King James Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Meh, it's been eventful here in the Great Lakes, that's not been an issue. Neither is season snowfall to date. The issue is having Winter sustain itself from more than one week at a time. I see no reason however why the active pattern will not continue, when you see all the noise in the in ensemble precip means in the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes, that tells me it likely will remain active. And you can count on some of us getting more snow. The million dollar question is will we get a stretch of cold and systems that are all snow? Sounds local, no? I’ve gotten next to nothing in the way of snow or cold. Been a rainy warm winter for my area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, King James said: Sounds local, no? I’ve gotten next to nothing in the way of snow or cold. Been a rainy warm winter for my area Yes i was referring to the Grand Rapids comment about an active weather pattern. It's been a mild Winter here obviously as well. But it's not like it's not been active. Locally we are running around average season snowfall to date, but it has definitely not felt wintery much of the time 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2020 Author Share Posted January 26, 2020 I would dispute the active part a little bit. I guess it depends on how you define the word and where you are. There were those couple unusually early storms in Oct/Nov. Then there were a couple significant storms in different parts of the sub in December, but I wouldn't really call that "active" overall. You expect some storminess... this isn't the desert. Recall that December was quite bad and boring in those areas that missed out on the bigger storms that month (ORD could hardly buy a drop of any kind of precip in the first 4 weeks). January has been better in terms of storm frequency and hopefully we build on it and get some bigger storms. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 4 hours ago, ILSNOW said: Atlanta gets more snow then Chicago area gets on this run . Time to blow up this lame excuse of a winter. Looking at that map, you guys now have an even more legit reason to call me the a**hole in Ohio 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 3 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: Meh, it's been eventful here in the Great Lakes, that's not been an issue. Neither is season snowfall to date. The issue is having Winter sustain itself from more than one week at a time. I see no reason however why the active pattern will not continue, when you see all the noise in the in ensemble precip means in the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes, that tells me it likely will remain active. And you can count on some of us getting more snow. The million dollar question is will we get a stretch of cold and systems that are all snow? ...one of these days you're gonna snap. A diet of denial and sugar-coated turds, (ie halloween snow storms and blackened snow piles in parking lots), can only sustain you for so long.... It will be epic when it finally happens 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 7 minutes ago, buckeye said: ...one of these days you're gonna snap. A diet of denial and sugar-coated turds, (ie halloween snow storms and blackened snow piles in parking lots), can only sustain you for so long.... It will be epic when it finally happens He has yet to experience a futility winter. Detroit's been extremely lucky compared to most of us. In 2011-12 Toronto got 17" and 20.6" in 2009-10. Two futility winters in a very short time frame. Once he gets to that level, all our complaints will make total sense. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slow poke Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: I would dispute the active part a little bit. I guess it depends on how you define the word and where you are. There were those couple unusually early storms in Oct/Nov. Then there were a couple significant storms in different parts of the sub in December, but I wouldn't really call that "active" overall. You expect some storminess... this isn't the desert. Recall that December was quite bad and boring in those areas that missed out on the bigger storms that month (ORD could hardly buy a drop of any kind of precip in the first 4 weeks). January has been better in terms of storm frequency and hopefully we build on it and get some bigger storms. I agree, lots of rain during December and January doesn’t equal a active time to me. When I hear people say “ but we’ve had average snowfall to this point” I can’t stop thinking it sounds like a Detroit Lions fan when they say “but we had the lead in all of our losses this season so we’re so close to being a good team” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 Euro 10 day snowfall for chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 RIP Kobe. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 2 hours ago, buckeye said: ...one of these days you're gonna snap. A diet of denial and sugar-coated turds, (ie halloween snow storms and blackened snow piles in parking lots), can only sustain you for so long.... It will be epic when it finally happens Im irritated too trust me. And Ive stated as much multiple times. Its just not been as bad here as the OV. I said its been active here, and it has. Snowfall is running avg and precip well above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 1 hour ago, Snowstorms said: He has yet to experience a futility winter. Detroit's been extremely lucky compared to most of us. In 2011-12 Toronto got 17" and 20.6" in 2009-10. Two futility winters in a very short time frame. Once he gets to that level, all our complaints will make total sense. This isnt even the complaint thread lol. I simply stated its been active. I have been on weather boards for 18 years and there is always, always, ALWAYS complaining. There isnt a weather pattern possible that avoids whining. This year, complaining is warranted. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 1 hour ago, slow poke said: I agree, lots of rain during December and January doesn’t equal a active time to me. When I hear people say “ but we’ve had average snowfall to this point” I can’t stop thinking it sounds like a Detroit Lions fan when they say “but we had the lead in all of our losses this season so we’re so close to being a good team” Lol. I think it's funny that when we do have a crap Winter you really have to limit your talk of the actual weather that has occurred, and just keep saying its the worst ever to avoid being called out lol. If you know me, you know that this is exactly the Winter that I do NOT prefer. Simply stating that we've had average snowfall is the absolute truth. How have we gotten to that point? Two big snowstorms and lots of little Lake effect snow dustings. If you know me, you know I would much much MUCH prefer a healthy dosage of spread out clippers. Snow cover is surprisingly not even running that far below normal, once again, because we had record snow cover in November. All of these things are absolutely not the way I would draw up my perfect Winter. But they still are what they are. I wish I had a dime for every time I heard on the weatherboard (granted these people apparently do not post here anymore) back in the day when we would get small snow after small snow after small snow leading up to a very nice Winter but with not a lot of big storms, they would say I'm tired of these nuisance snows, I just want a big storm then nothing. Where. Are. They. Now? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LansingWeather Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 I can practically guarantee winter to come sometime after Feb 9th. I booked my flight back to Puerto Rico then and with out fail, every time I do it becomes snowy in the Lakes... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighTechEE Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 2 hours ago, buckeye said: Looking at that map, you guys now have an even more legit reason to call me the a**hole in Ohio and that makes Dayton the pee-hole on that map! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 56 minutes ago, LansingWeather said: I can practically guarantee winter to come sometime after Feb 9th. I booked my flight back to Puerto Rico then and with out fail, every time I do it becomes snowy in the Lakes... Sounds good. I work from home that whole week and then I'm going to the UP the next week for 4 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 26, 2020 Share Posted January 26, 2020 2 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: Im irritated too trust me. And Ive stated as much multiple times. Its just not been as bad here as the OV. I said its been active here, and it has. Snowfall is running avg and precip well above. I'm just messing with you....but i would like to see you go off just once though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 4 hours ago, slow poke said: I agree, lots of rain during December and January doesn’t equal a active time to me. When I hear people say “ but we’ve had average snowfall to this point” I can’t stop thinking it sounds like a Detroit Lions fan when they say “but we had the lead in all of our losses this season so we’re so close to being a good team” "But I nailed it at 500" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 4 hours ago, Angrysummons said: I guess a cold pattern develops around March 1-15. 83 and 92 are setting up as analogs. The February ssw is the key with its lags. Mid to late February at the earliest, based on these. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 21 minutes ago, Spartman said: Mid to late February at the earliest, based on these. Larry Cosrove tells the Eastern seaboard he expects mild to continue for most of February with a quick back loaded Winter through mid March before warming. Meanwhile, he says cold and snow during February should be between the continental divide in the Appalachian mountains (ie, looking decent for the lakes). Honestly, this Winter is just not going to be the kind of Winter that I like, snowcover just wont establish itself for long periods, so we might as well see if we can keep the hot hand at getting juiced up systems moving through the region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 10 hours ago, Spartman said: Mid to late February at the earliest, based on these. SSWE.... lol The last vestige of the desperate weenies 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Just in time to make it keep snowing through the end of April and virtually eliminate the storm chase season, just like 2018. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 2 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said: Just in time to make it keep snowing through the end of April and virtually eliminate the storm chase season, just like 2018. Luckily we have a few (possibly) silver linings: 1) its not guaranteed yet that a SSW will occur, only half of the GEFS have a warming occurring in the next 2 weeks 2) Not all SSW are the same and depending on how the vortex gets split/the alignment of the blocking we may not get brutal cold 3) By the second half of May, when prime storm chase season is occurring, the weather patterns are not really connected to any SSW occurring in Feb/Mar 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 18z GFS coming in hot only 16 days and 64 more runs to go. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 2 hours ago, ILSNOW said: 18z GFS coming in hot only 16 days and 64 more runs to go. It can’t do short to medium range, maybe extreme long range is its niche 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIstorm97 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 GFS has been nailing the rainers and slopstorms. Ride it obviously. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 2 hours ago, ILSNOW said: 18z GFS coming in hot only 16 days and 64 more runs to go. PT Barnum model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 3 hours ago, ILSNOW said: 18z GFS coming in hot only 16 days and 64 more runs to go. Ground zero @ 384hrs out on the op GFS. What can go wrong? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Rainer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 next rainer on tap for the 4th/5th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 3 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: next rainer on tap for the 4th/5th Yeah baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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