288 said:

Fleeting and nowhere to be found. Shame with such a big moist system.

This will end up your typical cold, rainy windy November nor'easter with rains to the mountains.

Hopefully the result will be different in 2-3 more weeks

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But to be fair...that’s exactly what it’s supposed to be at this time...A cold rainy November Nor’Easter. So it’s seasonable and Normal.   

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  On 11/15/2019 at 10:08 PM, weathafella said:

True.  But those temperatures would be passable in this setup probably a month from now.

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Yes. It takes a more anomalous airmass this time of the year. If we had moderating cold becoming stale in place over time like we do here between Saturday and Monday except it was a month later, it would be enough. But this time of year you really need almost pure Arctic airmasses...not all the time, but most of the time. 

 

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  On 11/15/2019 at 10:12 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Yes. It takes a more anomalous airmass this time of the year. If we had moderating cold becoming stale in place over time like we do here between Saturday and Monday except it was a month later, it would be enough. But this time of year you really need almost pure Arctic airmasses...not all the time, but most of the time. 

 

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The dewpoints are going to be near 0, 24 hrs prior to this storm...I would also think a block to the north would help keep that cold in a bit longer?

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  On 11/15/2019 at 10:15 PM, Spanks45 said:

The dewpoints are going to be near 0, 24 hrs prior to this storm...I would also think a block to the north would help keep that cold in a bit longer?

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Biggest problem with the setup is the high retreats really quick. It's possible we get a bit more ZR than shown right now though if it holds a little longer than guidance shows...which has been known to happen on these cold airmasses. 

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  On 11/15/2019 at 4:20 PM, Lava Rock said:
  On 11/15/2019 at 3:43 PM, tamarack said:
Today's low was about 20, a slight change from yesterday's -2.  Last 2 days departures were -22 and -23, month running -7.
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Jeez, below 0 already?

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Earliest here by 8 days, and 2nd year in a row to advance the below-zero threshold.  (T-Day last year was far more uncomfortable and anomalous.)  The 14th is even 5 days ahead of my earliest subzero in Ft. Kent, though we had only 10 years there and this is November #22 here.

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  On 11/15/2019 at 10:50 PM, powderfreak said:

One of those moments where you’re like wait, was that thunder?!  Heard one more low rumble just a couple minutes ago too.

Line is just hitting Mansfield now.   

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“Chris.....Christina.....we just had a thunder...snow.....we just had a lightning strike and thunder here in Stowe....”

 

Will should get that. :lol:  

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