Hoosier Posted October 29, 2019 Author Share Posted October 29, 2019 45 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Won't even need much wind, given the leaf situation as of now. Probably will be tree damage tonight alone if there is an axis of 3-6". 10/7/2000 took out a huge limb in front of my house with 1-2" of heavy, wet snow. It was a LES setup and not anything like this with a deepening low passing through. Trees are farther along now of course but point is it doesn't take much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 First snow of the year, AND it will have major travel impacts. Got a feeling I will be babysitting a number of accidents and DIDs Thursday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 NAMs and GFS are still showing 6-8" for the QCA. Not bad considering tonight's snows will miss southeast. 3km NAM shows some pretty nice rippage tomorrow night. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 First hint GRR's coming around.. AFDGRR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 307 PM EDT Tue Oct 29 2019 LATEST UPDATE... Synopsis/Discussion/Marine .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 305 PM EDT Tue Oct 29 2019 - Rain Wednesday - Rain mixing with snow at times Wednesday morning - Rain gradually changing to snow Thursday - Hazardous travel conditions late Thursday into early Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ams30721us Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said: Won't even need much wind, given the leaf situation as of now. Probably will be tree damage tonight alone if there is an axis of 3-6". Yep, we had several large trees come down with the heavy, wet 1"-2" in Davenport this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 36 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: First snow of the year, AND it will have major travel impacts. Got a feeling I will be babysitting a number of accidents and DIDs Thursday. Even though it is going to be a swing and a miss out this way, I feel your pain brother. The first snow of the year is always brutal on the roads and especially with what the models are spitting out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 29, 2019 Author Share Posted October 29, 2019 22 minutes ago, ams30721us said: Yep, we had several large trees come down with the heavy, wet 1"-2" in Davenport this morning. Based on hourly obs at DVN, it looks like winds were generally around 10 mph or less. So imagine what more wind is going to do. I can see this being an issue even into Chicago proper eventually if an inch or two falls in the def zone on Thursday. And the foliage in the city probably isn't as far along as it is in outlying areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 Nah 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 On my way to work this morning, I saw some trees that had branches drooping down. All of the snow that fell last night has since melted. Any snow that falls tomorrow afternoon here will undoubtedly be wet, although the snow should be light. That changes tomorrow evening when the main show begins as temps drop below freezing, thus not causing as much problems for the leaf laden trees unless we get a few inches of concrete before the the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 I noticed a lot of trees dumped a crap load of leaves today. It's almost as if they got the message from ma nature to dump them or face getting destroyed lol. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 A couple from outside of work this morning: October Snow 2019 1 by Andy, on FlickrOctober Snow 2019 2 by Andy, on Flickr 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 A few stats I pulled for nearby areas. Based on guidance, many of these are in play...and some an easy lock. .....Chicago..... Snowiest October Days: 3.8" - 10/19/1989 & 3.0" - 10/20/1952 Snowiest Halloween: 0.1" - 2014 Snowiest Octobers: 6.3" - 1989 & 4.4" - 1967 .....Rockford..... Snowiest October Days: 5.0" - 10/23/1929 & 2.0" - 10/27/1925 + 10/29/1917 Snowiest Halloween: 0.1" - 2014 Snowiest Octobers: 5.0" - 1929 & 3.0" - 1917 .....Moline..... Snowiest October Days: 6.5" - 10/26/1967 & 2.9" - 10/25/1898 Snowiest Halloween: T - 1954/1939/1926/1918/1917/1908 Snowiest Octobers: 6.6" - 1967 & 2.9" - 1898 .....(Already at 1.1" on this month to date) .....Peoria..... Snowiest October Days: 3.3" - 10/23/1929 & 1.9" - 10/29/1925 Snowiest Halloween: T - 1918 Snowiest Octobers: 3.3" - 1929 & 1.9" - 1925 .....Milwaukee..... Snowiest October Days: 3.7" - 10/18/1989 & 2.6" - 10/20/1989 Snowiest Halloween: 0.4" - 1926 Snowiest Octobers: 6.3" - 1989 & 4.0" - 1976 .....(Already at 0.3" on this month to date) 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 18z Euro... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said: 18z Euro... Mind sharing a snow map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 Just now, CoalCityWxMan said: Mind sharing a snow map? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 some nice eye candy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 Lol, what happened to that model 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 5 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: 18z Euro... When you pop this gif, I know things are trending well. Never expected to see it in october... Not really all that realistic, but fun to see a non-negligible snowfall in october. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 30, 2019 Author Share Posted October 30, 2019 1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said: lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said: Mother of god...if only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 18z Euro has an axis of 6-11" tonight across portions of N/C. IL. Then wraps up the system on Thursday, with another more widespread 3-7". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 30, 2019 Author Share Posted October 30, 2019 Overdone or not, it is nuts to see a map like that only a couple days out from what tends to be the most reliable model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 Just now, Hoosier said: Overdone or not, it is nuts to see a map like that only a couple days out from what tends to be the most reliable model. More like hours out at this point. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 30, 2019 Author Share Posted October 30, 2019 Just now, Chicago Storm said: More like hours out at this point. Yeah but the storm is still going a couple days from now. We'll get a good idea by tomorrow morning if that has any shot at verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 Just now, Hoosier said: Yeah but the storm is still going a couple days from now. We'll get a good idea by tomorrow morning if that has any shot at verifying. Truth. I mean half of that is from tonight alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 That's very impressive. Definitely wouldn't surprise me to see such a focused and intense band show up like that. Gonna be very devastating to trees and powerlines along that stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 30, 2019 Author Share Posted October 30, 2019 10 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Truth. I mean half of that is from tonight alone. Does it get snow to the lake tonight or is that all from Thursday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 16 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Does it get snow to the lake tonight or is that all from Thursday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 39 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Truth. I mean half of that is from tonight alone. If GFS follows suit, at what point do we see WWA/warnings issued from LOT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 0z NAM for part 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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