Torch Tiger Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: If he sees flakes on Friday morning, he'll be giddy as a school boy. But man, look at the next couple of weeks. How can anyone complain in November. I'll be careful with my words here, but it seems like a much higher than norrmal chance of areas getting their first measurable before Thanksgiving. Higher than normal chance of later than normal first measurable. Cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 Just now, Dr. Dews said: Higher than normal chance of later than normal first measurable. Cool Huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 He didn’t melt. He’s already resorting to reverse psychology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 06 GFS rallying with the day 9 event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: If he sees flakes on Friday morning, he'll be giddy as a school boy. But man, look at the next couple of weeks. How can anyone complain in November. I'll be careful with my words here, but it seems like a much higher than norrmal chance of areas getting their first measurable before Thanksgiving. Yeah that pattern being shown from about Veterans Day to the 15th or 16th has a lot of potential. Heck even behind that the PNA is trying to reload a bit so we may get more shots later on. All you can realistically ask for in November. There's a reason even a place like ORH averages 3.5" in the month of November. It's a tough month...but we actually have some stuff to track this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 5, 2019 Author Share Posted November 5, 2019 3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Not really, Jerry. 23 in ORH vs. 4 in SVT? I'd put that at least in the mostly sunny vs. mostly cloudy realm. 23 in ORH on 11/12 is uncommon to say the least. 4 anywhere in VT is also rare but probably no more vs your 23. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 The clowns will clown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Huh? First measurable before Thanksgiving. That's early for BOS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 Just now, Dr. Dews said: First measurable before Thanksgiving. That's early for BOS? Higher than normal chance, and I'm not just saying a trace. Obviously need to be careful with my words because someone will twist it, but I think you know what I mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 BOS average first measurable is 11/29 but if you go by first inch, it's 12/11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 If we don't have at least a T by Thanksgiving, that is going to really anger some folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 49 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We lost Kevin He gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 21 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: 06 GFS rallying with the day 9 event. Let's start the parade of "in 10-day pattern change" that we had last year. That one never got old. 21 minutes ago, weathafella said: 23 in ORH on 11/12 is uncommon to say the least. 4 anywhere in VT is also rare but probably no more vs your 23. I'm not speaking of rarity--I'm speaking of the delta. No need to dwell anymore on it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 FV3 not GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 5, 2019 Author Share Posted November 5, 2019 10 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I'm not speaking of rarity--I'm speaking of the delta. No need to dwell anymore on it though. Toto, we’re not in GC anymore.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 5, 2019 Author Share Posted November 5, 2019 Yesterday’s weeklies anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 9 minutes ago, weathafella said: Yesterday’s weeklies anyone? Looks like a -EPO/+PNA look through week 4 albeit the signal does weaken. Looks like we flirt with some weak ridging off the East Coast with the central US remaining rather chilly. Week 5 and 6 do turn a little hostile...but we know the caveats of the weeklies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: If he sees flakes on Friday morning, he'll be giddy as a school boy. But man, look at the next couple of weeks. How can anyone complain in November. I'll be careful with my words here, but it seems like a much higher than norrmal chance of areas getting their first measurable before Thanksgiving. Scott is guaranteeing snow yes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 25 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: FV3 not GFS Can you locate for me the FV3 on the official government model website? All I can find is the GFS. https://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-area.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 5, 2019 Author Share Posted November 5, 2019 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like a -EPO/+PNA look through week 4 albeit the signal does weaken. Looks like we flirt with some weak ridging off the East Coast with the central US remaining rather chilly. Week 5 and 6 do turn a little hostile...but we know the caveats of the weeklies. Thanks Scott! It appears to me that the hostility keeps getting pushed into the far distance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 58 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Higher than normal chance, and I'm not just saying a trace. Obviously need to be careful with my words because someone will twist it, but I think you know what I mean. Yeah, He thought you meant 12"+ for BOS, Glad you cleared that up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 16 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yeah, He thought you meant 12"+ for BOS, Glad you cleared that up. Lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 Next week looks really promising, nobody should be dismissing anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 please let this coming system signal a seasonal trend...redux of last year would be epic 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 Getting excited about snow chances in the first week of November is like a 12 year old boy seeing his first boob. While they may nice and pretty, there is a whole lot more to see when time is right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 I'm offended. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 7 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Getting excited about snow chances in the first week of November is like a 12 year old boy seeing his first boob. While they may nice and pretty, there is a whole lot more to see when time is right. Lol good analog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 18 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol good analog Once in a blue moon you get a 2011 and a horny 6th grade teacher too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 32 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Getting excited about snow chances in the first week of November is like a 12 year old boy seeing his first boob. While they may nice and pretty, there is a whole lot more to see when time is right. Kevin has yet to see boobs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 15 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: This absolutely proves. Seasons in seasons. Morch is and should be spring. Winter sets in , in November (like this year)and is over in Morch . The public understands https://imgur.com/a/iJRKHaV Temps and snowfall for March & November, Boston, and Farmington, Maine: Boston: MAR 38.6 8.0" NOV 45.0 1.2" Farmington: MAR 28.2 17.0" NOV 34.6 5.4" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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