Hoosier Posted November 18, 2019 Author Share Posted November 18, 2019 12z Euro is still on the more bullish end with the weekend system. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 19, 2019 Author Share Posted November 19, 2019 00z GFS with a hard shift toward the Euro for the weekend system. And this just in from the GEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 19, 2019 Author Share Posted November 19, 2019 This would be kind of a big deal in almost any other November. Now it's like so what lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIstorm97 Posted November 19, 2019 Share Posted November 19, 2019 Detroit needs 2.4” to break its all-time snowiest November record (11.8” in 1966). Might as well go for it this weekend considering all the other November snowfall records have been broken. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 19, 2019 Share Posted November 19, 2019 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: This would be kind of a big deal in almost any other November. Now it's like so what lol This would help us destroy our November snowfall record. Lock it in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted November 19, 2019 Share Posted November 19, 2019 00z GFS with a hard shift toward the Euro for the weekend system. And this just in from the GEM And then the Euro completely backed off lolSent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 19, 2019 Share Posted November 19, 2019 I'm ready to torch now, winter fix fulfilled, bring the heat 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 19, 2019 Share Posted November 19, 2019 5 hours ago, MIstorm97 said: Detroit needs 2.4” to break its all-time snowiest November record (11.8” in 1966). Might as well go for it this weekend considering all the other November snowfall records have been broken. So true, we have already broken so many November snow records this year. Lets go for monthly record too. If no more snow falls, we have already locked in 4th snowiest November (which was locked in by November 12th). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted November 19, 2019 Share Posted November 19, 2019 That's a freakishly beautiful Thanksgiving storm on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted November 19, 2019 Share Posted November 19, 2019 4 hours ago, RCNYILWX said: And then the Euro completely backed off lol Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Let's see what the 18Z Euro shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 19, 2019 Share Posted November 19, 2019 6 hours ago, Baum said: Let's see what the 18Z Euro shows. Cold seems lacking, with the GEM on the colder end of the spectrum, and thus painting a much better system with nice snow swath. I'll be shocked if the others come around to it's solution tbh. This entire period to finish Nov and into the first week of Dec is looking too warm for most of us S and/or east of C Wisco. If we can get lucky and score, you'll know we are the favored zone for winter action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 19, 2019 Author Share Posted November 19, 2019 11 hours ago, RCNYILWX said: And then the Euro completely backed off lol Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Indeed. Not the greatest inter/intra model consistency. Still has my eye though in case of a late northward adjustment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 19, 2019 Author Share Posted November 19, 2019 12z Euro and GFS both going big time with the low next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 19, 2019 Share Posted November 19, 2019 21 minutes ago, Hoosier said: 12z Euro and GFS both going big time with the low next week. Just not for us further east. Nice Plains hit tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 19, 2019 Share Posted November 19, 2019 bring it feels like forever since i've heard thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 19, 2019 Author Share Posted November 19, 2019 11 minutes ago, RogueWaves said: Just not for us further east. Nice Plains hit tho. Gonna be tough to get significant snow this far east I think. Don't really see how we can finagle it to happen. Maybe if there is some follow up piece of energy. As currently modeled, it is reminiscent of some of the classic fall storms of years past. Similarly deep and similar track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 GEFS hinting hard at return of Greenland Blocking. Would do wonders to get us back into temps cold enough to support more SN than RN. Let's hope it's onto something.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 On 11/18/2019 at 11:49 AM, Chicago Storm said: Looks like a mild and wet pattern could set up into at least early December. Guidance has been trending towards a -PNA, along with a neutral to perhaps +NAO/AO. Might be a delayed, but not denied kind of situation for indian summer. Smells like a bust 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 GFS trending lamer with the mid week cutter and going all in on the followup now, thermals still gonna be problematic but u gotta like seeing the gulf opening up for a cutter parade, especially since it looks like deep cold returns just after 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 Yep, zero shortage of action going forward. Just get some cold infusions and all things winter will get rolling. Personally, I like winter to set in and stay. Not a fan of the 7-10 day blast, followed by 4-6 weeks of ho-hum. I'll make use of this pattern reload period to finish up my holiday decorating, then I'm ready to see more of these: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 Skilling starting to talk about the Thanksgiving storm. Has most the snow out west but it’s on his radar 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 when the indian summer hits just right 3 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 The look of a -NAO, -PNA and active sub-tropical jet would be very good for a lot of this sub-forum starting around the end of November (though intially may favor those in the northern half of it). If the EPO drops after day 10 as the ensembles are trying to hint at that would eventually shift the baroclinic zone far enough south for the Ohio Valley to also get more in the game for early December. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: when the indian summer hits just right This one legit made me lol he's had some rough med range calls as of late 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 Gfs like a few runs away from a miss se with the midweek Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 20, 2019 Author Share Posted November 20, 2019 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: Gfs like a few runs away from a miss se with the midweek 12z Euro actually did miss Chicago to the southeast with that, but not by much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 Not sure who's off to a worse start this winter, joe or the gfs 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 5 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: when the indian summer hits just right Let me break out my golf clubs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 Retire DTX met Bill Deedlers Winter outlook for the Great Lakes https://weatherhistorian.blogspot.com/2019/11/neutral-enso-takes-back-seat-to-other.html?m=1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 21, 2019 Author Share Posted November 21, 2019 Call me crazy but I'm still thinking the weekend system has a shot to do something around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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