A-L-E-K Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 still looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Will it be a rainer or a strung out weak progressive miss SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 31 minutes ago, Cary67 said: Will it be a rainer or a strung out weak progressive miss SE a combination of both. Had to wonder over here after the gut punch from today's models.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Looking forward to tracking the next strung out pos later this week/weekend. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Whatever frozen can be scored with this current 'event'...and whoever scores better enjoy it and take lots of pics. raging +AO, +NAO, -PNA, the MJO cruising into the fabeled hell regions of 5 and 6, and to get one last kick in the sack (if that isn't enough), the epo that was recently showing a trend towards negative has flipped to going back positive. Winter is esentially over for most...not that it ever began for some of us. I don't care what fantasy snows the models show, if this crap holds /\ , it's game over. Of course there's always the chance for those nasty slop snows in early spring for those who like that kinda thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Models show a potent system streaking into the nw part of the region on Sunday. Southern Minnesota looks like the bulls-eye. The system then weakens as it heads east into the lakes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Extended continues to look active. Thinking several more snow systems in the offing, the more north one is the better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 1 hour ago, hawkeye_wx said: Models show a potent system streaking into the nw part of the region on Sunday. Southern Minnesota looks like the bulls-eye. The system then weakens as it heads east into the lakes. That is the story of this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 zzzzz. Bring on spring. Let's hope that next winter delivers a warning criteria event to more than two members outside of the lake belts. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Very sad to read that Cyclone is packing it up for spring already I admire you daring mother nature to give up thee elusive warning criteria event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 4 hours ago, cyclone77 said: zzzzz. Bring on spring. Let's hope that next winter delivers a warning criteria event to more than two members outside of the lake belts. never works that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 See ya next season... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 time 2 torch 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 The current "disruption" (if you can even call it that) to the strat PV was the last real hope to salvage February outside of the northern tier, and instead the PV comes back stronger than ever in the mid-range. It's been a winter I don't care to repeat anytime soon...nothing has shaken the pattern that started developing way back in December, and there have been several mechanisms to try to do so at various times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 7, 2020 Author Share Posted February 7, 2020 1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said: See ya next season... And yet, my prediction is that February will come out at/above average for snow at ORD. It's a problem from a sustained deep winter point of view but it looks cold/active enough to not be a total wipeout. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 I find the CMC's return to the stormy side of things regarding the mid-week threat to be encouraging. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 8 hours ago, OHweather said: The current "disruption" (if you can even call it that) to the strat PV was the last real hope to salvage February outside of the northern tier, and instead the PV comes back stronger than ever in the mid-range. It's been a winter I don't care to repeat anytime soon...nothing has shaken the pattern that started developing way back in December, and there have been several mechanisms to try to do so at various times. Do solar mins lead to less PV disruptions? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Do solar mins lead to less PV disruptions? No in fact people have tried to argue the opposite, that solar minimums lead to more high latitude blocking and therefore PV disruptions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 Just now, madwx said: No in fact people have tried to argue the opposite, that solar minimums lead to more high latitude blocking and therefore PV disruptions. I've had two lake effect events this year, the lowest in my lifetime here in WNY. Just no cold air aside from Nov/Early Dec. Still not doing terrible due to synoptic, but definitely an odd year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 1 hour ago, Malacka11 said: I find the CMC's return to the stormy side of things regarding the mid-week threat to be encouraging. Euro from 12z agreed. Waiting on 00z run. The GFS as usual is forecasting for another planet. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 8 minutes ago, Stebo said: Euro from 12z agreed. Waiting on 00z run. The GFS as usual is forecasting for another planet. Both CMC and ICON had a partial phase. Nice pool of cold air near Hudson Bay with a weak SE ridge. Set-up is definitely there for something big but we need more consistency. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 21 hours ago, Hoosier said: And yet, my prediction is that February will come out at/above average for snow at ORD. It's a problem from a sustained deep winter point of view but it looks cold/active enough to not be a total wipeout. Around average could be fairly easy to attain, given we’ve already had a few light events and will probably rack up a few more...and average is Like sustained winter potential being DOA, cold is probably forgone too...outside of one or two very brief shots possible in the next 10 days or so, due the the brief -EPO push. Other than that, it’ll likely stay around or above normal temp wise. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 ^ i have no issue with an ealry spring meaning consistent 50's and 60's beginning in March. But it never works out that way...climo, I guess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 20 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Around average could be fairly easy to attain, given we’ve already had a few light events and will probably rack up a few more...and average is Like sustained winter potential being DOA, cold is probably forgone too...outside of one or two very brief shots possible in the next 10 days or so, due the the brief -EPO push. Other than that, it’ll likely stay around or above normal temp wise. . Would seem with the EPS flipping to a +EPO the GFS showing warm cutters ala December would be about right. Maybe you cash in on this midweek system before that happens 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 8 hours ago, Stebo said: Euro from 12z agreed. Waiting on 00z run. The GFS as usual is forecasting for another planet. 0Z Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 Pretty good hit for Chicagoland on the 12z Euro. Please, whoever makes the storm thread, don't jinx it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 3 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: Pretty good hit for Chicagoland on the 12z Euro. Please, whoever makes the storm thread, don't jinx it. It will trend to a southern sheared our mess like the GFS and Canadian eventually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 4 minutes ago, mimillman said: It will trend to a southern sheared our mess like the GFS and Canadian eventually yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 8, 2020 Author Share Posted February 8, 2020 6 minutes ago, mimillman said: It will trend to a southern sheared our mess like the GFS and Canadian eventually "Ride the euro" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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